Lets begin by noting this is the most improbable matchup in the history of the Super Bowl. Never before have two teams with preseason odds of greater than 50-1 to win the Lombardi Trophy lined up against each other. The Seattle Seahawks were 60-1 to win the Super Bowl and the New England Patriots were 80-1.
Know, however, that there have been other instances of longshots reaching the Super Bowl. In 1982, San Francisco (50-1) took on Cincinnati (60-1). While the Seahawks and the Patriots combine to form the greatest pair of longshots, the St. Louis Rams (150-1) were the longest of individual longshots to win the Super Bowl prior to the 1999 season. They defeated the Tennessee Titans in Super Bowl XXXIV on January 30, 2000, 23-16.
Now, about those Patriots and Seahawks and their respective roads to Santa Clara...they each actually lost their season opener before ripping off 14 wins in the next 16 weeks. Back in Week 1, the Patriots lost to the Raiders and the Seahawks fell to the 49ers.
Lets take a further look at the matchup including their respective playoff histories, their rivalry, a few key stats and trends, the quarterbacks, those listed on the injury report, and a look at the odds and best bets.
The Path to Super Bowl LX
New England Patriots
January 11, 2026 Defeated Los Angeles Chargers, 16-3
January 18, 2026 Defeated Houston Texans, 28-16
January 25, 2026 Defeated Denver Broncos, 10-7
Seattle Seahawks
January 17, 2026 Defeated San Francisco 49ers, 41-6
January 25, 2026 Defeated Los Angeles Rams, 31-27
The success of these two teams is rooted in their respective defenses. Seattle allowed a league-best 16.4 points per game in the regular season while New England allowed a league-best 239.3 yards per game including just 71.3 rushing yards allowed per game.
Each team, however, does have their share of stars on offense. In just his second season under center for the Patriots, Drake Maye is a finalist for NFL MVP honors. Maye threw for 4,394 yards during the regular season with 31 touchdowns with just eight interceptions. The playoffs have been a mixed bag for Maye. He has thrown for 533 yards and four touchdowns over the three games but has tossed a couple of interceptions and fumbled twice.
For Seattle, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the favorite to win Offensive Player of the Year honors. The Seahawks’ wideout caught 119 passes for 1,793 yards including 10 touchdowns during the regular season. He has not slowed during the playoffs, grabbing 13 passes for 172 yards and two touchdowns in Seattle’s two postseason games.
The Last Time the Patriots Reached the Super Bowl…
Super Bowl LIII – 13-3 win over the Los Angeles Rams with Julian Edelman earning MVP Honors and Sony Michel scoring the only touchdown in the game
The Last Time the Seahawks Reached the Super Bowl…
Super Bowl XLIX – 28-24 loss to Tom Brady and the New England Patriots (Seattle won the Super Bowl the prior year against Denver) with Malcolm Butler intercepting Russell Wilson at the goal line to propel the Pats to victory
NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates courtesy of Rotoworld, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.
Game Details and How to Watch Super Bowl LX: Patriots vs. Seahawks
- Date: Sunday, February 8, 2026
- Time: 6:30PM EST
- Site: Levi’s Stadium
- City: Santa Clara, CA
- Network/Streaming: NBC/Peacock
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Super Bowl LX Game Odds: Patriots vs. Seahawks
The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: New England Patriots (+190), Seattle Seahawks (-230)
- Spread: Seahawks -4.5
- Total: 45.5 Points
This game opened at Seahawks -3.5 with the Game Total set at 46.5.
Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NFL schedule!
