In supporting McDavid, Oilers face bigger cap tests than Pens, Blackhawks
The Edmonton Oilers officially confirmed Connor McDavid’s contract as the richest in NHL history: eight years at a tidy $100 million.
Remarkably, that $12.5 million cap hit is actually a big break for the Oilers, as McDavid could’ve justifiably demanded more. Either way, what’s next?
GM Peter Chiarelli gave the “no-comment” treatment when asked about Leon Draisaitl, instead praising McDavid for “caring about his teammates.”
Chiarelli’s seen the Blackhawks and Penguins struggle with salary-cap challenges, and the scary thing is that the Oilers must climb a bigger mountain.
Oilers lack some advantages Penguins, Blackhawks enjoyed
As tough as things have been for Chicago and Pittsburgh, Edmonton lacks some of those franchise’s significant edges.
For one thing, signing Sidney Crosby to a 12-year deal with an $8.7 million cap hit wouldn’t be possible today. Edmonton could only sign McDavid for a maximum of eight years, limiting the Oilers’ ability to parallel deals for the likes of Crosby and Evgeni Malkin.
It’s worth noting that the Blackhawks haven’t won a Stanley Cup since Jonathan Toews’ and Patrick Kane’s matching $10.5 million cap hits kicked in, deals that were more costly with the max-year loophole closed.
Yet, even in Chicago’s case, they managed to get a huge-term bargain under its belt during the old CBA. Duncan Keith brings Norris-level defense for a dirt-cheap cap hit of about $5.54 million through 2022-23.
Edmonton must find other opportunities to save money.
Bargains are crucial, and they’re where Chiarelli must “earn his money”
However you slice it, teams must bargain-hunt, and they often need to be creative to make things work.
The Penguins spent assets to land Phil Kessel, and they convinced the Maple Leafs to retain a crucial chunk of his cap hit. They’ve managed to integrate younger players like Jake Guentzel, Conor Sheary, Bryan Rust, and especially Matt Murray into a mix of established stars. Of course, they’ve also enjoyed some luck along the way, most notably in convincing Marc-Andre Fleury to go to Vegas.
In many ways, Chicago set a template for the Penguins in discovering the likes of Artemi Panarin while also finding success with the likes of Ryan Hartman. Both Stan Bowman and Jim Rutherford have been willing to take chances on players and part ways with guys who weren’t deemed essential.
Such a thought explains why Kris Russell and Milan Lucic stand as polarizing signings; if those two struggle, that’s $10M poorly spent.
Not all bad
Look, Chiarelli faces some difficult challenges, yet he also has some things working in his favor.
Most obviously, this is a largely young core, with players who can improve. It’s reasonable to believe that McDavid and Draisaitl could make other, cheaper wingers better when Edmonton’s budget gets especially tight.
Cam Talbot’s also been a revelation, and while his $4.2M cap hit expires after two more seasons, it’s a nice bargain to have.
There are also some decent deals on defense.
Andrej Sekera, Oscar Klefbom, and Adam Larsson combine for an affordable, solid trio. Klefbom and Larsson are also in their prime years, likely to deliver value for Edmonton going forward.
Once you shake off concerns about Lucic and Russell, the slate is actually fairly clean for Edmonton. That’s especially true if they make another tough call and move Ryan Nugent-Hopkins if his $6M is too much to stomach.
The Oilers aren’t in an impossible situation, just a very challenging one. With McDavid as a sure thing alongside other nice pieces, it comes down to Chiarelli providing the supporting cast needed to collect some Stanley Cups.
Signing McDavid was the easy part.