Leading up to Super Bowl XLIX, we’ll take a closer look at one proposition bet per day, something we’ve dubbed PFT’s Prop Challenge. Here’s the idea: we present a prop, do some light analysis, then turn it over to you to vote upon which side you would take — hypothetically, of course. (Previous examples are at the bottom of this post.)
When the Super Bowl wraps up, we’ll tally the votes and see how well PFT Planet did.
Now, let’s get to today’s prop, which is courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook:
Over-Under on Patriots tight end Tim Wright’s Super Bowl receiving yards: 0.5.
Yes, you read this correctly.
The Over-Under on Tim Wright’s receiving yardage is one-half of one yard.
And the OVER is priced to entice bettors.
If the OVER hits, bettors will win $17.50 for every $10 wagered (+175).
The UNDER, meanwhile, is priced at -200.
In this case, bettors win just $5 for every successful $10 bet.
The Over-Under has everything to do with Wright’s lack of playing time in the postseason. The ex-Buccaneer logged just eight offensive snaps in the lead-up to the Super Bowl and was not targeted once in the passing game.
However, Wright’s regular-season form could appeal to OVER players. He was targeted 33 times in regular-season play, catching 26 passes for 259 yards and six scores.
This is a fascinating prop. The regular-season numbers point OVER. The postseason form says UNDER. And given Wright’s lack of recent playing time, the prospect of him being a Super Bowl scratch isn’t completely out of the realm of possibility, though he has been active in every game this season.
So again, we turn to you, PFT Planet members and veterans of the Tangiers sports book alike.
What side are you taking — OVER or UNDER?
Do let us know.
[polldaddy poll=8614373]
Previous props studied:
Day I: Over-Under on Brandon LaFell’s receiving yards.
Day II: Over-Under on Doug Baldwin’s catches.
Day III: Will Rob Gronkowski score a touchdown?
Day IV: Will there be a one-yard TD in the Super Bowl?
