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Carson Wentz Injury Causes Colts Odds Shift

Frank Reich

Frank Reich

Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

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For fans and supporters of the Indianapolis Colts and Carson Wentz it’s safe to say, it was all good just a week ago. Earlier this week it was reported that Colts quarterback Carson Wentz will be out for the next 5-12 weeks after having surgery on his injured foot. The Colts were a team that I was high on this season. I thought they had a chance to go as far as the AFC Championship. I was even bullish on Wentz as an MVP candidate. I still think the Colts are a solid team, but they are no longer a contender in a very tough AFC.

Before the injury to Wentz, PointsBet had the Colts as a +130 favorite to win the AFC South. However, that number has since moved. Currently, the Titans are -140 to win the division with the Colts coming in at second with odds of +170. That’s a pretty juicy number. My first thought was to continue to back the Colts even with Jacob Eason as the likely starting quarterback. I reached out to friend and player scout Emory Hunt (@FBallGameplan) and asked him to give me a scouting report on Eason. He replied, “Similar to Wentz from a physical standpoint; needs to find that same level of consistency within his game, however. Too many peaks and valleys at UW and UGA.” Knowing Emory, the way I do this essentially means stay away.

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Wentz could still come back this season and lead the Colts to a division title, but I don’t see that happening. Wentz is the type of player that gets frustrated easily and any injury-prone talk about him will linger. This is likely a lost season for him, unfortunately.

PointsBet had the Colts projected Regular Season Win Total set at 9.5 juiced to the Under at -140, but that number is now set at 9 juiced to the Over at -115. There are no real changes in that market. The Colts start the season with games against the Seahawks, Rams, Titans, Dolphins and Ravens. I think a 10-win season is no longer a possibility.

The Colts may still fight for a playoff spot. PointsBet currently has them at -130 to make the playoffs with them missing the playoffs at +100. Unfortunately, I’m not comfortable placing a wager on them to make the playoffs. This could open the door for a team like the Chargers, Dolphins or Patriots to sneak in the dance come January.