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    Chase Burns labors in win over Phillies

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    CIN Starting Pitcher #26
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    Chase Burns allowed three hits and three runs with three walks and six strikeouts across five innings in a win over the Phillies.

    A rare difficult outing for Burns, he didn’t get through a single inning cleanly and felt like he was battling himself all night. His fastball was extremely erratic with just a 44% zone rate and far too many of them wound up at the eyes of the Phillies’ hitters. That issue got worse as the game went on and he wound up being fortunate to get out of this start with just the three runs on his ledger. That’s the mark of a great pitcher though: giving your team a chance to win when you don’t have your best stuff. He’ll head into the All-Star break after an excellent first half with 11 wins, a 2.54 ERA, 118 strikeouts, and 37 walks through 102 2/3 innings.
AL Central and West division races heating up
John Fanta and Jay Croucher analyze the American League Central and West division playoff races as the MLB playoffs loom around the corner.

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  • CIN Starting Pitcher #26
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    It’s possible that Burns suffered the injury during Friday’s start against the Cubs and that’s the reason that his workload was so limited. It’s also possible that the Reds were looking for any reason to shut him down early and curtail his overall workload for the season. Either way, fantasy managers in redraft leagues can cut bait and find an alternative option for the final week of the season.
  • CIN Starting Pitcher #26
    Burns didn’t stick around long enough to factor into the decision as the Reds continue to carefully manage his workload down the home stretch. The hard-throwing phenom was permitted to throw 67 pitches over three frames in his penultimate outing. He struck out four and also issued a pair of walks. He allowed four hits, including a solo homer to veteran outfielder Ian Happ. He’ll wrap up the season with a road tilt against Atlanta on Thursday. Burns offers enough strikeout upside to be worth starting in deeper mixed leagues, but the workload limitations cap his realistic upside and make it difficult to justify rolling with him in shallow fantasy leagues.
  • CIN Starting Pitcher #26
    Burns was wild today, walking three and throwing just 28 of his 56 pitches for strikes. Of course, because of the Reds’ plan to restrict his workload, he was going to be done after three innings regardless. Brandon Williamson again piggybacked off him and picked up a win after allowing one run in four innings. The Reds are expected to use the same arrangement again Friday against the Cubs.
  • CIN Starting Pitcher #26
    Burns allowed just one batter to reach, that on a walk, in the 44-pitch outing. He’s expected to remain on a similar pitch count for the rest of the season. He’s currently at 148 1/3 innings with three outings to go, so it looks like he’ll fall just short of qualifying for the ERA title. He’s sixth in the NL and 10th in the majors in ERA at the moment.
  • CIN Starting Pitcher #55
    According to Joe Banneman from Fox19 in Cincinnati, Reds manager Terry Francona said that the plan is for Williamson to work as a piggyback with Chase Burns for the remainder of the season. The team wants to limit Burns’ innings for the remainder of the season so “after that start, the rest of his starts will have Brandon Williamson as a piggyback in the same game.” It seems like we might be getting one more game with Burns as a full-time starter, and then fantasy managers may need to find other options than Burns if you need wins or quality starts.
  • CIN Starting Pitcher #26
    Burns will not pitch this week with his next start being moved to next Monday in Los Angeles. Francona declined to elaborate on the exact innings limit. This latest development was alluded to by Reds analyst Jeff Brantley during Burns’ latest start against the Cubs on Sunday night. The hard-throwing 23-year-old, who has delivered top-10 fantasy value among starters this season, has already thrown 145 1/3 innings, which is nearly 40 more than he posted during last year’s professional debut. The move is designed to allow Burns to make his final handful of starts without a shutdown prior to the end of the season. It’s a tough development for fantasy managers in the middle of the playoffs, but he’s still worth hanging onto and starting outside of extremely shallow mixed leagues.
  • CIN Starting Pitcher #26
    Burns got his 15th victory in what sounds like it will be his final traditional start of the year. This one put him at 145 1/3 innings for the season, an increase of 36 from his first professional season last year. Reds broadcaster Jeff Brantley said on Sunday Night Baseball that the plan is for Burns to pitch about three innings at a time in his remaining outings, which would leave him ineligible for wins unless he pitches in relief. Burns, the first Reds starter to win 15 games since Luis Castillo in 2019, is due to face the Brewers next time out.
  • CIN Starting Pitcher #26
    This might have been the weakest lineup Burns had faced all season, but it got the better of him anyway. He allowed two doubles in the first that would have been homers in the majority of ballparks and gave up a three-run homer to Rafael Devers in the second. The loss drops Burns to 14-3 with a 2.77 ERA. He’s slated to make his next start Sunday against the Cubs, unless maybe the Reds want to push him back with him now being 30 innings over his total from his first pro season last year.
  • CIN Starting Pitcher #26
    Burns needed 104 pitches to record his 15 outs, allowing six hits and two walks along the way. He’s up to 136 innings this year after totaling 109 1/3 last season between the minors and majors. Burns has had some lower-velocity outings lately but continues to pitch effectively and pile up the strikeouts. He draws a favorable matchup on the road against the Giants next time out.
  • CIN Starting Pitcher #26
    It was another dominant outing for Burns, who was in need of a bounce-back after allowing five earned runs in his last outing against the Nationals. Burns needed to be on top of his game to match Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara, who allowed just one earned run in seven innings of work. Burns limited the Marlins to just three hits on the night, all of which were singles, and never allowed a runner to get into scoring position. Burns has allowed one earned run or less in four of his last five starts. He’s next scheduled to take the mound Tuesday at home against the Cardinals.

