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CARDINALS AT PANTHERS (-2): O/U 42.5
This will be one of the best games of the week... if you’re a Cardinals fan.
These trends from the Edge Finder pretty much tell you how to play Kyler Murray ATS.
At home, Murray is 9-15-1 on the ML (37.5%) and 9-16 ATS (36%), failing to cover in six-straight.
As a home favorite, Murray is 6-8 on the ML (42.8%) and 4-10 ATS (28.5%), losing four-straight.
On the road, Murray is 14-10 on the ML (58.3%) and 16-7-1 ATS (69.5%, covering seven of the past eight.
As a road underdog, Murray has smashed going 12-4-1 ATS (75%) and 10-7 on the ML (58.8%), winning five-straight.
If that doesn’t convince you, I don’t know what will, but maybe that the Panthers are coming off a win or being a home favorite will. Both spots are not ideal times to back the Panthers.
Matt Rhule is 11-25 on the ML (30.5%) with the Panthers and just broke a 0-9 ATS and ML losing streak versus the Saints.
As a home favorite, Rhule is 1-7 ATS and on the ML (12.5%), losing four-straight outright. The only team he ever beat as a home favorite? The New York Jets (lol).
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Rhule and the Panthers are 4-6 on the ML (40%) coming off a win in his career (lost three-straight in this spot) and 0-2 ATS and on the ML as a home favorite off a win since 2020.
While it is a small sample size, I don’t believe that will change here.
Back the Cardinals in a bounce back spot on the spread at +2. It’s Kyler Murray versus Baker Mayfield.
I will be on the ML at +105 too.
Pick: Cardinals +2 (Risk 1u), Cardinals 0.5u (1u)
More NFL Week 4 Picks
Thursday Night Football Pick: Bengals vs Dolphins (read here)
Monday Night Football Pick: Rams vs 49ers (read here)
AFC West Showdown Pick: Broncos vs Raiders (read here)
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