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Auction Mock Draft: NFBC

The following auction took place on the night of March 12. The format was mixed league, 15 teams, 23 rounds, 5x5 scoring with a $260 budget for each team.

This auction wasn’t just a mock, it’s an actual real money league that will play out the season. It was done through the NFBC (National Fantasy Baseball Championship) with 14 other extremely strong competitors. This is a stand-alone league and does not compete with any other leagues for overall prizes.

The one caveat with this league is that there are no waiver moves in-season. After the 23-round auction portion of the draft where all starters are secured, there was then a 27-round reserve draft, leaving each roster with 50 total players. It doesn’t change much, but it may have pushed stability or players with multi-position eligibility up an extra dollar or two.

I’m going to leave out the names of the competitors in this league (aside from my own) out of respect for my fellow drafters and the fact that many of them still have other high-stakes auctions to do in the next couple of weeks and I don’t want to give away any information.

Team 1 (Offense $165 / Pitching $95)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Yasmani Grandal$13
C2Stephen Vogt$6
1BMiguel Cabrera$32
2BNeil Walker$4
SSMarcus Semien$8
3BAdrian Beltre$15
MIAsdrubal Cabrera$6
CIHanley Ramirez$16
OF1Charlie Blackmon$29
OF2Carlos Gomez$13
OF3Kevin Kiermaier$12
OF4Randal Grichuk$5
OF5Joc Pederson$5
UTILMatt Duffy$1
$165

PositionPlayerCost
P1Alex Colome$16
P2Kenta Maeda$16
P3Gerrit Cole$15
P4Ian Kennedy$13
P5James Paxton$12
P6Aaron Nola$8
P7Jharel Cotton$7
P8Dallas Keuchel$5
P9Nate Jones$3
$95

Best Buy: At a glance, the value on Dallas Keuchel is absurd. It wasn’t even dollar days at the end of the auction, he just squeaked by with no one seemingly noticing. I personally blame myself for this one. I wasn’t as engaged as I should have been with players that were not active targets of mine. I was searching for Keuchel on my spreadsheet to see my value for him and by the time I clicked back he was already gone. 58 starting pitchers went for more than Keuchel while he’s the 35th guy according to ADP. Absolute steal. Honorable mentions to Joc Pederson and Stephen Vogt who went at tremendous discounts late in the auction.

Worst Buy: I honestly don’t see a terrible purchase in the bunch. If I had to pick one, it’s Kevin Kiermaier. Only 30 outfielders went for higher than $12 in the auction while he’s the 40th ranked guy at the position by ADP. It’s splitting hairs though, because if you need speed (which Team 1 did at the time), it makes sense. Gerrit Cole is a few dollars higher than I would have gone, but is certainly justifiable given his upside.

Analysis: Overall I think Team 1 did one heck of a job in this auction. He secured a pair of high-end bats at very reasonable costs (Blackmon and Cabrera). He found nice bargains throughout the roster which allowed him to add considerable depth without any real holes in the lineup. He didn’t land an elite-level starting pitcher, instead opting for four quality arms in the $12-$16 range. This hurt my team specifically, as I got stuck hunting in the same price range and was the runner-up bid on a few of them (Maeda, Paxton).

Team 2 (Offense $224 / Pitching $36)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Gary Sanchez$23
C2Tom Murphy$11
1BByung Ho Park$1
2BRougned Odor$22
SSTrevor Story$27
3BNolan Arenado$42
MIJavier Baez$9
CIRyon Healy$10
OF1Mookie Betts$41
OF2Jackie Bradley Jr.$8
OF3Hunter Renfroe$4
OF4Tyler Naquin$1
OF5Jose Peraza$22
UTILBrandon Drury$3
$224

PositionPlayerCost
P1Kyle Hendricks$21
P2Joe Musgrove$4
P3Junior Guerra$3
P4Daniel Hudson$2
P5Michael Wacha$2
P6Ryan Dull$1
P7Koda Glover$1
P8Seth Lugo$1
P9Luke Weaver$1
$36

Best Buy: When you spend $224 on offense there’s no real need to be thrifty, as your split will push your offensive values much higher than the market on many players. Still, Brandon Drury was a great pull for $3 near the end of the auction. I had two hitter spots left on my roster that I wanted for Drury and Mitch Haniger. I couldn’t afford to nominate a player I didn’t want or else risk getting stuck with them for $1. In hindsight, I should have waited another round or two before throwing Drury out and maybe I could have wound up with him instead.

