Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills certainly feel right at home in the playoffs, but you will have to excuse them if they feel somewhat out of place Sunday in Jacksonville when they take on Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars to open the 2025 playoffs. It will be the first game in their last 13 to be played somewhere other than Kansas City or Buffalo.
The 2025 season has seen each of these teams’ offenses dominate many a Sunday afternoon. Jacksonville ranks sixth in the NFL averaging 27.9 points per game. The Bills have been even better putting 28.3 points per game on the scoreboard each week to rank fourth. At home, the Jags are scoring 30.8 points per game this season, but more relevant is the fact they are averaging 36.4 points per game in their last five games. On the road, the Bills are averaging 25 points per game. Over their last five games, Buffalo is averaging 28.8 points per game.
Matchup to Watch: Buffalo Rushing Offense vs. Jacksonville Rushing Defense
Led by James Cook, Buffalo finished the regular season ranked first in rushing yards per game (159.6), and second in yards per rush (5.0). Cook toted the rock 309 times for 1,621 yards and 12 touchdowns. In Jacksonville, Buffalo faces the NFL’s top-ranked run defense that allows just 85.6 rushing yards per game. The Jaguars are also fifth in yards allowed per rushing attempt (3.9). They did not allow a back to gain 75 yards in a game all season. To put that in perspective, only two other teams since 2000 accomplished that feat.
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These teams have met twice previously in the postseason with Jacksonville winning both games. Blake Bortles led the Jags to a 10-3 win in the Wild Card round in the 2017 playoffs over a Tyrod Taylor-led Bills’ team. Jacksonville also prevailed in the Wild Card round in 1996 as Mark Brunell outlasted Jim Kelly, 30-27.
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Lets dive into the matchup a little deeper and look at the playoff history of these teams, their current quarterbacks, injuries, and a few stats and trends for each.
NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates courtesy of Rotoworld, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.
Game Details and How to Watch: Bills at Jaguars live Sunday
- Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Time: 1PM EST
- Site: EverBank Stadium
- City: Jacksonville, FL
- Network/Streaming: CBS
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Game Odds: Bills at Jaguars
The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Buffalo Bills (-112), Jacksonville Jaguars (-108)
- Spread: Bills -1.5
- Total: 51.5 points
This game sits right where it opened with Buffalo favored by 1.5 points and the Game Total set at 51.5.
Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NFL schedule!
Playoff History: Bills and Jaguars
Buffalo Bills
All-Time Playoffs: 21-22
Wild Card Round: 8-5
Divisional Round: 7-9
AFC Championship: 4-4
Super Bowl: 0-4
Pre-1966: 2-0
Jacksonville Jaguars
All-Time Playoffs: 8-8
Wild Card Round: 5-2
Divisional Round: 3-3
AFC Championship: 0-3
Quarterback Matchup: Bills at Jaguars
- Bills Starting QB: Josh Allen
Last Game: 1/4 vs. Jets – 0-0, 0yds, 0TDs, 0INTs, Was not Sacked, 0 carries for 0yds rushing
Season: 17GP, 319-460, 3668yds, 25TDs, 10INTs, Sacked 40 times, 112 carries for 579yds rushing - Jaguars Starting QB: Trevor Lawrence
Last Game: 1/4 vs. Tennessee – 22-30, 255yds, 3TDs, 0INTs, Sacked 2 times, 2 carries for 11yds rushing
Season: 17GP, 341-560, 4007yds, 29TDs, 12INTs, Sacked 41 times, 82 carries for 359yds rushing
Bills at Jaguars: Team Stats and Betting Trends
- The Jaguars are 12-5 ATS this season
- The Bills are 8-9 ATS this season
- The OVER has cashed in 10 of the Jaguars’ 17 games this season (10-7)
- The OVER has cashed in 9 of the Bills’ 17 games this season (9-8)
- Josh Allen is making his seventh consecutive appearance in the playoffs (7-6)
- The Jaguars have won 8 in a row and have averaged a league-best 33.6 points per game over their last 8
- The Jaguars are beating teams by an average of 19.1 points per game over their last 8 games
Bills Player Injuries
- RB Ty Johnson (ankle) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- WR Joshua Palmer (ankle) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- TE Dalton Kincaid (knee) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- DT DaQuan Jones (calf) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- LB Matt Milano (illness) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- LB Terrel Bernard (calf) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- LB Shaq Thompson (neck) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- S Jordan Poyer (hamstring) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- PK Matt Prater (quad) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- DT Jordan Phillips (undisclosed) is eligible to be activated from the IR
Jaguars Player Injuries
- LT Cole Van Lanen (knee) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- RG Patrick Mekari (undisclosed) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- DE Danny Striggow (elbow) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Jarrian Jones (illness) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Greg Newsome II (shoulder) is questionable for Sunday’s game
- CB Montaric Brown (undisclosed) is questionable for Sunday’s game
Rotoworld Best Bets
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Best bets our model is projecting for this week’s game between the Bills and the Jaguars
- Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Jaguars +1.5.
- Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 51.5.
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