“The Fantasy Usage Model” simply is how many PPR fantasy points an average NFL player in an average NFL offense would’ve scored with the same exact opportunity. Read Targets Aren’t Created Equal and Carries Aren’t Created Equal if you want to see the type of variables that go into this model, but think air yards, relation to the sideline, yards from the end zone, and scheme indicator metrics. It’s a “Buy Low Model” (shoutout to the great Josh Hermsmeyer). To make things better, I manually clean the data each week with things I can adjust for that a computer wouldn’t know about (ie. removing early-injury games) because the data is only as good as the context that comes with it. If you scroll down, you’ll see raw air yards, team share data, and RB touches while leading/trailing. This is basically all of the data I use to make my sit/start decisions. If you have questions, reach out to me on Twitter (@HaydenWinks). CTRL + F to search for players on desktop. Rotate if on mobile. [[ad:athena]]
Top 5 Rebound Candidates of Week 6
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire (@ BUF)
- Julian Edelman (vs. DEN)
- Tee Higgins (@ IND)
- T.Y. Hilton (vs. CIN)
- James Robinson (vs. DET)
Fantasy Usage Model - WRs
Average fantasy usage and PPR data from Weeks 2-5. I’ve removed injuries and noted other adjustments.
Player | Fantasy Usage | Actual PPR P/G | Context |
WR1 (19.9) | WR9 (19.2) | 11.4 targets P/G (2nd). 1st in Week 5 xFPs. | |
WR2 (17.7) | WR20 (17.1) | 158 air yards P/G (1st) + 10 targets P/G. | |
WR3 (17.6) | WR12 (18.5) | Removed Week 5 (back). | |
WR4 (17.0) | WR17 (17.5) | Only includes Weeks 1-2. Injured in others. | |
WR5 (16.7) | WR21 (17.0) | Target shares: RA (26%), DJM (21%). | |
WR6 (16.5) | WR13 (18.5) | Stud + 1st in air yards share (46%). WR1. | |
WR7 (16.5) | WR19 (17.3) | CB Bradberry handled him. WR1 still. | |
WR8 (15.8) | WR3 (21.5) | Y’all gunna respect him yet? 17.1 xFPs P/G. | |
WR9 (15.6) | WR24 (16.4) | 44% air yards share (2nd). Volatile WR2. | |
WR10 (15.5) | WR11 (18.7) | Slot God as emerging star WR2. Beast. | |
WR11 (15.2) | WR4 (20.6) | Doesn’t include Tuesday Night Football. | |
WR12 (15.2) | WR6 (20.2) | Elite ball skills on 10.6 targets P/G. | |
WR13 (14.9) | WR23 (16.8) | WR2 usage on team that’s 5th in air yards. | |
WR14 (14.9) | WR10 (19.1) | 25% target share & 101 air yards P/G. WR2. | |
WR15 (14.7) | WR5 (20.5) | Machine on 131 air yards P/G (2nd). | |
WR16 (14.6) | WR52 (10.6) | WR2 usage, but slow feet don’t eat. WR5. | |
WR17 (14.4) | WR7 (19.5) | Reliant on TDs with injuries. Upside WR1/2. | |
WR18 (14.3) | WR21 (17.0) | 7.5 targets and 84 air yards P/G. WR2. | |
WR19 (14.3) | WR1 (22.5) | 6'3/215 ex-6th rounder. 77% routes Wk 5. | |
WR20 (14.1) | WR8 (19.4) | Efficiency outlier (10.4 YPT). Volatile WR1. | |
