This week the PGA Tour heads to Bermuda for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship. After having a strong field for the CJ Cup, this week we are grasping at straws to find a single golfer inside the OWGR top 50. Generally, this tournament is a focus for golfers with few wins and trying to establish themselves as more than just PGA Tour pros fighting to keep their Tour card. With the lack of strength, there is also a lack of familiarity of many of the players with the general betting public. Most of these golfers aren’t household names; this provides us a bit of value in betting on the unknown and undervalued. With the unknowns about the weather, I have kept my placement bets to a minimum. Here are the golfers that I like this week:
Adam Schenk Top-40 (-105)
This market shouldn’t exist this week, yet it does on FanDuel. There are plenty of golfers this week whom I’d consider volatile. Schenk is not one of them, at least not in a field like this. Schenk is on a spree of playing very good golf. He finished 16th at ZOZO and 12th at the Shriners. He struggled a bit to end the season, which had to do with his poor performance off the tee and his putter going missing. He’s not the most accurate driver in the field, but with his length off the tee, he will club down more times than not. He’s 21st in my primary model. I trust this model, and I agree with its thoughts on Schenk this weekend.
Callum Tarren Top-20 (+200)
Tarren is the top-ranked golfer on my model, and as a customary tradition, I will find a way to bet him. Tarren is long off the tee, with an average driving distance of 313 yards; he should be able to handle this course. Having a wedge in hand should make life easy for Tarren. Looking over his rankings versus the field over the last 36 rounds, there’s no surprise why he’s first in the field. He’s fifth in Strokes Gained: Total, eighth in SG: Putting, 15th in SG: Approach, fourth in driving distance, third in scrambling, and sixth in Par 4: 400-450. This is one of the more volatile golfers in the field. He’s had three missed cuts in his last four events and a DQ in his lone Bermuda trip. He has the tools to be dangerous, at +200, its worth a shot on him finishing inside the top 20.
Thomas Detry Top-20 (+150)
Backing all bombers in this market wasn’t my intention. However, I can’t pass up betting on Detry this week. He’s crazy long off the tee and hits GIR at a high clip. With Port Royal measuring just 6,828 yards, Detry has a massive advantage over many golfers in the field. Hitting the ball an average of 313 yards, he should have a wedge in his hand on most holes. Detry is the best putter in the field. Having a wedge in and being a great putter should set him up for success. With the Thursday weather forecast projecting rain for the afternoon wave, I’m happy to see Detry listed with a 9:08 AM tee time.