Worst Buy: Looking at the roster in a vacuum, it would seem as though Jose Peraza is overpriced. Only six shortstops went for more money than the rookie speedster in the auction while he’s 10th at the position via ADP. Again though, when devoting so much money to offense, Team 2 could afford to spend up and get the players he wanted.

Analysis: Holy offense Batman. Team 2 decided to go with Kyle Hendricks and a bunch of bargain basement pitchers while loading up on offense. He already appears to have scored some value, as his speculative add of Koda Glover may pay huge dividends early. How this team eventually does will depend on how the rest of his pitching staff rounds out. Just projecting based on the roster accrued in the auction, Team 2 sits in the bottom third of the league.

Team 3 (Offense $176 / Pitching $84)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Mike Zunino$4
C2Travis d’Arnaud$3
1BPaul Goldschmidt$39
2BJoe Panik$1
SSXander Bogaerts$22
3BJose Ramirez$17
MITyler Saladino$1
CIWil Myers$25
OF1George Springer$22
OF2Kyle Schwarber$15
OF3Byron Buxton$9
OF4Rajai Davis$8
OF5Domingo Santana$6
UTILGreg Bird$4
$176

PositionPlayerCost
P1Jacob deGrom$22
P2Rich Hill$15
P3Vince Velasquez$13
P4Julio Urias$9
P5John Lackey$7
P6Matt Moore$7
P7Jeff Samardzija$6
P8Robert Gsellman$4
P9Mike Foltynewicz$1
$84

Best Buy: The foundation piece on this roster, Paul Goldschmidt, also looks to be one of the best buys of the draft at only $39. That sum was the seventh largest paid for any player in this auction, but more than justifiable given his ADP. My biggest regret in the entire draft is not going the extra $1 here. It was early, and I was still working on the basis of my valuations being correct, when in reality I was pretty far off from where the market split between hitting and pitching was.

Worst Buy: Even with the inflated prices on many of the high-end and middle-tier starting pitchers, Velasquez went for a few more dollars than I would have been willing to go. The 48th starter by ADP, Velasquez was paid as if he was a top-30 option at his position. I also love Wil Myers, but $25 is a few schillings more than I would have gone.

Analysis: From top to bottom, this looks like a very solid if unspectacular team. My projections seem to agree as they have Team 3 finishing in the middle of the pack.

Team 4 (Offense $155 / Pitching $105)

PositionPlayerCost
C1James McCann$2
C2Wilson Ramos$1
1BEdwin Encarnacion$30
2BStarlin Castro$3
SSChris Owings$3
3BTodd Frazier$15
MIBrad Miller$6
CIMitch Moreland$2
OF1Starling Marte$31
OF2Nelson Cruz$27
OF3A.J. Pollock$26
OF4Max Kepler$6
OF5Leonys Martin$1
UTILManuel Margot$2
$155

PositionPlayerCost
P1Madison Bumgarner$34
P2Seung Hwan Oh$18
P3Julio Teheran$17
P4Sam Dyson$13
P5Tanner Roark$8
P6Cam Bedrosian$7
P7Francisco Liriano$4
P8Lance Lynn$3
P9Wei-Yin Chen$1
$105

Best Buy: I get that he’s a tremendous drain on batting average, but Todd Frazier for only $15 looks to be at least a few dollars too cheap. He was paid as the eighth-best player at the hot corner while he ranks fifth there in terms of ADP (excluding Machado who I have listed as a shortstop).

Worst Buy: There’s no glaring overspends that I can see on this roster. On the surface it may look like an overpay to spend $34 on Madison Bumgarner, but again it depends on the split being employed and how he slots in relative to the rest of his position. He went as the second highest starting pitcher, but a full $12 less than Kershaw which is very reasonable. Personally, I’m not a huge Starling Marte fan and would have topped out around $26-$27 there, but that’s just personal preference.