WR21 (13.9) | WR39 (12.2) | Lays on the ground longer than all. WR3. | |
WR22 (13.8) | WR15 (17.8) | Similar targets as DK, far lower aDOT (9.6). | |
WR23 (13.7) | WR97 (5.3) | Visibly slow. Now injured as No. 3 WR. | |
WR24 (13.6) | WR29 (14.5) | MT limits ceiling but comfy in offense now. | |
WR25 (13.6) | WR49 (10.8) | Has had WR3 usage without Shepard. | |
WR26 (13.5) | WR18 (17.4) | WR2/3 usage before injuries. Iffy for Wk 6. | |
WR27 (13.4) | WR35 (12.7) | Better than AJG, who is injured. WR3/4. | |
WR28 (13.2) | WR47 (11.2) | 42% of targets 20+ air yards (1st). Volatile. | |
WR29 (12.6) | WR14 (18.0) | 18.3 PPR P/G in 4 healthy games. WR2. | |
WR30 (12.5) | WR105 (4.2) | Removed Week 4. Up to 12.5 xFP Week 5. | |
WR31 (12.3) | WR16 (17.5) | Rams 31st in air yards P/G. WR2/3. | |
WR32 (12.2) | WR2 (21.6) | Highest-upside PIT WR. Rare athlete. WR4. | |
WR33 (11.4) | WR74 (8.1) | xFPs: Weeks 1-2 (18.4), Weeks 3-4 (8.7). | |
WR34 (11.3) | WR43 (11.6) | 20% target share to climb if healthy. WR4. | |
WR35 (11.3) | WR33 (13.4) | Doesn’t include Tuesday Night Football. | |
WR36 (11.2) | WR31 (14.2) | 10.3 YPT hiding WR3 usage as No. 2 WR. | |
WR37 (11.0) | WR25 (15.6) | Career-high 10.3 YPT. Streaky WR3 usage. | |
WR38 (11.0) | WR36 (12.5) | Increased play-action helped Cooks. WR4. | |
WR39 (10.9) | WR40 (12.0) | Caught the rona. Brown returns. Avoid. | |
WR40 (10.9) | WR44 (11.6) | 10.4 xFPs P/G with Kittle, Deebo. WR5. | |
WR41 (10.9) | WR52 (10.6) | More blocking for Byrd when Cam returns. | |
WR42 (10.9) | WR90 (6.5) | 17.2 aDOT as big-play, no-floor WR5. | |
WR43 (10.8) | WR41 (11.9) | xFPs up in 5-straight games. Upside WR4. | |
WR44 (10.7) | WR26 (15.5) | Injuries to blame, but WR4/5 usage. | |
WR45 (10.6) | WR27 (14.9) | 9.7 YPT saving WR2/3 value. WR4 usage. | |
WR46 (10.5) | WR75 (7.9) | Off to hot Week 5 start until hammy. | |
WR47 (10.3) | WR54 (10.6) | xFPs: With DeSean (5.7), without 13.2. | |
WR48 (10.2) | WR84 (7.3) | Volatile WR5 if hamstring cooperates. | |
WR49 (10.1) | WR46 (11.4) | Low-upside slot with WR5/6 usage. | |
WR50 (9.7) | WR48 (11.0) | Career-low aDOT (5.0) zapped upside. | |
WR51 (9.7) | WR72 (8.2) | Inefficient (7.2 YPT) on 20% target share. | |
WR52 (9.7) | WR76 (7.8) | Low-aDOT slot receiver. | |
WR53 (9.7) | WR37 (12.5) | 93% sideline targets + 16.9 aDOT. Volatile. | |
WR54 (9.6) | WR78 (7.6) | Fewer Wk 5 routes than Collin Johnson. | |
WR55 (9.5) | WR32 (14.0) | No-floor WR5 (13.6 aDOT) without KJ. | |
WR56 (9.5) | WR57 (10.1) | 82% Week 5 routes. Deserves No. 3 job. | |
WR57 (9.2) | WR67 (8.6) | Off the radar when Shepard returns. | |
WR58 (9.2) | WR77 (7.8) | Was bad even when healthy. Unreliable. | |
WR59 (9.2) | WR55 (10.6) | Sub-11.0 xFPs in all 4 healthy games. Bad? | |
WR60 (9.2) | WR34 (13.2) | Doesn’t include Tuesday Night Football. | |
