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Stat attack!: Tour Championship preview

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The PGA Tour’s first wrap-around season comes to a close with this week’s Tour Championship at East Lake in Atlanta, and you’re not wrong if you think this year has resulted in a changing of the guard.

For the first time since 1992, you won’t see Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson or Ernie Els in the season finale.

The top five players on FedEx Cup standings – those who control their own destiny when it comes to winning the Cup – include 25-year-old world No. 1 Rory McIlroy, two-time Masters champion Bubba Watson and the three players who won playoff events at the Barclays (Hunter Mahan), Deutsche Bank (Chris Kirk, shown) and BMW Championship (Billy Horschel).

Here’s a look at those five players, plus a statistical look at the rest of the Tour Championship field:

PGA Tour statistics of the FedEx Cup leaders

PlayerRankStartsCutsTop 10sWinsScoringDistanceAccuracyGIRSt. G. putting

Chris
Kirk

127254270.24 (31)290.9 (81)63.08% (64)63.22% (139).348 (25)
Billy
Horschel
226194170.68 (63)291.4 (77)67.74 (19)70.03 (4).190 (62)
Bubba
Watson
320178269.71 (9)314.2
(1)
60.77 (102)67.79 (26)-.041 (110)
Rory
McIlroy
4161611368.90 (1)311.2
(2)
60.00 (112)69.35 (6)

.254 (45)

Hunter
Mahan
524196170.52 (46)295.8 (45)65.40 (35)67.49 (31).207 (59)

How the top five players have fared in the Tour Championship

Player2013201220112010200920082007
Chris Kirk
Billy HorschelT-7
Bubba Watson T-5T-23T-17 30
Rory McIlroy T-10
Hunter MahanT-20T-82T-15T-24T-17T-5

It might surprise you to learn that McIlroy has only played in one Tour Championship, in 2012, when he concluded his remarkable season with a T-10 at East Lake for a second-place finish in the Cup standings behind tournament winner Brandt Snedeker. McIlroy didn’t qualify for East Lake a year ago (finishing 50th in the FedEx Cup standings) or in 2010 (36th), his only previous years as a PGA Tour member.

Mahan, meanwhile, is playing his eighth straight Tour Championship. He is the only player to have appeared in every PGA Tour playoff event since the post-season series began in 2007.

Kirk - who was born in Atlanta, played college golf at Georgia and still makes the state his home - tops the FedEx Cup standings but the Tour Championship hasn’t been kind to the point’s leader in recent years. The only player to enter the Tour Championship ranked atop the standings and win the tournament was Tiger Woods in the inaugural Cup year of 2007. In the last four years, the player who won the Tour Championship has also won the FedEx Cup, and the points leader entering the finale has finished second in the final standings.

FedEx Cup leaders entering the Tour Championship

YearPlayerTC finishCup finishCup winner
2013Tiger WoodsT-222Henrik Stenson
2012Rory McIlroyT-102Brandt Snedeker
2011Webb Simpson222Bill Haas
2010Matt KucharT-252Jim Fuyrk
2009Tiger Woods2Won FedEx Cup
2008Vijay SinghT-22Won FedEx Cup
2007Tiger WoodsWonWon FedEx Cup

This year’s 29-man field (Dustin Johnson finished 30th on the point’s list, but remains on leave for personal reasons) is a strong one. Eight of the top 10 players on the Official World Golf Ranking are at East Lake, as are seven of the next 10. Only four players are ranked outside the top 50.

World ranking of the Tour Championship field

RankTotalPlayers
Top 108McIlroy (1), Scott (2), Garcia (3), Rose (5), Watson (6), Furyk (7), Day (8),
Kuchar (9)
11-207Fowler (11), Kaymer (12), Spieth (13), Johnson (15), Walker (18), Matsuyama (19),
Mahan (20)
21-303Horschel (23), Kirk (24), Reed (28)
31-403Haas (31), Simpson (33), Na (36)
41-504Palmer (44), Todd (46), Woodland (49), Senden (50)
51-753Henley (53), Tringale (72), Ogilvy (74)
76+1Hoffmann (101)

Morgan Hoffman is the highest-ranked player to qualify for the Tour Championship since Kevin Streelman (147th) in 2010. The 25-year-old New Jersey native is certainly trending in the right direction. At the, Barclays in his home state, Hoffmann finished T-9 for his first top-10 finish of 2013-14. Two weeks later at Cherry Hills, his stellar closing rounds of 62-63 (the best final 36-hole scores this season) moved him from T-53 to third in the tournament and into the Tour Championship for the first time.

Highest ranked players to qualify for the Tour Championship in the playoffs era

World rankPlayerYearTC finish
147Kevin Streelman2010T-9
112Marc Leishman2009T-28
101Morgan Hoffmann2014
96Bubba Watson200830
91John Senden2009T-10
90Briny Baird2008T-27
90Gary Woodland2013T-22

Only 13 players are retuning to the Tour Championship from 2013. Defending champion Henrik Stenson failed to qualify, as did co-runner-up Steve Stricker. The other runner-up, Jordan Spieth, is back. There are nine first-timers in the field this week, including Kirk and Hoffmann.

First-timers in the Tour Championship field

PlayerFedEx rankBest 2014 finish
Chris Kirk 1Won McGladrey, Deutsche Bank
Jimmy Walker6Won Frys.com, Sony, Pebble Beach
Martin Kaymer14Won Players, U.S. Open
Patrick Reed18Won Humana, WGC-Cadillac
Cameron Tringale19T-2 Barclays
Russell Henley20Won Sony
Morgan Hoffmann213 BMW Championship
Brendon Todd27Won Nelson
Hideki Matsuyama28Won Memorial

Hoffmann and Tringale are two of 10 players in the field who have not won on Tour in 2013-14. Hoffmann, in fact, is the only player in the Tour Championship who did not have a win or a runner-up finish this season. Here’s the list of non-winners. Some of the names might surprise you.

Players in the Tour Championship who have not won in 2013-14

PlayerFedEx rankBest finish in 2013-14
Jim Furyk72 Wells Fargo, Players, Canadian Open
Rickie Fowler9T-2 U.S. Open, British Open
Jordan Spieth112 Hyundai T of C, T-2 Masters
Sergio Garcia132 WGC-Bridgestone, T-2 Travelers, British Open
Bill Haas16T-2 Wyndham
Cameron Tringale19T-2 Barclays
Morgan Hoffmann273 BMW Championship
Ryan Palmer232 Humana, T-2 Honda
Kevin Na242 Valspar, Memorial
Gary Woodland292 CIMB

One final thought: Bill Haas is the only player in the playoff era to make the Tour Championship his first win of the season. Haas won in 2011 in a playoff over Hunter Mahan. Haas hasn’t won yet in 2013-14 and needs a victory this week to extend his streak of consecutive years with a win on Tour to five.

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