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There are only two weeks left in the NFL season. I would advise you not to place your wagers until right before the games kick off. Covid issues could pop up at any minute. Odds via PointsBet.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Baltimore Ravens (+4.5) Total:46.5
The Ravens will try to snap a four-game losing streak this week vs. the Rams. Lamar Jackson’s status for this game is still up in the air, but I would not anticipate Jackson playing. The Rams are 5-2 on the Money Line as road favorites this season. They are 3-4 ATS as road favorites. The Rams are 4-2-1 to the Over as road favorites. Edge: Over 46.5
Atlanta Falcons vs. Buffalo Bills (-14.5) Total: 44
A highly motivated Buffalo Bills team did exactly what I thought they would do last week by beating the Patriots in Foxboro. That game was personal for the Bills. This week not so much. I think the Bills will have a let down this week. Not only do I think the Falcons who are 5-3 ATS and on the Money Line on the road this season cover the spread, I think they can pull off the upset. Buffalo is 3-3-1 as home favorites this season. Edge: Falcons +14.5
New York Giants vs. Chicago Bears (-6) Total: 37
The Giants and Bears have combined for a 9-21 record this season. There is no way I can back either of these teams ATS. This is a stay away game for me. The Total in this game is extremely low. I think these teams can get to the Over. Edge: Over 37
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cincinnati Bengals (+5.5) Total: 50
A pair of teams that should be headed to the AFC playoffs meet in one of the marquee matchups for Week 17. The Chiefs ride into Cincinnati on an eight-game winning streak. They have also covered the spread in each of their last six games. The Bengals are coming off a statement win over the Ravens. The Bengals are riding high, but I expect that to change this week. The Bengals are 3-5 ATS at home this season. Their home wins have come vs. a hobbled Ravens team, the offensively challenged Steelers and the Vikings in Week 1. This week they get Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid. Edge: Chiefs -5.5
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts (-7) Total: 44.5
The red-hot Colts are 4-1 on the Money Line in their last 5 games. People are saying this is the team no one wants to play in the postseason. The Raiders enter this contest on a two-game winning streak. The Colts are 4-2 ATS as favorites this season. Those wins came over the Jets, Texans twice and the Patriots. The Raiders are 3-2 as road Underdogs. I like them vs. the spread and would sprinkle on the Money Line. Edge: Raiders +7
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New England Patriots (-16.5) Total: 41.5
The Pats have looked very good this season and will be an interesting team to watch in the playoffs. I’m not ready to lay 16.5 points with them. I think the Patriots will run the ball to pace the game and walk away with an easy win. Edge: Under 41.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Jets (+13) Total: 45.5
The Jets host the Buccaneers in a late season matchup in front of a likely empty MetLife Stadium. Tampa is 6-1 ATS as double-digit favorites this season. Edge: Buccaneers -13
Miami Dolphins vs. Tennessee Titans (-3.5) Total: 39.5
Congrats to the Miami Dolphins for turning their season around. They should be proud, but as bettors we should not be fooled. Miami has feasted on the bottom feeders of the NFL. On their seven-game winning streak, they only beat one team with a winning record. The Titans on the other hand have home wins over the Chiefs, Bills and Colts. Edge: Titans -3.5
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Football Team (+4.5) Total: 45
The Eagles are one of the hottest teams in the NFC right now. They are 4-1 on the Money Line and 3-1-1 ATS. Washington once again is the laughing stock of the NFL. With that being said, I like Washington to cover the spread. Late season division games can be tricky. I think Washington hit a low point last week. I expect them to play better this week. Edge: Washington +4.5
Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5) Total 45.5
Since 2018, the Broncos are 5-2 ATS and on the Money Line vs. the Chargers. The Under is also 5-2 in that time frame. I know it’s tough to back the Broncos without Bridgewater. Once again, I point to these late-season division games as good spots to fade the public. Edge: Broncos +6.5
Houston Texans vs. San Francisco 49ers (-12.5) Total: 44
There is a good chance Trey Lance will start for the 49ers this week with Jimmy Garoppolo dealing with a thumb injury. The Texans have covered three of their last four games as double-digit dogs. Edge: Texans +12.5
Arizona Cardinals vs. Dallas Cowboys (-6) Total: 52
The Cardinals come into this week’s marquee matchup struggling. The Cardinals have lost three games in a row and four of their last six games. The Cowboys are rolling right now but have been beating up on bad teams. We saw the Cardinals fade down the stretch last season. It looks like it’s happening again. Edge: Cowboys -6
Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints (-6.5) Total: 38
Since November 1, the Panthers have one win vs. the spread. The Saints have not been great either. New Orleans has two wins since November 1. The Saints are 1-5 ATS at home this season. I’m not taking this to the window, but I would not back the Saints this week. Edge: Panthers +6.5
Detroit Lions vs. Seattle Seahawks (-7.5) Total 41.5
This game is very easy to handicap. The Lions are 10-5 ATS on the season. The Seahawks are 7-8 ATS. The Lions have been undervalued all season. Edge: Lions +7.5
Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers (-13.5) Total: 42.5
Kirk Cousins tested positive for COVID and will not be available to play in Sunday night’s game vs. the Packers. The Vikings upset the Packer earlier this season. That won’t be the case this week. Edge: Packers -13.5
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