WR61 (9.1) | WR45 (11.5) | WR5 usage without MT. Droppable. | |
WR62 (9.0) | WR38 (12.3) | Caught the rona. Brown returns. Avoid. | |
WR63 (9.0) | WR30 (14.4) | 14.8 YPT but WR4/5 usage as No. 2 WR. | |
WR64 (8.9) | WR62 (9.5) | 18% target share on team 29th in PaAtt. | |
WR65 (8.9) | WR86 (7.2) | Every-down WR but 13% target share. | |
WR66 (8.8) | WR51 (10.8) | Not playing in 2-TE sets with Ruggs back. | |
WR67 (8.8) | WR42 (11.7) | Between 6.4-9.3 xFPs in all 5 games. | |
WR68 (8.7) | WR92 (6.2) | Step 1: Run without ball, Step 2: Repeat. | |
WR69 (8.6) | WR61 (9.6) | No. 3 in 3-WR sets. Off the 12-team radar. | |
WR70 (8.5) | WR68 (8.6) | Only enough room for 2 WRs in CAR. | |
WR71 (8.5) | WR80 (7.5) | Far more routes, tad more usage than AM. | |
WR72 (8.3) | WR98 (5.1) | Usage will drop after 23 yds on 11 targets. | |
WR73 (8.2) | WR91 (6.4) | Should be the No. 4 when Diontae returns. | |
WR74 (7.9) | WR66 (8.9) | Big-play threat (14.3 aDOT). Volatile WR5. | |
WR75 (7.8) | WR83 (7.3) | Played every single Week 5 route. Busted. | |
WR76 (7.8) | WR58 (10.1) | Averaging 10.3 xFPs in last 3 as No. 4 WR. | |
WR77 (7.7) | WR71 (8.3) | It’s A-Rob and everyone else in Chicago. | |
WR78 (7.6) | WR103 (4.9) | xFPs: With Kenny (10.7), without (6.2). | |
WR79 (7.4) | WR96 (5.7) | Andy Isabella should sue ARI to start. | |
WR80 (7.3) | WR65 (8.9) | Clearly not a thing. | |
WR81 (7.2) | WR82 (7.4) | Injured. Not as good as Tyler Johnson. | |
WR82 (6.8) | WR28 (14.7) | Includes Week 1 & 5, 62% routes in return. | |
WR83 (6.8) | WR99 (5.1) | Clearly not a thing. | |
WR84 (6.7) | WR79 (7.6) | Clearly not a thing. | |
WR85 (6.5) | WR81 (7.4) | xFPs: With Kenny (12.3), without (4.2). | |
WR86 (6.3) | WR50 (10.8) | Sammy hammy makes MH a 3-WR starter. | |
WR87 (6.2) | WR69 (8.5) | Big-play threat but no floor, as seen Wk 5. |
Note: I accidentally left Mike Williams off the table. He has WR50 fantasy usage and WR27 production. My note: “Herbert can actually hit MW downfield. WR3.”
Fantasy Usage Model - TEs
Average fantasy usage and PPR data from Weeks 2-5. I’ve removed injuries and noted other adjustments.
Player | Fantasy Usage | Actual PPR P/G | Context |
TE1 (19.5) | TE1 (24.3) | Elite TE tier: Kelce, Kittle, Waller, Andrews. | |
TE2 (18.0) | TE5 (16.2) | Leading TEs in targets (9.2 P/G). Top-4 TE. | |
TE3 (16.7) | TE3 (18.4) | 2nd in targets and air yards per game. Stud. | |
TE4 (12.7) | TE4 (17.8) | Doesn’t include Tuesday Night Football. | |
TE5 (12.3) | TE6 (13.3) | 3rd in air yards among TEs. Streaky TE1. | |
TE6 (11.8) | TE10 (11.3) | 19% target share + elite traits. TE1 if healthy. | |
TE7 (11.5) | TE23 (7.4) | Glorified old-Witten on low-end TE1 usage. | |
TE8 (11.3) | TE7 (12.9) | TE1/2 but DAL unlikely to pass this much. | |
TE9 (11.1) | TE8 (11.9) | Leading TEs in air yards. 10-TD ceiling. | |
