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How commanding is Warriors’ 3-2 lead in NBA Finals?

Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Klay Thompson

Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) celebrates with forward Draymond Green, center, and guard Klay Thompson (11) after Game 5 of basketball’s NBA Finals against the Cleveland Cavaliers in Oakland, Calif., Sunday, June 14, 2015. The Warriors won 104-91. (AP Photo/Ben Margot)


The Warriors have taken a 3-2 lead over the Cavaliers in the NBA Finals.

What does that mean historically?

The team up 3-2 in a best-of-seven series have won 85% percent of the time (238-41), but that probably understates Golden State’s advantage.

When the team that began the series with home-court advantage is up 3-2, it has won 92% of the time (163-14).

The Warriors have looked better than the Cleveland practically this entire season. That’s why they’re up 3-2. And that’s why they’re even more likely to win the series than an average team up 3-2.