Analysis: Another non-traditional split where Team 4 spent over $100 on his pitching while skimming back on the offense. With several squads employing similar strategies, it can throw off the values on both the hitting and pitching markets, and if you aren’t paying close enough attention to it before it’s too late (like me), it can negatively impact your draft.

Dave Shovein’s Team (Offense $173 / Pitching $87)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Austin Hedges$2
C2Derek Norris$1
1BJose Abreu$24
2BTrea Turner$35
SSTim Anderson$15
3BJustin Turner$12
MIDustin Pedroia$9
CIYangervis Solarte$1
OF1Ryan Braun$28
OF2Eric Thames$14
OF3Keon Broxton$14
OF4Stephen Piscotty$12
OF5Hunter Pence$5
UTILMitch Haniger$1
$173

PositionPlayerCost
P1Cody Allen$15
P2Kelvin Herrera$15
P3Rick Porcello$11
P4Michael Fulmer$10
P5Kevin Gausman$10
P6Matt Shoemaker$9
P7Jon Gray$7
P8Marco Estrada$6
P9Anthony DeSclafani$4
$87

Best Buy: Obviously, I like the prices that I got on most of my players and think that the majority of them were good purchases relative to my own valuations. Dustin Pedroia at $9 is one of the discounts that I got to enjoy by having money and flexibility left over as the draft was winding down. I love the fact that I was able to land Shoemaker for only $9 as I was willing to go as high as $12 or $13 on him, even before realizing that all of my SP valuations were too low. I also think that Mitch Haniger will be a steal at $1.

Worst Buy: I like Marco Estrada a lot and he was a late-round target of mine going into the auction, but I had hoped to nab him for $2 or $3. Given the depleted inventory at the position I was forced to go a few dollars higher than I would have liked here. It ended up costing me the ability to go an extra buck or two on Stephen Vogt and Brandon Drury who both ended up selling for tremendous discounts.

Analysis: Looking at the big picture, I’m happy with how the offense turned out here. I came into the auction looking for a $172/$88 split between my hitting and pitching and I almost hit that mark exactly. As I’ve already alluded to though, I made several key mistakes. First and foremost, I should have gone the extra $1 to get Goldschmidt. He was a top target of mine entering the auction, but was nominated very early and at the time I thought that I was going to stay disciplined, rely on my values and take the value as it came to me. The other key mistake was not recognizing the prices of the starting pitchers. By the time I realized that all of the top-tier starting pitchers were going at a huge premium from where my values were, there was nothing left resembling a SP1 or SP2. I entered the draft with $20 slotted for my top pitching slot, which I assumed would be Darvish or Verlander, then watched them climb to $29 and $24 respectively. I improvised by re-allocating my pitching budget and having a much deeper SP1 – SP6, but I’m sorely missing that top-end talent.

Team 6 (Offense $135 / Pitching $125)

C1Brian McCann$8
C2Matt Wieters$8
1BDaniel Murphy$23
2BDevon Travis$11
SSDansby Swanson$7
3BNick Castellanos$7
MILogan Forsythe$6
CIC.J. Cron$7
OF1Andrew McCutchen$21
OF2Adam Eaton$12
OF3Adam Duvall$8
OF4Kole Calhoun$7
OF5Dexter Fowler$4
UTILMarcell Ozuna$6
$135

PositionPlayerCost
P1Max Scherzer$32
P2Chris Archer$28
P3Roberto Osuna$16
P4Jeurys Familia$13
P5David Robertson$11
P6Shawn Kelley$9
P7Joe Ross$6
P8Carlos Rodon$5
P9Taijuan Walker$5
$125

Best Buy: Given the inflated prices that many top hurlers fetched in this auction, it actually looks like a steal to snag Max Scherzer at only $32. It was the fourth highest price paid to a starting pitcher, but one that looks like a very nice value on the surface.

Worst Buy: I have to go with Chris Archer on this one. Listen, I like the guy. I understand that he has all of the talent in the world and was much improved in the second half of 2016. The issue is that only seven starting pitchers fetched higher prices during the auction. Sure, he could justify this cost and looks tremendous as an SP2, I just feel it’s a slight overpay.

