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One last 2012 NCAA tournament bracket projection

spt-120311-miller

Mike Miller

Regardless of how the final selections come together tonight, the Selection Committee has completed a monumental task. There has rarely been a field this diverse and a bubble this large. We could see a variety of outcomes, and none of them will necessarily be wrong or right. That’s the truth about this year’s bubble.

What we know - or anticipate - is that Kentucky will be the No. 1 overall seed. Syracuse will be second. After that, there remains some questions. We have Kentucky, Syracuse, North Carolina and Michigan State on the top line. That could switch pending the outcome of the Michigan State/Ohio State game in the actual selection room.

spt-120311-kentuckybig

Mike Miller

Take your pick out of the at-large teams. There were roughly 14 teams about 6 spots. You could make cases for or against any number of them.

Enjoy the Selection Show. March Madness is here.

Teams in CAPS represent the projected AUTOMATIC bid. Exceptions are made for teams that use an abbreviation (UTEP, BYU, etc). Records are for games against Division I teams only.

FIRST FOUR PAIRINGS - Dayton (First Round)


  • Drexel vs. N.C. State | East Region
  • South Florida vs. Cal | East Region
  • MS VALLEY STATE vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY | South Region
  • VERMONT vs. NORFOLK STATE | Midwest

BRACKET PROJECTION ...

EAST - BostonMIDWEST - St. Louis
PittsburghLouisville
1) Syracuse1) Kentucky
16) UNC-ASHEVILLE16) MS VALLEY ST / W. KENTUCKY
8) San Diego State8) Gonzaga
9) Saint Louis9) Connecticut
PortlandAlbuquerque
5) VANDERBILT5) Cincinnati
12) Drexel / N.C. State
12) Virginia
4) Indiana4) Wisconsin
13) OHIO13) SOUTH DAKOTA ST
ColumbusNashville
6) MURRAY STATE6) CREIGHTON
11) South Florida / Cal11) Colorado State
3) Michigan3) LOUISVILLE
14) BELMONT14) DAVIDSON
GreensboroOmaha
7) Kansas State7) ST. MARY’S
10) Xavier10) SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
2) Duke2) MISSOURI
15) LEHIGH15) DETROIT
SOUTH - Atlanta WEST - Phoenix
GreensboroColumbus
1) North Carolina1) Michigan State
16) VERMONT / NORFOLK ST16) LAMAR
8) Iowa State8) Notre Dame
9) Purdue9) Alabama
PortlandNashville
5) Florida5) Wichita State
12) LONG BEACH ST12) Texas
4) Georgetown4) Florida State
13) ST. BONAVENTURE13) COLORADO
AlbuquerqueLouisville
6) UNLV6) NEW MEXICO
11) Seton Hall11) VCU
3) Baylor3) Marquette
14) MONTANA14) NEW MEXICO ST
PittsburghOmaha
7) Temple7) MEMPHIS
10) West Virginia10) HARVARD
2) Ohio State2) Kansas
15) LONG ISLAND15) LOYOLA-MD

NOTES on the BRACKET: Kentucky is the No. 1 overall seed followed by Syracuse, North Carolina, and Michigan State. Next in line are Kansas, Missouri, Ohio State, Duke

Last Five teams in (at large): Seton Hall, South Florida, Drexel, N.C. State, Cal

First Five teams out (at large): Mississippi State, BYU, Marshall, Northwestern, Miami-Fla

Also considered: Tennessee, Oral Roberts, Middle Tennessee State, Mississippi

Adjustments: Several one-line adjustments were needed to follow correct bracketing principles.

Here is the team breakdown by Conference ...

Big East (10): Syracuse, Georgetown, Louisville, Connecticut, Marquette, West Virginia, Notre Dame, Cincinnati, Seton Hall, South Florida

Big Ten (6): Ohio State, Michigan State, Indiana, Wisconsin, Michigan, Purdue

Big 12 (6): Baylor, Missouri, Kansas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Texas

SEC (4): Kentucky, Florida, Vanderbilt, Alabama

ACC (5): North Carolina, Duke, Virginia, Florida State, NC State

Mountain West (4): UNLV, San Diego State, New Mexico, Colorado State

Atlantic 10 (3): Xavier, St. Louis, Temple, St. Bonaventure

West Coast (3): Gonzaga, St. Mary’s

Conference USA (3): Memphis, Southern Mississippi

Missouri Valley (2): Creighton, Wichita State

Pac 12 (1): California, Colorado

Conference leaders/champions ... WESTERN KENTUCKY (Sun Belt), DETROIT (Horizon), OHIO (MAC), VCU (CAA), NEW MEXICO STATE(WAC), MURRAY STATE (OVC), LOYOLA-MD (MAAC), MONTANA (Big Sky), DAVIDSON (Southern), SOUTH DAKOTA STATE (Summit), LONG BEACH STATE (Big West), LONG ISLAND (NEC), BELMONT (Atlantic Sun), HARVARD (Ivy), NC-ASHEVILLE (Big South), NORFOLK STATE (MEAC), LEHIGH (Patriot), VERMONT (America East), LAMAR (Southland), MS VALLEY STATE (SWAC)