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De’Aaron Fox O/U 31.5 Points + Assists vs. Spurs
De’Aaron Fox is primed for a big night at home versus the Spurs.
The Blazers and Spurs are two of the top three teams in pace, so this is a positive matchup for Fox. On the season, Fox averages 24.6 points and 7.7 assists for 32.3 P+A.
The Spurs allow the second-most assists to point guards and the 11th-most points per game, so Fox should have success in both departments.
Over the past five games, the Spurs have allowed six guards to find success and four hit this Over.
Damian Lillard: 22 points and 11 assists
Jordan Poole: 36 Points and 2 Assists
Jevon Carter: 21 Points and 6 Assists
Ja Morant: 32 Points and 5 Assists
Desmond Bane: 32 Points and 6 Assists
Jamal Murray: 19 Points and 6 Assists
Fox averages 14.3 potential assists over the past three games and 22.6 points per game. With this matchup being prime for Fox, there is a good chance he goes for at least 25 points.
Fox has scored at least 20 points in five-straight meetings versus San Antonio for 29.2 points per game in that span. Fox scored 26, 37 and 39 in three of those games.
NBC’s player prop model predicts Fox to score 25.4 points and dish out 7.3 assists for 32.7 P+A.
Fox hit this in two-straight and three of the past five against the Spurs. I played the Over 31.5 Points + Assists at -120 odds on BetMGM. It’s -150 on DraftKings and 32.5 on FanDuel.
Pick: De’Aaron Fox Over 31.5 Points + Assists (1u)
Damian Lillard O/U 32.5 Points + Assists vs. Nets
Let’s get a bounce back spot on Dame Dolla has he let us down with 22 points in his previous outing.
However, the Nets offer another positive matchup in Portland for Damian Lillard. In the past four games, Lillard averages 24.0 points and 9.0 assists for 33 P+A, so right on the number.
At home this year, Lillard is scoring 29.0 points and 6.0 assists for 35 P+A and scored 22, 22, 31 and 41 points.
Against Brooklyn, Lillard has scored 32, 22, 42, 60 and 31 points in the past five meetings with nine or more assists in four of those outings.
In the Nets’ last outing, the Kings won 153-121 and exposed Brooklyn’s defense that everyone was raving about for 4-5 games without Kyrie Irving,
I like the chances Lillard scores 25-plus points and with the Nets allowing the third-most assists per game, Lillard has a good chance to hit this Over in a big game.
Lillard is averaging 14.0 potential assists over the past three games with 22, 26 and 29 points in that span.
NBC’s player prop model predicts Lillard to score 27.5 points and dish out 7.5 assists for 35 P+A.
I played the Over 32.5 Points + Assists at -105 odds on DraftKings. I would pivot to Over 25.5 Points if this is 33.5.
Pick: Damian Lillard Over 32.5 Points + Assists (1u)
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