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How to bet the Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks matchup

Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler

Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports

Vaughn Dalzell breaks down why he’s backing the Miami Heat to end the Milwaukee Bucks 12-game winning streak.

Heat at Bucks (-3): O/U 219.5

The Bucks enter this game post All-Star break on a 12-game winning streak and could be without Giannis Antetokounmpo and Pat Connaughton as both are listed doubtful.

With the last game taking place on Feb. 16, we cannot expect the Bucks to just pick up where they left off prior to All-Star Weekend, especially when the Bucks are 5-4 without Giannis this season.

This is the last meeting between the Bucks and Heat for the regular season. Miami won the first two meetings at home 108-102 and 111-95. The Bucks took the previous at home, 123-115 during this 12-game winning streak.

I like the Heat to end that winning streak here and take the season series 3-1 over the Bucks in Milwaukee.

Multiple players on each time were invited to the All-Star Weekend or attended, but one key player that wasn’t present was Jimmy Butler. Jimmy Buckets took some time off and I expect him to lead the charge tonight as the Heat are healthy outside of Kyle Lowry.

This will also be the debut for Kevin Love with Miami, so expect the Heat to play with some excitement as well as determination to make up ground in the East. Miami is the No. 7 seed right now but only 2.0 games back of the No. 5 spot.

Give me the Heat +3 at -110 odds good down to the ML at +100 or better if Giannis is out. If he’s in, I will pass.

Pick: Heat +3 if Giannis is out (1u)

LEANS:

Knicks (-2) at Wizards: O/U 224.5

The line moved from Knicks +1.5 to -2, so it appears Bradley Beal will likely be out for Washington. The road team has won both meetings this year and looking over the stats from February, the Knicks’ defense has the upper-hand.

New York’s defense ranks top 10 in field goal percentage (46.2%), three-point percentage (33.1%), opponent rebounds per game (39.6), assists (23.4), and points per game (109.4). Washington is 14th or worse in all but one of those categories. If Beal is out, I will take the Knicks ML at -130 odds for 1 unit.

Nets at Bulls (-2): O/U 222.5

As a Bulls fan, this year has the complete opposite feeling of last season, but this could be a good time to back Chicago. The Bulls entered All-Star break on a six-game losing streak, so that break was much needed, more than any other team in the playoff field.

Brooklyn made tons of deals at the trade deadline, so this team’s 4-1 stretch in the past five games was interrupted by All-Star Weekend. Chicago has been tough to trust, but with Patrick Beverley, they can get back to defense. The Bulls rank top 10 across the board in most of the defensive categories during February, including No. 3 in defensive net rating while the Nets are 27th.

In that same span, Chicago is 29th offensively and Brooklyn is 19th. I may add the Bulls to my card for no more than a 0.5 unit. This Bulls’ team is not to be trusted but they have a lot to play for in the final two months of the season.

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