Analysis: Another day, another team spending way more on pitching that I had expected or planned for. Team 6 devoted 48% of his budget to the arms race. I’ll be honest though, I’m impressed by the offense that he was able to assemble on the limited funds. My projection system tends to agree, putting him in the upper half of the league.

Team 7 (Offense $155 / Pitching $105)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Jonathan Lucroy$21
C2J.T. Realmuto$15
1BAnthony Rizzo$30
2BJedd Gyorko$5
SSAledmys Diaz$10
3BManny Machado$42
MIAlcides Escobar$1
CIJose Reyes$3
OF1Yasmany Tomas$4
OF2Kevin Pillar$3
OF3Melky Cabrera$2
OF4Matt Holliday$2
OF5Michael Brantley$1
UTILWillson Contreras$16
$155

PositionPlayerCost
P1Noah Syndergaard$33
P2Johnny Cueto$27
P3Masahiro Tanaka$20
P4Francisco Rodriguez$10
P5J.A. Happ$5
P6Brandon Kintzler$4
P7Fernando Rodney$4
P8Matt Bush$1
P9Lucas Giolito$1
$105

Best Buy: Not one player specifically, but I think that Team 7 did a nice job complementing his three ace pitchers with three closers entering the year with ninth-inning jobs. Being able to secure K-Rod, Rodney and Kintzler for a combined $18 is a job very well done.

Worst Buy: Not that it’s a bad buy necessarily, but I’m not sure that I fully understand the motivation behind the three star catchers. Sure, in a league this deep that starts two catchers, the pool gets thin very quickly and most teams are left holding the bag with scraps behind the plate. If the goal was to protect him from injury and always have tremendous production behind the dish, I can understand it. In fact, all three went at discounts relative to my valuations. If it was done with the idea of playing Contreras in the outfield though, I take offense. I have him valued as a $17 player behind the plate. If he’s played in the outfield full-time, he’s a replacement level player worth just over $1.

Analysis: Sensing a pattern here, Team 7 joined the parade of team’s spending over $100 on pitching. Look at that front three though! Syndergaard, Cueto and Tanaka are as good of a trio as you’ll see in a 15-team league. I’m not sure if the plan going in was to spend $52 on three of the top catchers in the league and invest just $12 in his five-man outfield, but that’s the way it played out. I’ll be curious to check in and see how he built up his outfield depth in the slow draft portion as it looks woefully thin at a glance.

Team 8 (Offense $159 / Pitching $101)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Yan Gomes$3
C2Tony Wolters$2
1BEric Hosmer$16
2BJose Altuve$37
SSCarlos Correa$31
3BKyle Seager$19
MIBrian Dozier$22
CIAdrian Gonzalez$9
OF1Jacoby Ellsbury$6
OF2Jay Bruce$5
OF3Alex Gordon$1
OF4Anthony Gose$1
OF5Cameron Maybin$1
UTILVictor Martinez$6
$159

PositionPlayerCost
P1Carlos Carrasco$27
P2Mark Melancon$18
P3Aaron Sanchez$14
P4Zack Greinke$13
P5Jose Quintana$13
P6Robbie Ray$7
P7Jeanmar Gomez$4
P8Adam Wainwright$4
P9Jordan Zimmermann$1
$101

Best Buy: In my opinion, the best purchase here is clearly Victor Martinez. Often times, players who are eligible at utility only get overlooked in drafts and auctions as people don’t want to tie up that spot unnecessarily. Martinez is a $14 value on my board and went for one of the biggest discounts out of any player in the auction. Shame on me for having my utility spot already filled and being unable to take full advantage here.

Worst Buy: I have combed over this roster and don’t see any glaringly bad purchases. I think that Carlos Correa went for a few dollars more than I would have liked, I have him more in the $26 range, but given his pedigree and immense upside, it’s hard to fault him. Anthony Gose looks like a completely wasted pick for $1 at the end.

Analysis: The overall roster construction here looks good to me, but the absence of anything from Anthony Gose brings him way down in my projected standings. The outfield looks very thin and could be a problem area throughout the season. The pitching staff is an intriguing blend, but it’ll require strong bounce-back efforts from Greinke and Wainwright if this team has visions of competing for the league crown.

