Following an embarrassing 34-10 loss at home to the Dolphins, the Atlanta Falcons (3-4) travel to Foxborough in Week 9 of the regular season to face the AFC’s hottest team, the New England Patriots (6-2).
The Falcons’ offense has managed just 10 points each of the last two weeks (both losses). As concerning as that stat is, maybe worse is the fact the hapless Miami Dolphins hung 34 points on them this past weekend. No Michael Penix Jr. or Drake London against Miami but last I checked neither plays defense for the Falcons. At 3-4, Atlanta can ill afford to potentially fall further behind the Buccaneers and the Panthers in the NFC South.
New England is having no such issues on either side of the ball. The AFC East leaders have won five in a row. The offense has scored over 30 points each of the last two weeks as Drake Maye continues to look like an MVP candidate. Mike Vrabel’s defense has held up their end of the bargain giving up just 13 points in each of the last two weeks.
Lets dive into the matchup and see if we can find an angle or two to attack.
NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.
Game Details and How to watch the Falcons vs. the Patriots live Sunday
- Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM EST
- Site: Gillette Stadium
- City: Foxborough, MA
- Network/Streaming: CBS
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Game odds for the Falcons at the Patriots
The latest odds as of Sunday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Atlanta Falcons (+215), New England Patriots (-265)
- Spread: Patriots -5.5
- Total: 44.5 points
This game opened at Patriots -5.0 with the Game Total set at 44.5.
Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NFL schedule!
Quarterback Matchup for Atlanta at New England
- Falcons Expected Starting QB: Michael Penix Jr.
Last Game: 10/19 at San Francisco - 21-38, 241yds, 1 TD, 0 INTs, Sacked 2 times, 2 carries for 6yds
Season: 6GP, 119-195, 1409yds, 5 TDs, 3 INTs, Sacked 9 times, 17 carries for 43yds - Patriots Starting QB: Drake Maye
Last Game: 10/26 vs. Cleveland - 18-24, 282yds, 3 TDs, 1 INT, Sacked 6 times, 7 carries for 50yds
Season: 8GP, 170-226, 2026yds, 15 TDs, 3 INTs, Sacked 28 times, 51 carries for 250yds
Falcons at Patriots team stats, betting trends
- The Patriots have won 4 of their last 5 games against NFC South teams
- The Patriots are 6-2 ATS this season
- The Under is 5-1-1 in Falcons’ games this season
- The Falcons are 3-4 ATS this season
- The Over is 4-4 in Patriots’ games this season
Falcons Player Injuries
- S Jessie Bates (ankle) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- Billy Bowman Jr. (hamstring) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- DE Zach Harrison (knee) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- LB Jalon Walker (groin) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- QB Michael Penix Jr. (knee) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- WR Drake London (hip) is questionable for Sunday’s game
Patriots Player Injuries
- DT Khyiris Tonga (knee) is questionable for Sunday’s game
Rotoworld Best Bets
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Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper): Game Total OVER 44½ (-113)
The Falcons’ offense bounces back here taking advantage of a weak linebacking corps in coverage using their elite weapons in the short and intermediate passing game, Pats will likely answer creating a scoring environment that pushes this total into the high 40s.
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Best bets our model is projecting for this week’s game between the Falcons and the Patriots:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Atlanta Falcons at +5.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 45.5.
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