TE10 (10.7) | TE19 (8.7) | Increasing usage as emerging TE1/2. | |
TE11 (10.6) | TE32 (6.1) | Inefficient (4.0 YPT), old TE with TE2 usage. | |
TE12 (10.6) | TE17 (9.2) | 3rd in TE routes, but inefficient in horrid O. | |
TE13 (10.3) | TE9 (11.6) | Reliant on volatile but high-value RZ looks. | |
TE14 (10.2) | TE47 (4.2) | Awful. Last in YPRR. At least 4th in routes. | |
TE15 (10.1) | TE16 (9.3) | 5th in TE routes & TE1/2 usage. Hold I guess. | |
TE16 (10.0) | TE11 (10.9) | TE1/2 usage in above-average offense. | |
TE17 (9.9) | TE13 (10.6) | Usage comes and goes, but TE1 overall. | |
TE18 (9.5) | TE2 (20.1) | 9.5 xFPs without Adams. TD upside. TE1/2. | |
TE19 (9.4) | TE15 (9.5) | TE2 usage but upside player as TE1/2. | |
TE20 (9.2) | TE35 (6.0) | Week 5 routes: TB (19), JD (18), MAC (10). | |
TE21 (8.8) | TE32 (6.1) | 4.8 aDOT & 9% target share. Low ceiling. | |
TE22 (8.0) | TE36 (5.7) | Moves like a HS coach teaching a new drill. | |
TE23 (7.1) | TE18 (8.9) | High-end TE2 usage without MT in lineup. | |
TE24 (7.0) | TE37 (5.7) | TD-dependent TE2 on TE3 usage. | |
TE25 (6.6) | TE14 (9.6) | The best Indy TE, but seeing fewest routes. | |
TE26 (6.4) | TE28 (6.9) | Elevated by 14.2 xFP game without Knox. | |
TE27 (6.2) | TE20 (8.3) | No-floor TD-dependent TE2 on TE3 usage. | |
TE28 (6.0) | TE12 (10.7) | 6th in YPRR, but 26th in TE routes. TE1/2. | |
TE29 (6.0) | TE58 (3.3) | 42% routes in Week 5. Not happening. | |
TE30 (5.9) | TE48 (4.2) | Doesn’t include Tuesday Night Football. |
Fantasy Usage Model - RBs
Average fantasy usage and PPR data from Weeks 2-5. I’ve removed injuries and noted other adjustments.
Player | Fantasy Usage | Actual PPR P/G | Context |
RB1 (25.2) | RB5 (21.5) | At least 19.1 xFPs in all 5 games. Top-3 RB. | |
RB2 (24.2) | RB1 (31.0) | At least 18.9 xFPs in all 5 games. Elite RB1. | |
RB3 (24.0) | RB2 (28.1) | 20+ xFPs in all 4 games. Ignore snaps. | |
RB4 (23.3) | RB4 (22.7) | Broken tackles leader in CMC role. RB1. | |
RB5 (22.2) | RB11 (17.7) | Doesn’t include Tuesday Night Football. | |
RB6 (20.6) | RB8 (19.4) | Better while leading but targets are up. RB1. | |
RB7 (20.2) | RB21 (14.5) | Increasing usage. JH was healthy scratched. | |
RB8 (19.5) | RB6 (20.1) | Low-end RB1 usage & production. Bellcow. | |
RB9 (19.2) | RB12 (17.6) | Bad vision but big-play threat. RB1 usage. | |
RB10 (18.2) | RB27 (13.6) | Underperforming RB1 usage. TDs coming. | |
RB11 (17.8) | RB22 (14.4) | 21.2 carries but only 3.0 receptions P/G. | |
RB12 (17.5) | RB28 (13.6) | xFPs: With Fournette (13.6), without (22.1). | |
RB13 (17.1) | RB3 (22.9) | Averaging 16.5 xFPs P/G. Iffy for Week 6. | |
RB14 (16.8) | RB15 (16.6) | xFPs from 19.9 P/G to 14.5 with Harris. | |
RB15 (16.6) | RB10 (18.8) | Catches up 1.7 from 2019. Low-end RB1. | |
RB16 (16.5) | RB16 (16.4) | Can’t trust but RB2 usage as a pure runner. | |
