With the World Cup draw complete, national teams and fans can start to figure out what their teams’ paths are to the World Cup title.
Luckily for us, Opta has done the hard work crunching numbers and has some interesting results for us.
Opta’s World Cup predictor gives Brazil with the highest chance of raising the Jules Rimet trophy at 14.2 percent, followed by defending World Cup champion Germany at 11.4 percent. Argentina (10.9 percent), France (10.5 percent) and Spain (9.3 percent) round out the top five. Morocco, at 0.5 percent, has the smallest chance of world glory.
[READ: Southgate: Always “big pressure” on England]
14.2% - Based on our World Cup predictor, Opta give Brazil the highest chance of winning the 2018 World Cup (14.2%), followed by Germany (11.4%). Probability. pic.twitter.com/TKDTdilCqk
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) December 1, 2017
Of course, while Brazil has the best chance, South American nations haven’t won a World Cup in Europe since 1958. That time it was Brazil - Pele’s first World Cup - in Sweden.
Here’s some more Opta statistical analysis following the World Cup draw.
53.9% - England have a 53.9% chance of qualifying from their group and into the knockout stages based on Opta's World Cup predictor. Crunch. pic.twitter.com/SAk2j7iODZ
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) December 1, 2017
75,6 - #Argentina tiene una probabilidad del 75,6% de progresar la fase de grupos. Favorito. #SorteoMundial pic.twitter.com/ubYjtxtjfd
— OptaJavier (@OptaJavier) December 1, 2017
43,7% - #México🇲🇽 tiene una probabilidad de 43,7% de pasar la fase, el tercer porcentaje dentro del Grupo F. Dificultad. #SorteoMundial pic.twitter.com/g08wSoNX77
— OptaJavier (@OptaJavier) December 1, 2017
39.5% - #Panamá🇵🇦 tiene un 39,5% de pasar la fase de grupos en Rusia 2018. Canaleros. #SorteoMundial pic.twitter.com/s7oQHflmXq
— OptaJavier (@OptaJavier) December 1, 2017
55.2% - #Colombia🇨🇴 tiene el porcentaje más alto de probabilidad de pasar en el Grupo H. Café. #SorteoMundial pic.twitter.com/MCDLkG8Usx
— OptaJavier (@OptaJavier) December 1, 2017
75.8% - Based on our World Cup Predictor, France have 75.8% chance to qualify in the group C. Favourite. pic.twitter.com/0wtbrKiHMp
— OptaJean (@OptaJean) December 1, 2017
19.2% - Germany's overall chance of progressing to the world cup final. Hope. #WorldCupDraw @DFB_Team_ENhttps://t.co/NHTKAJ1roT pic.twitter.com/2CTLntZc2l
— OptaFranz (@OptaFranz) December 1, 2017
76.1% - @DFB_Team_EN's overall chance of progressing to the knockout stages. Prediction.https://t.co/NHTKAJ1roT pic.twitter.com/dKiNqzjPH6
— OptaFranz (@OptaFranz) December 1, 2017
16,2% - Spain's overall chance of progressing to the World Cup final. Predictionhttps://t.co/UR7xr16Ykp pic.twitter.com/flKhoMISfm
— OptaJose (@OptaJose) December 1, 2017
73.6% - Spain's overall chance of progressing to the knockout stages. Predictionhttps://t.co/UR7xr16Ykp pic.twitter.com/nvOgPXwe5o
— OptaJose (@OptaJose) December 1, 2017
