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Who will win the Premier League? Predicting the title race, analysis on remaining games

The Premier League title race is set to be a remarkable three-horse race until the very end, as we enter the final stretch of the 2023-24 season.

But, who will win it all?

[ MORE: How to watch Premier League in USA ]

Reigning champs Manchester City are surging and sit atop the table for the first time since November, while Liverpool and Arsenal both suffered shock home defeats at the weekend to impact their title hopes as they sit two points behind City. The Gunners have the toughest remaining schedule, while Liverpool have the Klopp factor as he prepares to leave in May. Will any of that help Arsenal or Liverpool get past the machine that is Manchester City?

At one point we were calling Aston Villa and Tottenham outside title contenders but any fairytale hopes they had have fallen by the wayside.

With six games to go it is all about Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City.

[ MORE: Latest Premier League table ]

Below we focus on the current top three in the Premier League and predict the points they will get and how it will all pan out between now and the final day on May 19.


Manchester City

Current position: 1st
Current points: 73 points (+44 goal difference)
Games remaining: Brighton (A), Nottingham Forest (A), Wolves (H), Fulham (A), Tottenham (A), West Ham (H)

Predicted points: 89 points

We all know City are a juggernaut and at this time of the season they kick on, plus they’re chasing a double-treble for goodness sake. Even though they are looking susceptible on the counter attack and Erling Haaland isn’t quite as clinical as he was last season, they’re still in imperious form and have peaked at the right time. City know if they win their final six games (all very winnable, with Tottenham away the only really tough game) of the season they will be champions. They are now the red-hot favorites.

Arsenal

Current position: 2nd
Current points: 71 points (+49 goal difference)
Games remaining: Wolves (A), Chelsea (H), Tottenham (A), Bournemouth (H), Manchester United (A), Everton (H)
Predicted points: 85 points

We thought Mikel Arteta’s side were a different animal to last season. But their shock defeat at home to Aston Villa (a very good side) felt all too familiar to their collapse last season. Perhaps this Arsenal squad isn’t as strong as we thought as Arteta has rolled out Bukayo Saka, Declan Rice and Martin Odegaard time and time again and all three look extremely tired with Champions League knockout action taking its toll. City and Liverpool have more depth and experience but Arsenal have real quality and can take it down to the final game of the season.

Liverpool

Current position: 3rd
Current points: 71 points (+41 goal difference)
Games remaining: Fulham (A), Everton (A), West Ham (A), Tottenham (H), Aston Villa (A), Wolves (H)

Predicted points: 85 points

Just as Liverpool’s injury issues eased they suffered a shock home loss to Crystal Palace. They do have the easiest remaining schedule out of the three contenders. The only games you can see them dropping points in are against Tottenham and Aston Villa. That’s it. As long as the injury problems stay calm and the trio of Alisson, Alexander-Arnold and Jota slot right back into the starting lineup, then Jurgen Klopp can dream of getting the perfect ending to his Liverpool career. But it will go down to the wire and their lack of ruthlessness in their draw against Man United and draw at home against Crystal Palace proved that nerves are setting in. The Klopp factor is the x-factor for Liverpool as their players have reacted superbly to his announcement and want to give him a trophy-laden finale.

And the winner will be...

Manchester City! Okay, this prediction will likely change on a weekly basis between now and May 19 but you can’t look past Pep Guardiola’s side hitting top form at the perfect time of the season and that coinciding with Liverpool and Arsenal suffering shock defeats. City still have to rotate expertly down the stretch but they have so much experience in these kind of situations. Two points ahead with six very winnable games to go, it is clearly advantage Manchester City.

Liverpool look likely to be out of European competition this week so they will have one focus: win their final six games of the season and see what happens. While Man City and Arsenal are still in the Champions League and that will have a big impact on their final weeks of the season too and if they both make it to the semifinals (where they will face each other) or beyond they will be stretched to their limits. There are still plenty of twists and turns to come. Grab the popcorn.