The NBA lottery is totally fixed, but in the interest of appeasing the NBA, we’re going to share the odds the league says each team has of receiving each pick.
We will add that it’s been a long time since there was this little buzz around the NBA about the lottery — because nobody really cares if they get the top pick. A couple teams have already hinted that if they win it, they are going to shop it around for a trade. Why? There are some nice players in this draft (Nerlens Noel, Trey Burke) but no real franchise changers. Future starters, some good rotation players, but whoever gets drafted at the top of this class will have expectations on him he almost certainly will not meet.
The lottery determines only the top three picks, so not each team can receive each pick. For example, the eighth-seeded Wizards are eligible to land only picks 1, 2, 3, 8, 9, 10 or 11.
Here are the full odds for each team:
Magic
- One: 25 percent
- Two: 21.507 percent
- Three: 17.76753 percent
- Four: 35.72541 percent
Bobcats
- One: 19.9 percent
- Two: 18.80896 percent
- Three: 17.11759 percent
- Four: 31.85529 percent
- Five: 12.31814 percent
- Thirteen: 0.00065 percent (from Trail Blazers)
Cavaliers
- One: 15.6 percent
- Two: 15.73695 percent
- Three: 15.58053 percent
- Four: 22.56471 percent
- Five: 26.48206 percent
- Six: 4.03576 percent
Suns
- One: 11.9 percent
- Two: 12.59662 percent
- Three: 13.29535 percent
- Four: 9.85451 percent
- Five: 35.05137 percent
- Six: 16.04898 percent
- Seven: 1.25314 percent
Pelicans
- One: 8.8 percent
- Two: 9.65468 percent
- Three: 10.6772 percent
- Five: 26.14841 percent
- Six: 35.96765 percent
- Seven: 8.38169 percent
- Eight: 0.37034 percent
Kings
- One: 6.3 percent
- Two: 7.09618 percent
- Three: 8.11381 percent
- Six: 43.94758 percent
- Seven: 30.43731 percent
- Eight: 4.00008 percent
- Nine: 0.10503 percent
Pistons
- One: 3.6 percent
- Two: 4.16257 percent
- Three: 4.91491 percent
- Seven: 59.92783 percent
- Eight: 25.30111 percent
- Nine: 2.05964 percent
- Ten: 0.03393 percent
Wizards
- One: 3.5 percent
- Two: 4.0507 percent
- Three: 4.78819 percent
- Eight: 70.32848 percent
- Nine: 16.52498 percent
- Ten: 0.79965 percent
- Eleven: 0.00801 percent
Timberwolves
- One: 1.7 percent
- Two: 1.99974 percent
- Three: 2.40995 percent
- Nine: 81.31034 percent
- Ten: 12.19939 percent
- Eleven: 0.37823 percent
- Twelve: 0.00235 percent
Trail Blazers
- One: 1.1 percent
- Two: 1.30074 percent
- Three: 1.57717 percent
- Ten: 86.96703 percent
- Eleven: 8.87541 percent
- Twelve: 0.179 percent
76ers
- One: 0.8 percent
- Two: 0.94844 percent
- Three: 1.15345 percent
- Eleven: 90.73834 percent
- Twelve: 6.28269 percent
- Thirteen: 0.07694 percent
- Fourteen: 0.00013 percent
Raptors
- One: 0.7 percent
- Two: 0.83059 percent
- Three: 1.01114 percent
Mavericks
- One: 0.6 percent
- Two: 0.71255 percent
- Three: 0.86829 percent
- Thirteen: 96.02189 percent
- Fourteen: 1.79737 percent
Jazz
- One: 0.5 percent
- Two: 0.59429 percent
- Three: 0.7249 percent
- Fourteen: 98.1809 percent
Thunder
- Twelve: 93.53599 percent (from Raptors via Rockets)
- Thirteen: 3.90061 percent (from Raptors via Rockets)
- Fourteen: 0.02169 percent (from Raptors via Rockets)