RB17 (16.4) | RB14 (16.7) | RB2 value to take a hit with Lindsay back. | |
RB18 (16.3) | RB20 (14.8) | Doesn’t include Tuesday Night Football. | |
RB19 (15.8) | RB7 (19.7) | 11-17 carries P/G + 4.5 receptions in losses. | |
RB20 (15.7) | RB9 (19.0) | Week 5 touches thru 3 QTs: KH (17), DJ (2). Elite RB1. | |
RB21 (15.1) | RB24 (14.1) | Upside capped by 1-2 receptions per game. | |
RB22 (14.8) | RB17 (16.4) | Between 13.4-16.2 xFPs in last 4. RB2. | |
RB23 (14.6) | RB35 (9.3) | Slow on tape + 1.2 receptions P/G = RB2/3. | |
RB24 (14.5) | RB23 (14.2) | xFPs: With Cohen (11.4), without (15.8). | |
RB25 (14.5) | RB26 (13.8) | RB2/3 usage in bad offense. Needs leads. | |
RB26 (14.5) | RB29 (12.9) | Low ceiling. Most reliable receiver. RB3. | |
RB27 (14.4) | RB31 (10.8) | Duke cutting DJ’s routes, but RB2/3 usage. | |
RB28 (13.8) | RB19 (15.0) | 9-13 carries P/G & increasing targets. RB3. | |
RB29 (13.1) | RB18 (15.9) | Operated as “closer” before injury. RB3/4. | |
RB30 (11.1) | RB25 (13.9) | Week 5 routes: Mostert (14), McKinnon (11). | |
RB31 (10.8) | RB41 (7.9) | Runs hard but looks slow. Fell behind JJ. | |
RB32 (10.4) | RB30 (11.2) | Passing-down back & quality insurance RB. | |
RB33 (10.2) | RB36 (9.3) | Week 5 xFPs: Jackson (14.7), Kelley (8.1). | |
RB34 (10.2) | RB37 (9.2) | Helpful receiver while Adams was out. RB4. | |
RB35 (10.1) | RB57 (5.3) | Awful on tape. 4.1 xFPs with Bell back. | |
RB36 (9.9) | RB13 (16.8) | 6.2 YPC since 2017 (1st). Week 5 workhorse. | |
RB37 (9.6) | RB38 (9.0) | Inefficient but still leading WAS in routes. | |
RB38 (9.6) | RB43 (7.7) | RB3/4 as pure runner. Needs TDs & leads. | |
RB39 (9.5) | RB59 (5.2) | RB4 usage as trusted (but bad) veteran. | |
RB40 (9.3) | RB55 (5.7) | Bad player on RB3/4 usage. Let JT Cook. | |
RB41 (8.6) | RB44 (7.7) | Mad about touches. RB3 with RB2 upside. | |
RB42 (8.6) | RB39 (8.8) | RB4 usage and worst RB on Ravens imo. | |
RB43 (8.3) | RB45 (7.4) | Season-high 17.6 xFPs in Cook relief. | |
RB44 (8.1) | RB34 (10.0) | 17 carries but all low-value unless goal-line. | |
RB45 (8.0) | RB33 (10.1) | Best all-around DET RB. Post-bye spike? |
Targets By Type
Targets aren’t created equal. Targets in the red zone are worth more. Targets near the sideline are worth less. Deep targets are worth more but are volatile. Shallow targets are worth less but are stable. This table shows these stats, sorted by targets per game in the last four weeks. “Red Zone” are targets per game within 20 yards of the goal-line on the season. “Deep %” is the percentage of targets with 20+ air yards (how far downfield the ball traveled). “Shallow %” is the percentage of targets with 10 or fewer air yards. “Sideline %” is the percentage of targets near the sideline. This last one is the single most underrated stat in fantasy in my opinion.
