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Bracketology: Carolina, Kentucky move up

Duke v North Carolina

CHAPEL HILL, NORTH CAROLINA - MARCH 09: Kenny Williams #24 of the North Carolina Tar Heels reacts after a play against the Duke Blue Devils during their game at Dean Smith Center on March 09, 2019 in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images)

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We begin a new week with two new No. 1 seeds ... North Carolina and Kentucky. The Tar Heels arrive after completing a season sweep of Duke. The Wildcats arrive after beating Florida and having Tennessee fall at Auburn.

The Blue Devils and Volunteers are next on the Seed List and could move back up with strong tourney showings. Keep an eye, too, on Michigan State. The Spartans beat Michigan a second time and winning the Big Ten tournament would put them in the conversation for a one seed.

Along the bubble, a few early-round tournament games might well end up being de-facto elimination games, especially in the ACC, Big East, and Big 10. The cutline is a very unsettled landscape and it’s likely to change several times between now and Sunday.

Then we have teams like Belmont and Furman, both of whom must sit, wait, and watch. It’s going to be a long week.

UPDATED: March 11, 2019

MIDWEST REGIONCreighton vs. UNC-Greensboro
SOUTH REGIONOhio State vs. Clemson
EAST REGIONIona vs. Norfolk State
WEST REGIONPrairie View vs. St. Francis (PA)


EAST - Washington, DCWEST - Anaheim
ColumbiaSalt Lake City
1) Virginia1) Gonzaga
16) Iona / St. Francis (PA)16) Prairie View / Norfolk St
8) Ole Miss8) Iowa
9) VCU9) Baylor
San JoseHartford
5) Maryland5) Mississippi State
12) LIBERTY12) Creighton / NC-Greensboro
4) Kansas State4) Florida State
13) New Mexico State13) Vermont
Des MoinesTulsa
6) Cincinnati6) Nevada
11) Arizona State11) St. John’s
3) Michigan3) Texas Tech
14) Hofstra14) Harvard
JacksonvilleDes Moines
7) Louisville7) Wofford
10) Utah State10) Syracuse
2) LSU2) Michigan State
15) Colgate15) BRADLEY
MIDWEST - Kansas CitySOUTH - Louisville
1) Kentucky1) North Carolina
16) Omaha16) Sam Houston State
8) Oklahoma8) UCF
9) Seton Hall9) Washington
HartfordSan Jose
5) Virginia Tech5) Marquette
12) MURRAY STATE12) Ohio State / Clemson
4) Wisconsin4) Kansas
13) Old Dominion13) UC-Irvine
Salt Lake CityTulsa
6) Auburn6) Villanova
11) Indiana11) TCU
3) Houston3) Purdue
14) Montana14) Georgia State
7) Iowa State7) Buffalo
10) Minnesota10) Temple
2) Duke2) Tennessee
15) Wright State15) GARDNER-WEBB

Last 4 ByesLast 4 IN First 4 OUTNext 4 OUT
TCUOhio StateNC StateFlorida
St. John’sCreightonGeorgetownAlabama
Arizona StateUNC-GreensboroBelmontTexas

TOP SEED LINE: Virginia is the No. 1 overall seed, followed by Gonzaga, North Carolina, and Kentucky

Breakdown by Conference ...

Big 10 (9): MICHIGAN STATE, Michigan, Purdue, Wisconsin, Maryland, Iowa, Minnesota, Indiana, Ohio State

ACC (8): VIRGINIA, Duke, North Carolina, Florida State, Virginia Tech, Louisville, Syracuse, Clemson

BIG 12 (7): TEXAS TECH, Kansas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Oklahoma, Baylor, TCU

SEC (6): LSU, Kentucky, Tennessee, Mississippi State, Auburn, Ole Miss

Big East (5): VILLANOVA, Marquette, Seton Hall, St. John’s, Creighton

American (4): HOUSTON, Cincinnati, UCF, Temple

Pac 12 (2): WASHINGTON, Arizona State

Mountain West (2): NEVADA, Utah State

Southern (2): WOFFORD, UNC-Greensboro

Atlantic 10 (1): VCU

Mid American (1): BUFFALO

West Coast (1): GONZAGA

ONE BID LEAGUES: BRADLEY (MVC), Iona (MAAC), Old Dominion (C-USA), Texas State (SBELT), Harvard (IVY), Montana (BSKY), Wright State (HORIZON), Sam Houston State (SLND), UC-Irvine (BWEST), LIBERTY (ASUN), MURRAY STATE (OVC), Hofstra (CAA), GARDNER-WEBB (BSO), Norfolk State (MEAC), Omaha (SUM), New Mexico State (WAC), Vermont (AEAST), Colgate (PAT), St. Francis (PA) (NEC), Prairie View (SWAC)

Bracketing principles: read them for yourself at