Team 9 (Offense $180 / Pitching $80)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Buster Posey$25
C2Cameron Rupp$5
1BFreddie Freeman$29
2BJonathan Villar$28
SSTroy Tulowitzki$9
3BAnthony Rendon$15
MIJosh Harrison$4
CITommy Joseph$11
OF1Ian Desmond$23
OF2J.D. Martinez$21
OF3Hernan Perez$5
OF4Scott Schebler$3
OF5Gerardo Parra$1
UTILJosh Reddick$1
$180

PositionPlayerCost
P1Stephen Strasburg$21
P2Kenley Jansen$20
P3Lance McCullers$10
P4Felix Hernandez$9
P5A.J. Ramos$9
P6Jerad Eickhoff$4
P7Addison Reed$3
P8Dylan Bundy$2
P9Sonny Gray$2
$80

Best Buy: The award for the best purchase on this squad has to go to Felix Hernandez. Shame on me for letting him get by for $9 and not at least price enforcing a bit. He was an $11 pitcher on my board, even with my outdated pitching split. With the increased velocity that he has shown this spring, this could wind up being one of the best purchases in the entire draft.

Worst Buy: I should fault him for not catching the Ian Desmond news that broke earlier in the day, but he’s only missing a few weeks and could still easily return profit on that number. The head-scratcher for me is Tommy Joseph for $11. While I like the power potential, he shouldn’t be fetching higher prices than proven sluggers like Albert Pujols and Adrian Gonzalez.

Analysis: Now this is what I was looking for, a much more traditional split between the hitting and pitching budgets! This looked like a relatively strong team on paper, but Team 9 is already getting hit hard by the injury bug. The news on Desmond’s injury broke earlier in the day before this auction, but unfortunately he didn’t get word until after he had been taken. The J.D. Martinez injury since is just bad luck.

Team 10 (Offense $198 / Pitching $61)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Jett Bandy$1
C2Andrew Susac$1
1BJoey Votto$28
2BRobinson Cano$25
SSElvis Andrus$10
3BEugenio Suarez$6
MIDJ LeMahieu$16
CIMatt Carpenter$16
OF1Mike Trout$45
OF2Billy Hamilton$25
OF3Jose Bautista$19
OF4David Peralta$4
OF5Shin-Soo Choo$1
UTILMark Reynolds$1
$198

PositionPlayerCost
P1Justin Verlander$24
P2Danny Salazar$13
P3Matt Harvey$9
P4Jim Johnson$9
P5Mike Montgomery$2
P6Brett Anderson$1
P7Carter Capps$1
P8Mike Leake$1
P9Tyler Skaggs$1
$61

Best Buy: It’s difficult to call a $1 purchase someone’s best buy of the draft, but I see several dollars of profit coming here for Shin-Soo Choo. Given how the pitching market played out here, Danny Salazar looks like a very nice purchase at $13 as well.

Worst Buy: I’m sorry, maybe he proves me wrong, but in this market Jose Bautista is simply not a $19 player. Only 19 outfielders went for more in this auction and I can’t fathom Bautista finishing as a top-20 outfielder this year. On my board, even giving him 27 bombs and 92 RBI, he’s a $10 player.

Analysis: Team 10 was one of the few squads to go the other way on the budget split, hammering offense with 76% of his money and figuring out pitching with the rest. As it should be, the offense looks very strong, though I’d have looked for more out of the catcher position than the Brewer tandem when devoting so many resources to bats. It will depend what kind of pitching depth he can build up in the draft portion, but this looks like a bottom-third team on paper.

Team 11 (Offense $164 / Pitching $96)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Russell Martin$8
C2Welington Castillo$7
1BChris Davis$22
2BDee Gordon$27
SSEduardo Nunez$13
3BJung Ho Kang$5
MIOrlando Arcia$3
CIMiguel Sano$11
OF1Mark Trumbo$20
OF2Adam Jones$17
OF3Khris Davis$14
OF4Travis Jankowski$4
OF5Curtis Granderson$1
UTILKendrys Morales$12
$164

PositionPlayerCost
P1Jon Lester$25
P2Zach Britton$19
P3Cole Hamels$19
P4Tony Watson$11
P5Michael Pineda$7
P6Raisel Iglesias$5
P7Garrett Richards$5
P8Jeremy Hellickson$3
P9Zach Davies$2
$96

Best Buy: Khris Davis for $14 looks like a nice value to add power to the team. Garrett Richards could end up being an absolute steal for $5 if he can stay healthy. Though I’m not a big Travis Jankowski guy, he should be able to easily pay off that $4 price tag with his legs alone.

