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Domantas Sabonis O/U 11.5 Rebounds vs. Wizards
Domantas Sabonis opened the season with an outstanding 33 point and 15 rebound-game versus the Hornets.
He faces a positive matchup with the Wizards for game 2. Washington allowed 54.0 rebounds in the season-opener (26th), including an NBA-high 19 offensive rebounds. Sabonis is not the guy you want to face coming off that type of outing.
The 25-year-old forward led the NBA with 30.0 rebound chances in the opener, grabbing 15 of those. He was one of nine players in the entire league, with 20 or more rebound chances in the first game.
NBC’s player prop model projects Sabonis to record 11.8 rebounds with 12.5’s popping up across the board, so get the 11.5 if you have it.
When you look at his last five games versus the Wizards, he has dominated the boards. We are talking about 13, 19, 11, 17 and 12 rebounds in those five games, a 4-1 hit rate the Over, per statmuse.
He will battle Daniel Gafford, Montrezl Harrell and Kyle Kuzma for the majority of rebounds, which should be no problem for Sabonis. Kuzma had an outstanding game with 15 rebounds versus the Raptors, but I am not sure that will convert against Sabonis and company.
Play the 11.5 for one unit or the 12.5 for 0.75 units.
Pick: Domantas Sabonis Over 11.5 Rebounds (1u)
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Christian Wood O/U 20.5 Points vs. Thunder
What a game! Rockets versus Thunder!
Will we watch this or the MLB’s ALCS Game 6?
I think we know, so I will not take up too much of your time, but this is a good bet to check the box scores in between.
In Christian Wood‘s career against the Thunder -- when he has played 35 or more minutes, Wood hit Over 20.5 points all three times. At 26 or fewer minutes, he hit the Under all three times, per statmuse.
His 20.7 points per game versus the Thunder is the most versus any opponent for his career -- he likes playing Oklahoma City.
NBC’s player prop model projects Wood at 20 points in 31 minutes, which seems on cue for him.
Last season, when Wood played between 30-39 minutes, he averaged 22.7 points per game instead of 17.0 at 20-29 minutes.
The Rockets are -3 point home favorites, something worth noting. When the Rockets won with Wood on the court last year, his scoring average rose from 20.3 in losses to 22.6 in wins.
Wood will draw an opposing lineup that consists of Darius Bazley, Isaiah Roby, Derrick Favors and Aleksej Pokusevski.
Those guys combined with the rest of OKC to allow 50 points in the paint to the Utah Jazz, including 16 points and 21 rebounds to opposing center Rudy Gobert. Wood dropped 27 points and eight rebounds in his last meeting versus the Thunder.
Play Wood at 20-plus points or Over 20.5 points for a unit. I would play Over 21.5 points versus Oklahoma City for a 0.5 unit.
Pick: Christian Wood Over 20.5 Points (1u)
#NBA on @NBCSportsBet 🏀
— Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) October 22, 2021
1u
Fred VanVleet vs Celtics
Over 17.5 Points (-120) DK
Almost bet him in the opener at 20.5
17.5 is low, yes to 18.5
18+ PTS in 3 of L5 vs BOS
FVV went 5/20 in opener, 1 FTA
Scored 35 on BOS last Szn 👀
Bounce back spot!#PlayerProps #NBAtwitter pic.twitter.com/yV3F7yKYjP
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