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Commanders at Cowboys prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, injury update, betting trends, and stats

Do you remember back in the day when NFC East rivals Dallas and Washington met and it was a physical battle between two, finally tuned machines? when yards were hard to come by? I barely do. It has been that long since each has even approached ferocious on defense.

Sunday, the rivalry is renewed as the Commanders (3-3) and the Cowboys (2-3-1) meet in Dallas.

Both Washington and Dallas lost last week and primarily because of just how poorly they defended the run. The Cowboys were flattened by Rico Dowdle and the Carolina Panthers on their way to a 30-27 loss. The former Cowboy running back averaged 6.1 yards/carry and finished with 183 yards rushing on the afternoon. He also caught four balls for 56 yards. Cowboys’ fans know if it wasn’t Dowdle it would have been someone else as their defense continues to struggle stopping anyone.

As bad as Dallas was defensively against the run, though, a case could be made that Washington was even worse in their 25-24 loss to Chicago this past Sunday. The Cowboys gave up an average of 6.4 yards per play to the Panthers, but the Commanders surrendered 6.5 yards per play to the Bears. D’Andre Swift was the primary recipient of Washington’s generosity gaining 108 yards on just 14 carries (7.7yds/carry).

Doubtful either side expects to be better. Points should not be a problem which is why the Game Total is set at a robust 54.5 points.

Lets take a deeper dive into the numbers, though, and see if there is an advantage to be uncovered in this Week 7 matchup of NFC East rivals.

NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

Game Details and How to watch the Commanders at Cowboys live Sunday

  • Date: Sunday, October 19, 2025
  • Time: 4:25PM EST
  • Site: AT&T Stadium
  • City: Arlington, TX
  • Network/Streaming: FOX

Want to check out the other games on the NFL schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports with all the matchup, venue, game-time and TV/streaming info so you won’t miss any of the action!

Game odds for the Commanders at the Cowboys

The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Washington Commanders (-135), Dallas Cowboys (+114)
  • Spread: Commanders -2.5
  • Total: 54.5 points

This game opened at Commanders -2.5 with the Game Total set at 52.5.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NFL schedule!

Quarterback Matchup for Washington at Dallas

  • Commanders Starting QB: Jayden Daniels
    Last Game: 10/13 vs. Chicago - 19-26, 211yds, 3 TDs, 1 INT, Sacked 3 times, 10 carries for 52yds
    Season: 4GP, 77-124, 875yds, 7 TDs, 1 INT, Sacked 11 times, 36 carries for 176yds
  • Cowboys Starting QB: Dak Prescott
    Last Game: 10/12 at Carolina - 25-34, 261yds, 3 TDs, 0 INTs, Was not Sacked, 2 carries for -1yd
    Season: 6GP, 164-229, 1617yds, 13 TDs, 3 INTs, Sacked 7 times, 14 carries for 49yds

Commanders at Cowboys team stats, betting trends

  • George Pickens caught 9 passes for 168yds in the loss at Carolina
  • Jake Ferguson was targeted just 3 times in the loss at Carolina
  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt was held to 61 yards rushing on 17 carries last Sunday
  • The Commanders have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with losing records
  • The Over is 7-3 in the Cowboys’ last 10 games

Commanders Player Injuries

  • WR Terry McLaurin (quad) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • DE Dorance Armstrong (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • DT Eddie Goldman (illness) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • WR Noah Brown (groin) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • LB Kain Medrano (coach’s decision) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game

Cowboys Player Injuries

  • WR Ceedee Lamb (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • WR Kavontae Turpin (foot) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • OT Ajani Cornelius (knee) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • LB Jack Sanborn (concussion) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • WR Jonathan Mingo (knee) remains on the IR for the Cowboys
  • DE Marshawn Kneeland (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • CB Caelen Carson (knee) is eligible to return from the IR but has not yet been activated by the Cowboys

Rotoworld Best Bets

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Best bets our model is projecting for this week’s game between the Commanders and the Cowboys:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Dallas Cowboys at +2.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 54.5.

Rotoworld has you covered with all the latest betting info & tools for NFL with player news, game predictions, player props, futures, and trends!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

● Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
● Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
● Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
● Trysta Krick (@Trista_Krick)