Skip navigation
Favorites
Sign up to follow your favorites on all your devices.
Sign up
Odds by

Celtics vs. Warriors predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for February 19

The Boston Celtics (35-19) kick off the second half of their season with a challenge by the Bay, when they take the court at Chase Center against the Golden State Warriors (29-26) tonight.

Currently sitting second in the Eastern Conference, the Celtics are riding high with a 7-3 record in their last ten games, relying on an MVP-level season from Jaylen Brown (29.3PPG) and a deep supporting cast committed to three-point shooting and defense. Boston enters this clash as slight 3.5 to 5.5-point favorites, aiming to continue their strong play while whispers of a Jayson Tatum return to the court in time for the postseason grow louder.

The Warriors are dealing with their own glut of injuries with Stephen Curry and Kristaps Porzingis joining an infirmary that already includes Jimmy Butler. The injuries have taken their toll on the team as Steve Kerr’s crew has lost four of its last six. Brandin Podziemski has stepped up as a reliable scorer (15.3PPG over last 3 games) but Golden State is definitely playing shorthanded. Much like the Celtics, the Warriors love the three-pointer having made more shots from beyond the arc than any other team.

This matchup promises to be a battle of styles and efficiency, with the Celtics holding a +7.2 net rating compared to the Warriors’ +1.8. While Boston has dominated defensively, limiting opponents to 100.2 points over their last 10 games, the Warriors bring a heightened pace and elite passing to this one, averaging 28.9 assists this season.

Lets take a closer look at the matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

After 24 years, the NBA is back on NBC and Peacock, combining the nostalgia of an iconic era with the innovative future of basketball coverage. The NBA on NBC YouTube channel delivers fans must-see highlights, analysis, and exclusive and unique content.

Game Details and How to Watch Live: Celtics at Warriors

  • Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026
  • Time: 10PM EST
  • Site: Chase Center
  • City: San Francisco, CA
  • Network/Streaming: Amazon Prime Video, NBC Sports Bay Area, NBC Sports Boston

Rotoworld has you covered with all the latest NBA Player News for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Game Odds: Celtics at Warriors

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Boston Celtics (-205), Golden State Warriors (+170)
  • Spread: Celtics -5.5
  • Total: 212.5 points

This game opened Celtics -3.5 with the Total set at 223.5.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NBA schedule!

Expected Starting Lineups: Celtics at Warriors

Boston Celtics

  • PG Derrick White
  • SG Baylor Scheierman
  • SF Jaylen Brown
  • PF Sam Hauser
  • C Neemias Queta

Golden State Warriors

  • PG Pat Spencer
  • SG De’Anthony Melton
  • SF Moses Moody
  • PF Gui Santos
  • C Draymond Green

Injury Report: Celtics at Warriors

Boston Celtics

  • Jayson Tatum (Achilles) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game

Golden State Warriors

  • Stephen Curry (knee) is listed as OUT for tonight’s game
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Seth Curry (sciatica) is listed as OUT for tonight’s game
  • LJ Cryer (hamstring) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Will Richard (knee) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
Take Avdija to be named NBA's most improved player
Trysta Krick and Jay Croucher reveal who they think will win the NBA's Most Improved Player award, sharing why Deni Avdija, who is "largely a slam dunk" to win the award if he stays healthy, is "the bet in this market."

Important stats, trends and insights: Celtics at Warriors

  • The Warriors are 18-10 at home this season
  • The Celtics are 17-10 on the road this season
  • The Warriors are 24-30-1 ATS this season / 13-14-1 at home
  • The Celtics are 30-23-1 ATS this season / 17-9-1 on the road
  • The OVER has cashed in 20 of the Celtics’ 54 games this season (20-34)
  • The OVER has cashed in 31 of the Warriors’ 55 games this season (31-24)
  • The Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games
  • Sam Hauser has made at least 3, 3-pointers in 11 of his last 19 games
  • Nikola Vucevic has made at least 2, 3-pointers just twice in his last 7 games

Rotoworld Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s Celtics and Warriors’ game:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Celtics -5.5 ATS
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Game Total OVER 212.5

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar!

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)