Practically a quarter of the way through the 2026 NFL season and results are amplified due to a team’s results through their first four games. Denver is 2-2 and while struggling to find any continuity on offense, they are right in the mix in the AFC West and the conference. The Chargers are a surprising 0-4 and on the brink of a completely lost season. The two division rivals meet Sunday in Los Angeles.
Denver is coming off a 24-14 loss to the 49ers last weekend. The game was tied at three at halftime. While the Broncos punchless offense continued in the second half, Brock Purdy and co. kicked things up a notch and scored three touchdowns to win going away. The offense has been lackluster for much of the season, but the loss followed a pair of impressive wins over the Rams and the Jaguars. Again, no time to panic in the Mile High City. Panic, however, must have a foothold in Southern California. The winless Chargers dropped their fourth in a row Sunday, a 30-23 loss at Seattle. Justin Herbert has been mediocre on his better days and that is an issue for Los Angeles. While the defense has been solid, Herbert and the offense have failed to score more than 16 points in three of their four games.
These teams last met on January 4, 2026, when Denver defeated Los Angeles 19-3 in Week 18. Before that, the Chargers won a thriller, 23-20, at SoFi Stadium on September 21 last season overcoming a late Broncos’ rally when Herbert engineered a game-tying touchdown drive and Cameron Dicker kicked the game-winning field goal as time expired.
Just as they were last year, the two starting quarterbacks will be the storyline when Denver and Los Angeles step on the field this weekend as each tries to perform at a higher and more consistent level than they have through the first quarter of the season.
Let’s dive into the numbers and see if we can’t find an additional sweat or two.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Broncos vs. Chargers
- Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
- Time: 4:05PM ET
- Site: SoFi Stadium
- City: Inglewood, CA
- TV/Streaming: CBS
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Latest Game Odds: Broncos vs. Chargers
The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Denver Broncos (-185), Los Angeles Chargers (+154)
- Spread: Broncos -3.5
- Total: 42.5
The Chargers opened as the favorite at -2.5 but their miserable start has forced that number to flip in favor of the Broncos. The Total has also shifted, dropping a couple of points.
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Rotoworld Bet Best Bets
Expert picks & predictions for Broncos vs. Chargers
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, betting trends, and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Sunday’s game between the Broncos and the Chargers:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports is recommending a play on the Chargers +3.5.
- Total: NBC Sports is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 42.5.
Here’s why the UNDER is worth a look:
Denver’s offense isn’t built to pile up points through the air. They move the ball through volume, not explosiveness. In addition, Bo Nix has been a problem. He’s 23rd in adjusted EPA per play and 27th in completion percentage over expected, and Denver is 26th in Net Yards per Play at -0.7. In addition, the Broncos’ run game has been poor this season, producing just 81.2 yards per game (4th worst), and they’re facing a Chargers’ defense that ranked 6th in carries allowed (24.47 per game) and 8th in rushing yards allowed (105.35 per game) last season. Much like Nix and the issues resulting from his poor play in Denver, Justin Herbert has been LA’s biggest problem. He’s completed just 59.7% of his passes for 816 passing yards, four touchdowns, and six interceptions to begin the season. That’s a 6:4 interception-to-touchdown ratio for a quarterback who was supposed to be an MVP candidate. The result? This is an offense that struggles to finish drives.
Broncos vs. Chargers: Betting Trends and Stats
- The Broncos are 2-2 against the spread this season
- The Chargers are 0-3-1 against the spread this season
- Denver is 1-3 to the OVER this season
- Los Angeles is 1-3 to the OVER this season
Quarterback Matchup: Broncos vs. Chargers
- Denver: Bo Nix
2026 Statistics: 4GP, 819 Passing Yards, 5 TDs, 3 INTs, 80.4 RTG, Sacked 5 times - Los Angeles: Justin Herbert
2026 Statistics: 4GP, 816 Passing Yards, 4 TDs, 6 INTs, 70.6 RTG, Sacked 12 times
Broncos vs. Chargers: Top Playmakers
Broncos
- RB J.K. Dobbins
2026 Statistics: 4GP, 46 carries for 161 Yds, 0 TDs / 3 receptions on 4 targets for 16 Yds, 0 TDs - WR Jaylen Waddle
2026 Statistics: 4GP, 16 receptions on 26 targets for 185 Yds, 1 TD - WR Courtland Sutton
2026 Statistics: 4GP, 9 receptions on 22 targets for 86 Yds, 0 TDs
Chargers
- WR Tre’ Harris
2026 Statistics: 4GP, 13 receptions on 22 targets for 209 Yds, 0 TDs - RB Omarion Hampton
2026 Statistics: 4GP, 59 carries for 238 Yds, 3 TDs / 4 receptions on 5 targets for 29 Yds, 0 TDs - WR Quentin Johnston
2026 Statistics: 4GP, 7 receptions on 18 targets for 108 Yds, 0 TDs
Broncos vs. Chargers: Injury Update
Broncos
- WR Pat Bryant (ankle) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game
- LB Dondrea Tillman (neck) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Pat Surtain II (ankle) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game
- CB Riley Moss (ribs) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
Chargers
- WR Ladd McConkey (foot) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- WR Brenen Thompson (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- TE Charlie Kolar (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- LT Rashawn Slater (ankle) has been declared OUT for Sunday’s game
- LG Trevor Penning (head) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- RT Joe Alt (neck) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- OG Kayode Awosika (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- DT Dalvin Tomlinson (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- S Derwin James Sr. (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Donte Jackson (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
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