Offensive Player of the Year frontrunner and now MVP candidate Jonathan Taylor leads the Indianapolis Colts (7-1) into the Steel City this Sunday to take on Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3). It’s a battle featuring two first place teams as the Colts lead the AFC South by two games over Jacksonville and the Steelers sit atop the AFC North by two games over the Bengals.
Taylor has rushed for 850 yards through eight games…on just 143 carries (5.9yds/carry). The All Pro back has also scored 14 touchdowns to date (12 rushing / 2 receiving). Add in a Daniel Jones under center who is attacking opposing defenses and NOT turning the ball over (13 TDs vs. 3 INTs) and you have an offense that is averaging nearly 34 points per game. To put just how dominant they have been on offense, the Colts have scored 270 points this season. In the AFC, the next highest total belongs to Kansas City. They have scored 214 points. The only team in the NFC that has scored more than 215 is Dallas with 246 points scored. They have been so dominant that their bell cow Taylor rarely has played more than a snap or two in any fourth quarter.
The Steelers have lost two in a row and there are fingers getting pointed at the offense as well as the defense. Neither has been stellar. Pittsburgh is scoring 25 points per game but also giving up 25 points per game. Aaron Rodgers and the passing game has been OK, but the running game has been largely ineffective accounting for the fourth-fewest yards in the NFL to date (660). With their secondary already pretty banged up, Mike Tomlin and co. need to be able to run the ball to keep that high octane Colts’ offense on the sidelines if they hope to get back in the win column and remain in control of the division.
Lets dive into the numbers and see where they lead us for this Week 9 matchup.
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Game Details and How to watch the Colts vs. Steelers live Sunday
- Date: Sunday, November 2, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM EST
- Site: Acrisure Stadium
- City: Pittsburgh, PA
- Network/Streaming: CBS
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Game odds for the Colts at the Steelers
The latest odds as of Wednesday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Indianapolis Colts (-175), Pittsburgh Steelers (+145)
- Spread: Colts -3
- Total: 50.5 points
This game opened at Colts -3.0 with the Game Total set at 49.0.
Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NFL schedule!
Quarterback Matchup for Indianapolis at Pittsburgh
- Colts Starting QB: Daniel Jones
Last Game: 10/26 vs. Tennessee - 21-29, 272yds, 3 TDs, 0 INTs, Sacked 3 times, 1 carry for 3yds rushing
Season: 8GP, 173-243, 2062yds, 13 TDs, 3 INTs, Sacked 9 times, 30 carries for 86yds - Steelers Starting QB: Aaron Rodgers
Last Game:10/26 vs. Green Bay - 24-36, 219yds, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, Sacked 3 times, 0 carries
Season: 7GP, 142-208, 1489yds, 16 TDs, 5 INTs, Sacked 12 times, 11 carries for 18yds rushing
Colts at Steelers team stats, betting trends
- The Steelers have won 4 straight home games against the Colts
- The Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as the favorite
- The Colts are 6-2 ATS this season
- The Steelers are 3-4 ATS this season
- The Colts’ last 3 games have gone OVER the Total
- Game Totals in games involving the Colts are 5-3 to the OVER this season
- Game Totals in games involving the Steelers are 4-3 to the OVER this season
Colts Player Injuries
- CB Jaylon Jones (groin) is eligible to come off the IR but remains questionable for Sunday’s game
- WR Anthony Gould (knee) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- DE Samson Ebukam (knee) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- DE Tyquan Lewis (groin) is questionable for Sunday’s game
Steelers Player Injuries
- WR Scotty Miller (finger) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- LB Malik Harrison (knee) is eligible to come off the IR but remains questionable for Sunday’s game
- S Deshon Elliott (knee) has been declared OUT of Sunday’s game
- G Isaac Seumalo (pectoral) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- DT Daniel Ekuale (knee) has been declared OUT of Sunday’s game
- S Kyle Dugger (knee) is questionable for Sunday’s game
Rotoworld Best Bets
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Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports): Indianapolis Colts -3
As a Steelers’ fan, I said before the Bengals’ game that Pittsburgh would lose their next four games and we are halfway there. The Colts are the surprise team of the NFL, and I don’t see them being surprised on the road. Outside of WR1, Indianapolis has the advantages on offense, and the Pittsburgh secondary has struggled lately giving Daniel Jones hope or a big day. The Colts should win by at least a field goal, so I will take them to cover.
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Best bets our model is projecting for this week’s game between the Colts and the Steelers
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Pittsburgh Steelers at +3.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 49.0.
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