Worst Buy: Team 11 remained very patient and disciplined throughout the auction and didn’t seem to overpay often. The one spot that I could fault him for would be Chris Davis. He’s being counted on to be a foundation piece of the offense, with his $22 tag representing the second-highest expenditure on that side of the ball. This team would look a lot better if that had been Eric Hosmer or Hanley Ramirez for $16 with the extra money used to upgrade elsewhere.

Analysis: Not as extreme of a split here, but still a much greater focus on pitching than I had anticipated. Overall, it looks like a pretty well-executed spread the wealth strategy. No player was acquired for more than $27 and the bottom end of the roster looks relatively strong. I’d be surprised if this team finished in the bottom third of the league. At the same time though, I don’t know if there’s the necessary upside to bring home the hardware.

Team 12 (Offense $167 / Pitching $93)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Yadier Molina$7
C2Tyler Flowers$1
1BCarlos Santana$14
2BIan Kinsler$15
SSCorey Seager$28
3BAlex Bregman$16
MIFrancisco Lindor$24
CIAlbert Pujols$10
OF1Kris Bryant$40
OF2Yasiel Puig$5
OF3Carlos Beltran$2
OF4Brett Gardner$2
OF5Jason Heyward$1
UTILBrandon Phillips$2
$167

PositionPlayerCost
P1Corey Kluber$30
P2Aroldis Chapman$21
P3Jameson Taillon$13
P4Steven Matz$11
P5Andrew Miller$7
P6Gio Gonzalez$4
P7Daniel Norris$3
P8Hisashi Iwakuma$2
P9Hector Neris$2
$93

Best Buy: The trio of Albert Pujols, Ian Kinsler and Carlos Santana each went $1 or $2 too cheap. I was in the bidding for all three and just couldn’t pull the trigger on the extra buck at the end. Jason Heyward for $1 and Daniel Norris for $3 also look like they could pay off big time.

Worst Buy: It’s hard to argue with paying a premium to acquire elite offensive talent. Team 12 went a few bucks over my valuation to snag Kris Bryant with this thought in mind, and I can’t fault him for that. Paying the same premium for Corey Seager though, isn’t something that I would have done. While he’s a tremendous young player, I have a hard time seeing how he delivers profit from $28 given his lack of stolen bases.

Analysis: This is another team that looks very well constructed from top to bottom. There’s a reason that these leagues are considered the pinnacle of fantasy competition. He paid a premium to get Kluber as his ace though and it may have cost him the ability to secure a second closer. With no in-season moves, that could be a category that comes back to hurt his overall chances of a title.

Team 13 (Offense $159 / Pitching $101)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Salvador Perez$10
C2Francisco Cervelli$3
1BJustin Bour$3
2BJason Kipnis$6
SSBrandon Crawford$4
3BJosh Donaldson$30
MICesar Hernandez$4
CIMike Moustakas$7
OF1Christian Yelich$23
OF2Carlos Gonzalez$20
OF3Justin Upton$19
OF4Matt Kemp$15
OF5Lorenzo Cain$12
UTILDidi Gregorius$3
$159

PositionPlayerCost
P1Chris Sale$29
P2Carlos Martinez$19
P3Edwin Diaz$17
P4Craig Kimbrel$17
P5David Price$11
P6Ivan Nova$4
P7Alex Cobb$2
P8Collin McHugh$1
P9Ervin Santana$1
$101

Best Buy: Can I nominate this entire roster as its best purchase? Seriously, this guy is one of the best in the business for a reason. If I had to pick one, it’s clearly Josh Donaldson. It was still very early in the auction when his name (minor calf injury and all) came onto the block. Team 13 jumped him right to $30 and... crickets. A consensus first round pick deftly swiped for the 17th-highest price paid for any player in the auction. Honorable mention to Jason Kipnis who was stolen for $6 which is absurd even with his shoulder issues.

