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Baffert’s Improbable leads 2020 Breeders’ Cup Classic odds

Edzo joins Rich Eisen to share his best betting tips ahead of the $6 million Breeders' Cup Classic at Keeneland on Nov. 7 (2:30 p.m. ET, NBC).

Bob Baffert’s Improbable opens as the 5-2 morning line favorite to lead the 2020 Breeders’ Cup Classic odds at Keeneland on Saturday, Nov. 7. He will start from the No. 8 spot. Post time for the Breeders’ Cup Classic is set for approximately 5:13 p.m. ET.

Improbable took fifth in last year’s Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile but is on a three-race winning streak with firsts in the Hollywood Gold Cup, Whitney and Awesome Again (all G1). Baffert’s three charges break from the outermost stalls, with 2020 Kentucky Derby winner and Preakness runner up Authentic (9-5) starting from the No. 9 and the infamous Maximum Security (7-2) taking the far outside at No. 10.

Maximum Security first made waves after his controversial disqualification from the 2019 Kentucky Derby. He went on to win the inaugural $20 million Saudi Cup in February of 2020, just days before his then-trainer Jason Servis was indicted by the FBI for participating in a systematic doping ring that swept up multiple horses, including Maximum Security. After a trainer change and several months off, he collected two graded wins in three starts with Baffert.

The Baffert contingent’s biggest competition will be Saratoga sweetheart Tiz the Law (3-1). The 2020 Belmont and Travers winner takes the No. 2 stall in the Classic. After finishing second in the Kentucky Derby behind Authentic, Tiz the Law sat out the Preakness so he could rest up for the Breeders’ Cup. He is owned by New York-based racing syndicate Sackatoga Stables and trained by Barclay Tagg—the same connections behind 2003 Kentucky Derby and Preakness winner Funny Cide.

Related: 2020 Breeders’ Cup schedule

This year’s Preakness winner Swiss Skydiver had her pick between the Classic and Distaff but opted for the ladies-only Distaff, where she opens with 2-1 odds. She will face heavyweight Monomoy Girl (8-5), who won the race in 2018.

NBC Sports is home to the 2020 Breeders’ Cup, providing live racing, in-depth analysis and expert picks before, during and after. Coverage kicks off with Future Stars Friday on November 6, from 2-6 p.m. on NBCSN, and the NBC Sports app. On Saturday, coverage resumes on NBCSN, and the NBC Sports app beginning at 12 p.m., with the broadcast jumping to NBC from 2:30-5:30 p.m.

Related: What to know about the 2020 Breeders’ Cup

Below are the 2020 Breeders’ Cup Classic odds and post positions as of Monday, Nov. 2.

1. Tacitus (20-1)
Trainer: Bill Mott
Jockey: Jose Ortiz

2. Tiz the Law (3-1)
Trainer: Barclay Tagg
Jockey: Manny Franco

3. By My Standards (10-1)
Trainer: Bret Calhoun
Jockey: Gabriel Saez

4. Tom’s d’Etat (6-1)
Trainer: Albert Stall Jr.
Jockey: Joel Rosario

5. Title Ready (30-1)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
Jockey: Corey Lanerie

6. Higher Power (20-1)
Trainer: John Sadler
Jockey: Flavien Prat

7. Global Campaign (20-1)
Trainer: Stanley Hough
Jockey: Javier Castellano

8. Improbable (5-2)
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.

9. Authentic (9-5)
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Jockey: John Velazquez

10. Maximum Security (7-2)
Trainer: Bob Baffert
Jockey: Luis Saez



Watch NBC Sports’ coverage of the 2020 Breeders’ Cup starting with Future Stars Friday on Nov. 6 from 2-6 p.m. ET (NBCSN) and continuing with Championship Saturday on Nov. 7 from 12-5:30 p.m. ET (NBCSN until 2:30, NBC from 2:30-5:30).