It looks as if the New England Patriots (8-2) have undergone one of the fastest rebuilds in NFL history. Following last weekend’s win over the Bucs, Drake Maye and co. are sitting atop the AFC East and tied for the best record in the NFL. They have won as many games already this season as they had won the two previous seasons combined. Thursday night they look to win their eighth in a row when they play host to the New York Jets (2-7).
Maye (+275) is now the favorite to win league MVP honors. The sophomore slinger is third in the NFL in passing yards with 2,555, third in the NFL in passing touchdowns with 19 and has mixed in a mere five picks all season. Few expect that last number to grow Thursday night as the Jets have yet to intercept a pass this season. Heck, they have forced but one turnover in 2025. New York, however, has won two straight to build a modicum of momentum heading into this AFC East tilt.
Matchup to Watch: Patriots’ Run Defense vs. Jets’ Rushing Attack
New England’s defense against the run ranks #1 in the NFL allowing just 79.2 yards per game. New York’s offense is most definitely run-based and is averaging 141.8 yards per game. No question the Pats will stuff the box and key on Breece Hall and the rest of the Jets’ backfield, but if the Jets are going to compete Thursday night they MUST run the ball effectively.
Lets dive into the numbers and see where they lead for this matchup.
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Game Details and How to watch the Jets vs. Patriots live Thursday
- Date: Thursday, November 13, 2025
- Time: 8:15PM EST
- Site: Gillette Stadium
- City: Foxborough, MA
- Network/Streaming: Amazon PV
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Game odds for the Jets at the Patriots
The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Jets (+575), Patriots (-850)
- Spread: Patriots -12.5
- Total: 43.5 points
This game opened at Patriots -13 with the Game Total set at 45.0.
Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NFL schedule!
Quarterback Matchup for New York at New England
- Jets Expected Starting QB: Justin Fields
Last Game: 11/9 vs. Cleveland - 6-11, 54yds, 1TD, 1INT, Sacked 3 times, 7 carries for 28yds rushing
Season: 8GP, 113-178, 1143yds, 6TDs, 1INT, Sacked 25 times, 60 carries for 316yds rushing - Patriots Starting QB: Drake Maye
Last Game: 11/9 at Tampa Bay - 16-31, 270yds, 2TDs, 1INT, Sacked 1 time, 7 carries for 13yds rushing
Season: 10GP, 205-286, 2555, 19TDs, 5INTs, Sacked 35 times, 66 carries for 283yds rushing
Jets at Patriots team stats, betting trends
- The Patriots have won their last 3 games against AFC East opponents
- The Jets have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games (71%) as an underdog
- The Patriots’ last 3 home games have gone OVER the Total
- New England is 7-3 ATS this season
- New York is 5-4 ATS this season
Jets Player Injuries
- WR Garrett Wilson (knee) is listed as doubtful for Thursday’s game
- DE Will McDonald IV (quad) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- CB Azareye’h Thomas (concussion) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- RB Khalil Herbert (groin) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- LB Kiko Mauigoa (concussion) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- G Xavier Newman (ankle) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- LDT Harrison Phillips (undisclosed) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- DE Braiden McGregor (undisclosed) is questionable for Thursday’s game
Patriots Player Injuries
- S Jaylinn Hawkins (shoulder) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- CB Marcus Jones (elbow) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- LB K’Lavon Chaisson (ankle) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- LB Jack Gibbens (hamstring) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- LB Christian Elliss (hip) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- RB Rhamondre Stevenson (toe) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- RB TreVeyon Henderson (knee) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- WR Kayshon Boutte (hamstring) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- TE Austin Hooper (concussion) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- C Garrett Bradbury (undisclosed) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- DE Christian Barmore (undisclosed) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- DE Joshua Farmer (undisclosed) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- LB Marte Mapu (undisclosed) is questionable for Thursday’s game
- CB Charles Woods (undisclosed) is questionable for Thursday’s game
Rotoworld Best Bets
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Best bets our model is projecting for this week’s game between the Jets and the Patriots
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the New York Jets at +12.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the UNDER on the Game Total of 43.5.
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