Skip navigation
Sign up to follow your favorites on all your devices.
Sign up
View All Scores

Who has the best chance to win the World Cup?


Brazil team (back row L-R) Brazil’s goalkeeper Alisson, Brazil’s defender Marquinhos, Brazil’s midfielder Paulinho, Brazil’s midfielder Renato Augusto, Brazil’s defender Miranda and Brazil’s midfielder Casemiro, (front row L-R) Brazil’s striker Neymar, Brazil’s defender Dani Alves, Brazil’s striker Gabriel Jesus, Brazil’s defender Marcelo and Brazil’s midfielder Philippe Coutinho pose for a group photograph ahead of the international friendly football match between England and Brazil at Wembley Stadium in London on November 14, 2017. / AFP PHOTO / Adrian DENNIS / NOT FOR MARKETING OR ADVERTISING USE / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE (Photo credit should read ADRIAN DENNIS/AFP/Getty Images)

AFP/Getty Images

With the World Cup draw complete, national teams and fans can start to figure out what their teams’ paths are to the World Cup title.

Luckily for us, Opta has done the hard work crunching numbers and has some interesting results for us.

Opta’s World Cup predictor gives Brazil with the highest chance of raising the Jules Rimet trophy at 14.2 percent, followed by defending World Cup champion Germany at 11.4 percent. Argentina (10.9 percent), France (10.5 percent) and Spain (9.3 percent) round out the top five. Morocco, at 0.5 percent, has the smallest chance of world glory.

[READ: Southgate: Always “big pressure” on England]

Of course, while Brazil has the best chance, South American nations haven’t won a World Cup in Europe since 1958. That time it was Brazil - Pele’s first World Cup - in Sweden.

Here’s some more Opta statistical analysis following the World Cup draw.