Patriots Playoff History
All-Time: 62 Games, 40-22
Wild Card: 11 Games, 5-6
Divisional Round: 23 Games, 17-6
AFC Championship: 16 Games, 12-4
Super Bowl: 11 Games, 6-5
Pre-1966: 1 Games, 0-1
Seahawks Playoff History
All-Time: 38 Games, 19-19
Wild Card: 16 Games, 9-7
Divisional Round: 14 Games, 5-9
NFC Championship: 5 Games, 4-1
Super Bowl: 3 Games, 1-2
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks: All-Time Series
These teams have met 20 times (regular and postseason) with Seattle winning eleven times:
September 15, 2024 Seattle 23 @ New England 20 OT QBs: Geno Smith, Jacoby Brissett
September 20, 2020 New England 30 @ Seattle 35 QBs: Cam Newton, Russell Wilson
November 13, 2016 Seattle 31 @ New England 24 QBs: Russell Wilson, Tom Brady
February 1, 2015 New England 28 @ Seattle 24 QBs: Tom Brady, Russell Wilson
October 14, 2012 New England 23 @ Seattle 24 QBs: Tom Brady, Russell Wilson
December 7, 2008 New England 24 @ Seattle 21 QBs: Matt Cassel, Seneca Wallace
October 17, 2004 Seattle 20 @ New England 30 QBs: Matt Hasselbeck, Tom Brady
October 24, 1993 New England 9 @ Seattle 10 QBs: Drew Bledsoe, Rick Mirer
September 20, 1992 Seattle 10 @ New England 6 QBs: Kelly Stouffer, Hugh Millen
October 7, 1990 Seattle 33 @ New England 20 QBs: Dave Krieg, Marc Wilson
September 24, 1989 Seattle 24 @ New England 3 QBs: Dave Krieg, Tony Eason
December 4, 1988 Seattle 7 @ New England 13 QBs: Dave Krieg, Doug Flutie
September 21, 1986 Seattle 38 @ New England 31 QBs: Dave Krieg, Tony Eason
November 17, 1985 New England 20 @ Seattle 13 QBs: Steve Grogan, Dave Krieg
September 16, 1984 Seattle 23 @ New England 38 QBs: Dave Krieg, Tony Eason
December 18, 1983 New England 6 @ Seattle 24 QBs: Tony Eason, Dave Krieg
December 19, 1982 New England 16 @ Seattle 0 QBs: Steve Grogan, Jim Zorn
September 21, 1980 New England 37 @ Seattle 31 QBs: Steve Grogan, Jim Zorn
October 9, 1977 Seattle 0 @ New England 31 QBs: Steve Myer. Steve Grogan
Quarterback Matchup: Patriots vs. Seahawks
- Patriots Starting QB: Drake Maye
Last Game: 1/25 at Denver – 10-21, 86yds, 0TDs, 0INTs, Sacked 5 times, 10 carries for 65yds rushing
Postseason: 3GP, 43-77, 533yds, 4TDs, 2INTs, Sacked 15 times, 24 carries for 141yds rushing
Regular Season: 17GP, 354-492, 4394yds, 31TDs, 8INTs, Sacked 47 times, 103 carries for 450yds rushing - Seahawks Starting QB: Sam Darnold
Last Game: 1/25 vs. Rams – 25-36, 346yds, 3TDs, 0INTs, Sacked 3 times, 3 carries for 9yds rushing
Postseason: 2GP, 37-53, 470yds, 4TDs, 0INTs, Sacked 5 times, 3 carries for 9yds rushing
Regular Season: 17GP, 323-477, 4048yds, 25TDs, 14INTs, Sacked 27 times, 35 carries for 95yds rushing
Patriots vs. Seahawks: Team Stats and Betting Trends
- The Seahawks (14-5) and the Patriots (13-6-1) finished the season (regular and post) ranked first and second ATS
- The OVER has cashed in 11 of the Seahawks’ 19 games this season (11-8)
- The OVER has cashed in 12 of the Patriots’ 20 games this season (12-8)
- The Patriots are 9-0 on the road this season
- Drake Maye is 3-0 all-time in the playoffs
- Sam Darnold is 2-1 all-time in the playoffs
- Darnold has won 30 games over the last 2 regular and postseasons (#1 in the NFL)
- Darnold is the first USC quarterback to play in the Super Bowl
- 5 schools have produced a U.S. President and a Super Bowl-winning QB - UNC will be the 6th if the Pats win
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba has caught 13 passes on just 16 targets this postseason
Patriots Player Injuries
- LB Robert Spillane (ankle) did not practice Wednesday and is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- Harold Landry III (knee) was a limited participant in practice Wednesday and is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- OT Thayer Munford Jr. (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- RB Terrell Jennings (concussion) has been declared OUT of Sunday’s game
- DT Joshua Farmer (hamstring) is eligible to be activated off the IR for the Super Bowl
Seahawks Player Injuries
- QB Sam Darnold (oblique) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- LT Charles Cross (foot) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- OT Josh Jones (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- FB Robbie Ouzts (neck) is listed as questionable for the Super Bowl
- S Nick Emmanwori (ankle) is listed as questionable for the Super Bowl
- OT Amari Kight (knee) has been placed on IR and is OUT for the Super Bowl
- LB Chazz Surratt (ankle) has been activated off the IR Tuesday and is listed as questionable for the Super Bowl
Rotoworld Best Bets
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper):
3 Bets - Seahawks -4.5, Jackson Smith Njigba for MVP, JSN MVP, and 1H Total UNDER 23.5.
Expecting a slow start to this game considering both teams will be led by defensive strength with particular skill in stopping the run. The Seahawks offense can finally break through in the 2H on the wings of Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s matchup against the Pats’ secondary which will earn him the MVP based on an 8 catch, multi-TD performance. Too much shared credit among the outstanding Seahawks D to win an MVP despite that unit carrying the day for Mike Macdonald.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Best bets our model is projecting for the Super Bowl between the Patriots and the Seahawks:
- Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Seahawks on the Moneyline.
- Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Seahawks -4.5.
- Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 45.5.
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