NBA Player Props, March 22: How to bet Hawks vs Knicks, WCJ Props
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Wendell Carter Jr. Double-Double vs. Warriors
Wendell Carter Jr. has been on a tear, recording a double-double in 10 of his last 12 games and 10 or more points in 19 straight games.
The Orlando big man has not posted below eight rebounds since January 23rd, which is pretty impressive. WCJ has totaled two straight double-doubles versus the Warriors and at least nine boards in four consecutive meetings.
Golden State is still undersized in the front court and are only +7 home dogs with Stephen Curry out. With that being said, our model projects WCJ to record 19.5 points and 10.2 rebounds WCJ scored at least 18 points in four straight games and 10 or more rebounds in three of those games.
He hit the Over on 16.5 points in seven of the past 10 games (70%) and Over 9.5 rebounds in eight of 10 (80%), per NBC’s Player Prop projections.
WCJ’s Over 9.5 rebound prop is -130 and -140, while the double-double is -110, a more favorable number. I also like the Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds for WCJ -- he has at least 26 P+R in four straight and seven of the previous eight games.
Let’s ride WCJ to double-double versus Golden State. Three of the past five starting centers recorded at least nine rebounds versus the Warriors and WCJ is on a heater.
I played this at -115 odds and would play to -125 before option for Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds.
Pick: Wendell Carter Jr Double-Double (1u)
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Hawks (-3.5) vs. Knicks: O/U 226.5
Who could have thought the Knicks (30-41) and Hawks (35-36) would be under .500 at this point?
These are the same squads that earned No. 4 and 5 seeds last year. The Hawks advanced in the postseason but struggled in the regular-season. The Hawks won the first round series 4-1, but lost the previous seven regular-season meetings versus the Knicks.
Atlanta has a nice schedule to take advantage as they sit at No. 10 in the East. The Knicks are 11 games under .500 and announced Julius Randle will be out for this game -- moving the ML from -115 to -150 for Atlanta. New York is in need of a miracle run to make the play-in tournament.
The Knicks have the upper-hand on the Hawks, but oddly were the underdogs before the Randle news. This year, New York is 2-9 on the ML as a home underdog (18.1%), losing five straight, per NBC’s Edge Finder.
The Hawks are 5-6 on the ML as a road favorite (45.5%) and won two of the past three. Atlanta will play tomorrow. In fact, both teams play tomorrow -- on the road.
Looking at tomorrow’s matchups, Atlanta goes to Detroit, while New York travels to Charlotte, the No. 9 seed in the East. Two huge back-to-back big games for the Knicks, while Atlanta can play harder tonight and skate by versus Detroit tomorrow.
In Madison Square Garden, I think this will be the Hawks coming out party with a win over the Knicks as we should see the Hawks as favorites and likely winners in four of the next five games, including this one.
I played Atlanta at -115 odds and would play this out to -150 before parlaying Hawks ML and a player prop on WCJ 10+ points or 8+ rebounds for better odds.
Pick: Hawks ML (1u)
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