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Stat attack!: Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial preview

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Boo Weekley, winner of the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial, celebrates with the Marvin Leonard Trophy, Sunday, May 26, 2013, in Fort Worth, Texas. (Richard W. Rodriguez/Fort Worth Star-Telegram/MCT via Getty Images)

If there is to be a break in the pattern of PGA Tour winners coming from the middle regions of the Official World Golf Ranking, might it come at the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial? Not a tournament that has offered world-class fields in recent years, the Colonial has, nevertheless, identified very accomplished winners. Since 2000, six winners have won major championships and all but two players who have donned the plaid jacket given to the winner have played in a Ryder or Presidents Cup. A year ago, Boo Weekley outdueled Matt Kuchar, winning by a stroke after weekend rounds of 66-66. And although, Weekley (pictured) returns to defend his title, we first turn our attention toward Kuchar. One of the hottest golfers in the world, Kooch, who has never missed the cut in seven starts at Colonial, has his sights set on more than just a victory. The No. 1 spot on the World Ranking is within reach.

Matt Kuchar’s PGA Tour record since the beginning of March

TournamentPlaceScoresEarnings
WGC-Cadillac ChampionshipT-1369-74-74-74—291$110,000
Valspar ChampionshipT-3873-71-69-74—28723,940
Valero Texas OpenT-470-72-65-75—282272,800
Shell Houston Open266-67-68-72—273691,200
MastersT-573-71-68-74—286342,000
Heritage166-73-70-64—2731,044,000
PlayersT-1771-71-69-71—282135,333
HP Byron Nelson ChampionshipT-769-67-68-68—272207,862

Another player to focus on this week is Graham DeLaet, the PGA Tour leader in ball striking. Colonial CC isn’t a bomber’s paradise. Its tight fairways require precise tee shots and ball striking will be at a premium. The PGA Tour’s ball-striking stat – a combination of a player’s rank in greens in regulation and total driving (which is itself a combination driving distance and driving accuracy) – gives us a look at who might succeed.

PGA Tour leaders in ball striking

RankPlayerIn Colonial fieldBest finsih
1Graham DeLaetYesT-22 in 2013
2Boo WeekleyYesWon in 2013
3Hudson SwaffordNo
4 Billy HorschelNo
5Bubba WatsonNo
6Kevin StadlerYes7th in 2011
7Justin HicksYesT-62 in 2013
8Harris EnglishYesT-5 in 2012
9John SendenYesT-8 in 2011
10Ryan PalmerYesT-5 in 2012

DeLaet, is an intriguing player. A two-time runner-up 2013-14, the Canadian member of the 2013 International Presidents Cup team has yet to win on the PGA Tour. Although the Colonial hasn’t crowned a first-time PGA Tour winner since Sergio Garcia in 2001, the three previous Texas events on Tour this year had not raised any hardware. Could this be the week DeLaet finally wins his first event? He has slowed down from his hot start – he had four straight top-10s earlier this year including his T-2s at San Diego and Phoenix. But despite poor performances at the Masters and the Players, he turned it around with a T-7 at last week’s Nelson. Here’s a look at the players in the top-10 at the Nelson who are in the Colonial field and how they fare in the Tour’s ball-striking stat and at Colonial.

How the Byron Nelson contenders have fared at the Colonial

PlayerNelson finishBall striking rankBest Colonial
Brendon ToddWon71T-73 in 2012
Marc Leishman T-3T-86T-44 in 2011
James HahnT-575No cuts made
Boo WeekleyT-52Won in 2013
Graham DeLaetT-71T-22 in 2013
Dustin JohnsonT-711T-74 in 2008
Matt KucharT-741Second in 2013

For additional proof of the importance of ball striking, a year ago Weekley was T-6 in fairways hit and T-5 in greens in regulation at Colonial. In the past six years, the winner of the Colonial has finished in the top 15 in both stats four times.

Accuracy and GIR rank of Colonial winner: 2008-2013

YearPlayerAccuracy rankGIR rank
2013Boo WeekleyT-6T-5
2012Zach JohnsonT-27T-37
2011David TomsT-4T-4
2010Zach JohnsonT-101
2009Steve StrickerT-15T-6
2008Phil MickelsonT-33T-5

If DeLaet – or Kuchar or Weekley or anyone else from the top of the Nelson leader board were to play well this week - they’d join this list of players who have tackled the Texas Two-step with consecutive top-10s in the Metroplex.

Players with top-10 finishes at the Nelson and the Colonial since 2010

YearPlayerNelson finishColonial finish
2012Jason DufnerWon2
2012Jonas BlixtT-3T-10
2012Ryan PalmerT-9T-5
2011Rod PamplingT-8T-10
2010Ben Crane T-7T-3
2010Jeff OvertonT-2T-3
2010Scott VerplankT-5T-5

One name we haven’t mentioned is new World No. 1 Adam Scott, who’s playing in Fort Worth for the first time since a T-65 in 2011. Scott could make history this week. The Colonial is the only Texas event that he has not won, and he is looking to become the first player in PGA Tour history to win all four of the current PGA Tour events in the state of Texas.

Adam Scott in Texas events

TournamentStartsTop-10sCuts madeBest
Colonial202T-64 in 2009
Byron Nelson422Won in 2008
Houston625Won in 2007
Texas Open212Won in 2010

Players with wins in three of the four Texas tournaments

PlayerColonial winTexas winNelson winHouston win
Ben Crenshaw1977, 901973, 861983

Bruce Crampton

19651964 1973, 1975
Bruce Devlin1966 19691972
Ben Hogan1946, 47, 52, 53, 5919461946
Gene Littler19711956 1977
Phil Mickelson2000, 08 19962011
Byron Nelson 194019441946
Arnold Palmer 19621960, 61, 62 1957, 66
Corey Pavin1985, 961988 1984
Nick Price1994, 0219921991
Adam Scott 201020082007
Sam Snead19501948, 501945, 57, 58
Mike Souchak19561955 1955, 64

Scott is already in select company, eight of the other 12 players are members of the World Golf Hall of Fame. A victory at Colonial would put him in a class by himself. It’s certainly something worthy of No. 1.