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Lakers’ Talen Horton-Tucker could get poison-pill offer sheet in free agency

Lakers guard Talen Horton-Tucker

HOUSTON, TX - JANUARY 10: Talen Horton-Tucker #5 of the Los Angeles Lakers smiles during the game against the Houston Rockets on January 10, 2021 at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2021 NBAE (Photo by Cato Cataldo/NBAE via Getty Images)

NBAE via Getty Images

Talen Horton-Tucker stuck in the Lakers’ rotation even after they trimmed it.

But will he last in Los Angeles through 2021 restricted free agency?

The No. 46 pick in the 2019 NBA Draft, Tucker signed a two-year contract. He has already developed into a contributor, using his incredible length to become a defensive disruptor. His attacking with the ball and good-enough jumper make him a two-way contributor.

Of course, plenty of teams covet his skills.

Brian Windhorst of ESPN:

People think that he could the Tyler Johnson poison-pill contract.

As a restricted free agent with fewer than three years experience, Horton-Tucker will be limited by the Gilbert Arenas provision (as Tyler Johnson was in 2016). The projected worth of the largest offer sheet Horton-Tucker could sign:

  • 2021-22: $9,535,740 (equal to non-taxpayer mid-level exception)
  • 2022-23: $10,012,527 (105% of first-year salary)
  • 2023-24: $30,913,905 (110% of a 2021-22 max salary for a player with fewer than seven years experience)
  • 2024-25: $32,305,031 (104.5% of third-year salary)
  • Total: $82,767,203

To sign Horton-Tucker to this offer sheet, a team must have enough 2021 cap space to fit the contract’s average salary. If the offer sheet goes unmatched, Horton-Tucker would count against the cap at his average salary each season of the deal ($20,691,801 in the above scenario).

If the Lakers match, they could theoretically decide whether to count Horton-Tucker against the cap at his actual salary each season or his average salary all four seasons. However, only teams under the cap when matching can use average salaries. The Lakers will almost certainly be above the cap.

So, that’d be a bitter pill to swallow in the third and fourth seasons of a Horton-Tucker deal.

For what it’s worth, Tyler Johnson didn’t receive the largest-possible amount in the third and fourth years (enough to make him puke, but not the largest-possible amounts). Horton-Tucker is also unlikely to receive that upper limit.

Horton-Tucker’s agent – Rich Paul, who also represents LeBron James – has a good relationship with the Lakers. If Horton-Tucker gets a desirable offer-sheet offer, he could always not officially sign it then re-sign with the Lakers for similar compensation. That’d allow the Lakers to structure his salaries more traditionally.

So, it’s unlikely the Lakers get maximally jammed.

But the way Horton-Tucker is playing, the Lakers could face a dilemma this summer.

After considerable hype, the 2021 free-agent class has fizzled as players have signed contract extensions. It takes only one team to love Horton-Tucker, who’s just 20. Even if not for the full amount possible, a large offer sheet could really press the Lakers.