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  • SF Center Fielder #0
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    Drew Gilbert went 3-for-4 with a homer and three RBI in leading the Giants to a 5-2 win over the Twins on Monday.

    Gilbert seemed overmatched in his major league debut last season, but he’s more than held his own in hitting .237/.327/.396 with 11 homers in 384 plate appearances this year. It’s hard to see much upside beyond this unless he gains some bat speed, but he should remain in the Giants’ outfield plans for next year.
  • SF Relief Pitcher
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    Trent Harris notched his second major league save with a perfect ninth Monday against the Twins.

    The 27-year-old Harris has a 2.14 ERA and a 27/7 K/BB in 21 innings since getting his first major league callup on Aug. 7. He’ll be off Tuesday after working the last two days, so Dylan Smith might get a save chance then.
  • MIN Starting Pitcher #52
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    Although he struck out nine, Zebby Matthews lost to the Giants after allowing five runs in five innings on Monday.

    The Giants had a nice little .538 BABIP against Matthews tonight, which doesn’t count Drew Gilbert’s homer in the fifth. Matthews has been pretty much all or nothing these last two months; he’s allowed one or no runs four times and four or more runs in the remainder of his nine starts. This leaves him 9-11 with a 4.90 ERA with likely one start remaining Sunday against Texas.
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    Ryan Jeffers went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts against the Giants on Monday.

    Jeffers has suddenly hit the skids, going 2-for-28 with no extra-base hits and 10 strikeouts in his last eight games. It’s dropped his OPS from .872 to .822, and it’s probably going to end up costing him a little money as a free agent this winter.
  • SF Relief Pitcher #46
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    Blade Tidwell left Monday’s game with elbow discomfort, manager Tony Vitello said.

    Tidwell allowed one run in 3 1/3 innings and struck out four before exiting. He’ll likely join 23 other Giants on the injured list prior to Tuesday’s game.
  • BAL 1st Baseman #25
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    Pete Alonso went 2-for-4 with two home runs and three RBI on Monday, powering the Orioles to a 4-3 comeback win over the Blue Jays.

    Alonso took Blue Jays starter Trey Yesavage deep in the opening frame before capping his multi-homer performance with a go-ahead two-run blast off reliever Tyler Rogers with two outs in the eighth, pushing him over the 40-homer threshold for the fourth time in his career. The 31-year-old run-producing force, who has homered six times in his last nine games, will finish his Orioles debut as a top-five fantasy option at first base and has delivered borderline first-round value overall, hitting .265/.359/.510 with 94 runs scored, 40 homers, 108 RBI and five steals in 157 games.
  • TOR Designated Hitter #4
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    George Springer went 2-for-4 with an RBI in Monday’s loss to the Orioles.

    There weren’t many bright spots for the Blue Jays as they squandered an early three-run lead to fall three games behind the White Sox for the final AL Wild Card playoff spot. Springer helped Toronto build their early advantage by delivering an RBI single into the left-center field gap against Orioles starter Shane Baz in the first inning.
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    Gunnar Henderson went 3-for-4 with his 24th home run of the season in Monday’s win over the Blue Jays.

    Henderson’s three-hit effort included a solo homer off Toronto rookie reliever Chad Dallas as he finished a double shy of hitting for the cycle. It’s been a down year relative to expectations for Henderson, especially in the stolen base department where he has just 10 thefts after reaching the 30-steal mark last year.
  • BAL Relief Pitcher #50
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    Rico Garcia struck out two in a perfect ninth inning against the Blue Jays to record his 10th save of the season on Monday.

    Garcia got the call to protect a one-run lead in the final frame after Pete Alonso’s go-ahead homer and needed just 17 pitches to slam the door. He’ll continue splitting the closing duties with Andrew Kittredge, and possibly Félix Bautista now that he’s back in the mix, over the final week of the season.
  • BAL Starting Pitcher #34
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    Shane Baz allowed three runs over 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Blue Jays on Monday.

    It was undoubtedly a positive sign to see Baz work deep into this one after taking a 105-mph line drive off his right arm during his previous start against the Mets last week. He struck out two and also issued three walks. It definitely didn’t seem like he was going to turn in a quality start when he surrendered three runs on three hits and a pair of walks in an ugly opening frame. However, he managed to settle in afterwards and silence the Blue Jays into the seventh inning. He’ll take the ball for the Orioles’ regular-season finale against the Yankees in New York on Sunday.