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Cowboys at Bears prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, injury update, betting trends, and stats

After escaping their home opener with a win over the Giants, the Dallas Cowboys (1-1) take the show on the road to the Windy City for a showdown against the Chicago Bears (0-2).

Ben Johnson’s tenure as Bears’ head coach has gotten off to a less than auspicious start. Both sides of the ball have been underwhelming. The offense could not get a crucial first down or two late in the game and the defense could not get a stop against Minnesota that enabled the Vikings’ comeback in Week 1. Last weekend Chicago was run out of Motown, 52-21, failing in all facets of the game. Issues abound on both sides of the ball, but the majority of the heat from fans and the media is focused on second-year quarterback Caleb Williams.

No issues under center for Dallas. After struggling to put points on the ball in the first half, Dak Prescott led the Cowboys’ offense 30 points after intermission in Dallas’ 40-37 win in overtime against the Giants last weekend. Prescott threw for 361 yards and a couple scores but more importantly, was special late in the game when plays simply had to be made.

Lets take a deeper dive into this Week 3 showdown between the Cowboys and the Bears.

NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

Game Details and How to watch the Dallas Cowboys at the Chicago Bears live Sunday

  • Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
  • Time: 4:25PM EST
  • Site: Soldier Field
  • City: Chicago, IL
  • Network/Streaming: FOX

Want to check out the other games on the NFL schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports with all the matchup, venue, game-time and TV/streaming info so you won’t miss any of the action!

Game odds for Dallas at Chicago

The latest odds as of Sunday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Dallas Cowboys (-118), Chicago Bears (-102)
  • Spread: Cowboys -1.5
  • Total: 50.5 points

This game opened at Bears -1.5 with the Game Total set at 46.0.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NFL schedule!

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Quarterback Matchup for Dallas at Chicago

  • Cowboys Expected Starting QB: Dak Prescott
    Last Game: 9/14 vs. NY Giants - 38-52 (73.1%), 361yds, 2 TDs, 1 INT, Sacked 3 times, 3 carries for 17yds
    Season: 2GP, 59-86 (68.6%), 549yds, 2 TDs, 1 INT, Sacked 3 times, 4 carries for 20yds
  • Bears Expected Starting QB: Caleb Williams
    Last Game: 9/14 at Detroit - 19-30 (63.3%), 207yds, 2 TDs, 1 INT, Sacked 4 times, 5 carries for 27yds
    Season: 2GP, 40-65 (61.5%), 417yds, 3 TDs, 1 INT, sacked 6 times, 11 carries for 85yds

Cowboys at Bears team stats, betting trends

  • The Bears have lost 9 of their last 10 games
  • The Cowboys have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games against NFC teams
  • The Over is 12-8 in the Bears’ last 10 home games and the Cowboys’ last 10 on the road combined

Cowboys Player Injuries

  • LT Tyler Guyton (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • CB Trevon Diggs (illness) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • CB Daron Bland (foot) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • WR/KR Kavontae Turpin (neck) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • C Cooper Beebe (ankle) was placed on IR Monday and has been declared out of Sunday’s game

Bears Player Injuries

  • RB D’Andre Swift (quad) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • DT Grady Jarrett (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • LB T.J. Edwards (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • CB Jaylon Johnson (undisclosed) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s game
  • LB D’Marco Jackson (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • RG Kiran Amegadjie (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game
  • WR Jahdae Walker (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game

Rotoworld Bet Best Bets

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Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports): Bears +1.5 vs. Cowboys

Caleb Williams is 0-8 in his career when he plays in the 4 PM ET window or later and Dak Prescott has beat up on under .500 teams in his career (39-12), so it’s easy to pick the Cowboys here, but I like the 0-2 Bears.

Dallas plays fast (4th overall) and if Chicago matches their pace (18th), I think the Bears will be just fine because believe it or not, Chicago ranks third in the NFL for third-down defense allowing a 31.8% conversion rate despite being 0-2. Dallas is tied for the worst third down defense in the league at 51.8% with Miami. I think Chicago can win this game and they aren’t as bad as the last five quarters look. Bears +1.5 down to the ML.

***

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Best bets our model is projecting for this week’s game between the Cowboys and the Bears:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Dallas Cowboys at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 50.0.

Rotoworld has you covered with all the latest betting info & tools for NFL with player news, game predictions, player props, futures, and trends!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

● Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
● Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
● Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
● Trysta Krick (@Trista_Krick)