Worst Buy: I honestly don’t see a bad purchase here. There’s nothing but profit up and down the roster. Didi Gregorius looks bad in hindsight now that he was injured in WBC play, but he was purchased at a $2 discount at the time.

Analysis: Team 13 has to be considered the odds-on favorite to win this league heading into the season. To understand how good of a job he did, his team projects better than mine using my own personal projections. Think about that for a second. It’s like I went into an exam with a cheat sheet and he still did better than me. Given the fact that he utilized a $160/$100 split rather than what I had thought would be the standard, I’m likely to adjust my own to something closer to this split going forward for my 15-team auctions.

Team 14 (Offense $170 / Pitching $90)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Evan Gattis$12
C2Devin Mesoraco$1
1BBrandon Belt$13
2BJonathan Schoop$9
SSJean Segura$21
3BEvan Longoria$15
MIAddison Russell$9
CIJake Lamb$12
OF1Yoenis Cespedes$26
OF2Gregory Polanco$25
OF3Andrew Benintendi$14
OF4Nomar Mazara$3
OF5Corey Dickerson$1
UTILMike Napoli$9
$170

PositionPlayerCost
P1Jake Arrieta$25
P2Wade Davis$15
P3Marcus Stroman$12
P4Sean Manaea$11
P5Drew Smyly$11
P6Jake Odorizzi$6
P7Dellin Betances$5
P8Ryan Madson$3
P9Blake Treinen$2
$90

Best Buy: Mike Napoli looks like a great addition for only $9. He’s slated to hit in the middle of the Rangers’ lineup and should provide plenty of power on the cheap. Nomar Mazara for $3 is just stealing. I also like the $11 price on Sean Manaea and wish I had gone the extra dollar there.

Worst Buy: Another team where I don’t see any glaringly bad purchases. Evan Gattis, Jean Segura and Jake Lamb all look to me like they could be a buck or two overpriced, but nothing extreme. Marcus Stroman looks like he may have gone for a premium as well, but I believe he was the best starting pitcher on the board at that late stage of the auction and there were a few bidders with ample funds that pushed his price up.

Analysis: Well, what do we have here, another solidly built team that looks highly competitive on paper. Stop me if you’ve heard this one before. I think that the fate of this squad will ultimately ride on the health and performance of Jake Arrieta and Wade Davis. If Arrieta returns to form in a contract year and pitches like an ace and Davis remains healthy and racking up saves, this team should be in the thick of the race.

Team 15 (Offense $125 / Pitching $135)

PositionPlayerCost
C1Jason Castro$1
C2Sandy Leon$1
1BLucas Duda$1
2BBen Zobrist$7
SSFreddy Galvis$1
3BMaikel Franco$16
MIJorge Polanco$1
CIAdam Lind$1
OF1Bryce Harper$32
OF2Giancarlo Stanton$22
OF3Odubel Herrera$14
OF4David Dahl$11
OF5Ender Inciarte$8
UTILJarrod Dyson$9
$125

PositionPlayerCost
P1Clayton Kershaw$46
P2Yu Darvish$29
P3Danny Duffy$17
P4Ken Giles$16
P5Adam Ottavino$8
P6Neftali Feliz$6
P7Blake Snell$6
P8Drew Pomeranz$4
P9Brandon Maurer$3
$135

Best Buy: Given the prices that most superstar offensive players went for in this auction, getting Bryce Harper for just $32 looks tremendous. I like the value on Odubel Herrera at $14 and think there’s several dollars of profit baked into Ben Zobrist at $7.

Worst Buy: It isn’t a player specifically that I can criticize, but the entire infield outside of Zobrist and Maikel Franco is highly questionable. He’ll need this group to perform in order to have success.

Analysis: We already know by now that my split was wrong and caused my pitching valuations to be off, but this is extreme. Team 15 spent a league-high 52% of his budget on pitching. He was going to pay whatever price was necessary to acquire Clayton Kershaw, going all the way to $46 ($1 more than Mike Trout). Seems he was doing the same thing on Darvish, taking the right-hander all the way to $29. He’s got a great front three and four closers, but can he get enough on offense to stay in the thick of things? The infield as a whole is cringe-worthy.