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Ravens at Chiefs prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, injury update, betting trends, and stats

The Baltimore Ravens (1-2) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (1-2) Sunday afternoon. The loser will have three losses before the end of September. Lets put that in perspective. Baltimore has won 96 games and had to endure just one season - 8-9 in 2021 under .500. Kansas City has averaged over 11 wins per season over the last ten (113 wins) and has never lost more than six games in a season over the last ten years, and they only lost six twice (2017, 2023). The loser by no means is out of the playoff picture but they will have work to do without question.

The Ravens have to be frustrated by their losses. If Lamar Jackson doesn’t have the ball taken out of his hands thanks to some odd play calling late in the game in Buffalo and if Derrick Henry doesn’t continue his recent streak of fumbles in the game against Detroit, maybe Baltimore is 3-0. But they are not 3-0. They are 1-2. A route of Cleveland is all that keeps them from being among the winless through three weeks.

The Chiefs have enjoyed life atop the mountain for it seems like an eternity. Is the ride over? Like the Ravens, Kansas City’s losses are against quality operations (LA Chargers and Philadelphia) but also like the Ravens, KC’s win is against one of the bottom-feeders in the league, the New York Giants.

The loser of this game heads into October with three losses and without a quality win.

We know these teams and players. Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

Game Details and How to watch the Ravens at the Chiefs live Sunday

  • Date: Sunday, September 28, 2025
  • Time: 4:25PM EST
  • Site: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
  • City: Kansas City, MO
  • Network/Streaming: CBS

Want to check out the other games on the NFL schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports with all the matchup, venue, game-time and TV/streaming info so you won’t miss any of the action!

Game odds for the Ravens vs the Chiefs

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Baltimore Ravens (-148), Kansas City Chiefs (+124)
  • Spread: Ravens -2.5
  • Total: 48.5 points

This game opened at Ravens -3.0 with the Game Total set at 49.0.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NFL schedule!

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Quarterback Matchup for Baltimore at Kansas City

  • Ravens Expected Starting QB: Lamar Jackson
    Last Game: 9/22 vs. Detroit - 21-27 (77.8%) 288yds, 3 TDs, 0 INTs, Sacked 7 times, 7 carries for 35yds
    Season: 3GP, 54-75 (72%), 722yds, 9 TDs, 0 INTs, Sacked 12 times, 15 carries for 118yds
  • Chiefs Expected Starting QB: Patrick Mahomes
    Last Game: 9/21 at Giants – 22-37 (59.5%), 224yds, 1 TD, 0 INTs, Sacked 2 times, 5 carries for 2yds
    Season: 3GP, 62-105 (59%), 669yds, 3 TDs, I INT, Sacked 6 times, 18 carries for 125yds

Ravens at Chiefs team stats, betting trends

  • The Chiefs have won 16 of their last 19 home games
  • The Ravens are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games
  • The Over is 7-2-1 in the Ravens’ last 10 road games

Ravens Player Injuries

  • LB Kyle Van Noy (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • TE Isaiah Likely (foot) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • DT Nnamdi Madubuike (neck) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • DT Broderick Washington Jr. (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • LT Ronnie Stanley (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • FB Patrick Ricard (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • DT Travis Jones (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • RG Emery Jones Jr. (undisclosed) has been declared out of Sunday’s game

Chiefs Player Injuries

  • CB Kristian Fulton (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • DE Mike Danna (quad) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • WR Rashee Rice (susp.) remains suspended. This is game 4 of the 6-game suspension
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Chris Simms and Connor Rogers look ahead to Week 4 and debate which scenarios are more likely to happen, including Micah Parsons against the Cowboys, Jonathan Taylor's rushing outlook vs. the Rams, and much more.

Rotoworld Bet Best Bets

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Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper): Baltimore Ravens -2½ (-112)

The Chiefs lack the playmakers and physical running game to expose the weaknesses in the Ravens’ defense that were on display Monday night. On the other side of the ball, the full-strength Ravens’ offense can push the pace and truly test what is proving to be a middle of the pack unit with the KC defense.

***

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Best bets our model is projecting for this week’s game between the Ravens and the Chiefs:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Kansas City Chiefs at +2.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 48.0.

Rotoworld has you covered with all the latest betting info & tools for NFL with player news, game predictions, player props, futures, and trends!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

● Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
● Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
● Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
● Trysta Krick (@Trista_Krick)