Player | Last 4 | RZ Season | Sideline % | Deep % | Shallow % |
1. Allen Robinson | 12.0 | 1.0 | 60% | 19% | 53% |
2. George Kittle | 11.5 | 1.0 | 54% | 4% | 82% |
3. Keenan Allen | 10.8 | 1.2 | 82% | 12% | 59% |
4. Amari Cooper | 10.3 | 1.0 | 78% | 11% | 75% |
5. Jamison Crowder | 10.0 | 0.7 | 76% | 9% | 76% |
6. Jeff Smith | 10.0 | 1.0 | 90% | 25% | 65% |
7. Travis Kelce | 10.0 | 1.6 | 74% | 7% | 76% |
8. Darren Waller | 9.8 | 1.6 | 74% | 2% | 81% |
9. Robby Anderson | 9.8 | 1.2 | 81% | 15% | 66% |
10. Terry McLaurin | 9.8 | 0.6 | 67% | 15% | 65% |
11. Calvin Ridley | 9.5 | 1.6 | 82% | 32% | 30% |
12. Alvin Kamara | 9.3 | 1.6 | 78% | 7% | 91% |
13. DeAndre Hopkins | 9.3 | 1.2 | 89% | 11% | 74% |
14. Adam Thielen | 9.0 | 1.4 | 93% | 23% | 50% |
15. Tyler Boyd | 8.8 | 0.4 | 65% | 3% | 58% |
16. Stefon Diggs | 8.7 | 1.3 | 86% | 11% | 51% |
17. CeeDee Lamb | 8.5 | 0.8 | 65% | 18% | 63% |
18. Mike Davis | 8.3 | 2.0 | 85% | 0% | 100% |
19. James White | 8.0 | 0.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% |
20. Travis Fulgham | 8.0 | 1.0 | 63% | 13% | 56% |
21. Cooper Kupp | 7.8 | 0.8 | 58% | 6% | 78% |
22. DK Metcalf | 7.8 | 1.0 | 82% | 33% | 46% |
23. Darius Slayton | 7.8 | 1.4 | 73% | 13% | 55% |
24. Emmanuel Sanders | 7.8 | 1.6 | 72% | 3% | 61% |
25. Mike Evans | 7.8 | 1.2 | 86% | 14% | 57% |
26. Julian Edelman | 7.7 | 1.0 | 57% | 17% | 57% |
27. Kenny Golladay | 7.5 | 2.0 | 67% | 7% | 47% |
28. Marquise Brown | 7.5 | 0.2 | 53% | 42% | 44% |
29. Tee Higgins | 7.5 | 1.0 | 77% | 27% | 43% |
30. Tyler Lockett | 7.5 | 1.0 | 82% | 8% | 66% |
31. Damiere Byrd | 7.3 | 0.0 | 86% | 18% | 55% |
32. N’Keal Harry | 7.3 | 2.0 | 79% | 0% | 71% |
33. Odell Beckham | 7.3 | 1.2 | 69% | 21% | 46% |
34. Tyreek Hill | 7.3 | 1.0 | 86% | 31% | 49% |
35. Brandin Cooks | 7.0 | 0.2 | 73% | 21% | 42% |
36. D.J. Moore | 7.0 | 0.2 | 76% | 19% | 41% |
37. DeVante Parker | 7.0 | 0.2 | 72% | 9% | 66% |
38. Ezekiel Elliott | 7.0 | 0.4 | 78% | 0% | 100% |
39. Jordan Reed | 7.0 | 1.3 | 69% | 0% | 75% |
40. Noah Fant | 7.0 | 1.3 | 67% | 7% | 74% |
41. Zach Ertz | 7.0 | 0.6 | 54% | 6% | 69% |
42. Dalton Schultz | 6.8 | 1.0 | 65% | 10% | 81% |
43. Jerry Jeudy | 6.7 | 0.5 | 61% | 14% | 46% |
44. J.D. McKissic | 6.7 | 0.5 | 84% | 0% | 92% |
45. Will Fuller | 6.7 | 1.0 | 67% | 17% | 50% |
46. Adam Humphries | 6.5 | 1.0 | 85% | 5% | 70% |
47. Allen Lazard | 6.5 | 0.7 | 76% | 24% | 71% |
48. DeSean Jackson | 6.5 | 0.0 | 85% | 35% | 55% |
49. Hunter Henry | 6.5 | 0.6 | 85% | 9% | 71% |
50. Jonnu Smith | 6.5 | 1.3 | 70% | 5% | 65% |
51. Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 6.3 | 1.0 | 92% | 40% | 48% |
52. A.J. Green | 6.3 | 0.4 | 76% | 29% | 47% |
53. Austin Hooper | 6.3 | 0.4 | 85% | 7% | 74% |
54. Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 6.3 | 0.4 | 81% | 0% | 96% |
55. Evan Engram | 6.3 | 0.8 | 75% | 0% | 88% |
56. Bennie Fowler | 6.0 | 0.0 | 67% | 0% | 83% |
57. Chase Claypool | 6.0 | 0.5 | 80% | 30% | 45% |
58. Chris Godwin | 6.0 | 1.5 | 62% | 15% | 69% |
59. Courtland Sutton | 6.0 | 0.0 | 67% | 50% | 17% |
60. C.J. Uzomah | 6.0 | 1.0 | 73% | 18% | 82% |
61. Eric Ebron | 6.0 | 0.5 | 50% | 10% | 60% |
62. Greg Ward | 6.0 | 0.8 | 61% | 3% | 84% |
63. Josh Malone | 6.0 | 0.0 | 100% | 0% | 67% |
64. JuJu Smith-Schuster | 6.0 | 1.0 | 71% | 4% | 92% |
65. Keelan Cole | 6.0 | 0.4 | 72% | 17% | 69% |
66. KJ Hamler | 6.0 | 0.5 | 58% | 8% | 50% |
67. Laviska Shenault | 6.0 | 0.6 | 75% | 7% | 68% |
68. Logan Thomas | 6.0 | 1.0 | 53% | 9% | 72% |
69. Tyler Johnson | 6.0 | 0.0 | 50% | 0% | 50% |
70. Golden Tate | 5.8 | 0.3 | 57% | 0% | 74% |
71. Hayden Hurst | 5.8 | 0.6 | 79% | 11% | 61% |
72. Isaiah Ford | 5.8 | 0.4 | 54% | 0% | 68% |
73. Mark Andrews | 5.8 | 1.6 | 45% | 10% | 41% |
74. Michael Gallup | 5.8 | 0.2 | 93% | 25% | 43% |
75. Mike Gesicki | 5.8 | 1.4 | 61% | 14% | 50% |
76. Miles Sanders | 5.8 | 0.3 | 83% | 9% | 91% |
77. Robert Woods | 5.8 | 0.6 | 84% | 10% | 71% |
78. T.Y. Hilton | 5.8 | 0.8 | 88% | 13% | 41% |
79. Aaron Jones | 5.7 | 2.3 | 100% | 13% | 78% |
80. Cole Beasley | 5.7 | 1.3 | 63% | 13% | 63% |
81. Cedrick Wilson | 5.7 | 0.7 | 76% | 18% | 71% |
82. D.J. Chark | 5.7 | 1.3 | 75% | 15% | 60% |
83. Rex Burkhead | 5.7 | 1.3 | 82% | 0% | 94% |
84. Brandon Aiyuk | 5.5 | 1.0 | 73% | 9% | 55% |
85. Corey Davis | 5.5 | 0.3 | 74% | 0% | 58% |
86. Chris Hogan | 5.5 | 0.8 | 100% | 12% | 65% |
87. Darnell Mooney | 5.5 | 0.2 | 88% | 24% | 56% |
88. Deebo Samuel | 5.5 | 0.0 | 73% | 9% | 55% |
89. Justin Jefferson | 5.5 | 0.2 | 80% | 20% | 48% |
90. Jarvis Landry | 5.5 | 0.2 | 71% | 14% | 61% |
91. Trey Burton | 5.5 | 0.5 | 91% | 0% | 73% |
92. Tyler Eifert | 5.5 | 1.2 | 65% | 13% | 70% |
93. Austin Ekeler | 5.3 | 0.5 | 82% | 0% | 94% |
94. Christian Kirk | 5.3 | 0.5 | 100% | 38% | 48% |
95. Diontae Johnson | 5.3 | 0.3 | 65% | 19% | 65% |
96. James Washington | 5.3 | 0.5 | 63% | 11% | 79% |
97. Tim Patrick | 5.3 | 0.5 | 81% | 33% | 57% |
98. Chris Conley | 5.3 | 0.6 | 77% | 23% | 64% |
99. Hunter Renfrow | 5.3 | 0.8 | 78% | 22% | 70% |
100. Jimmy Graham | 5.3 | 1.8 | 82% | 7% | 71% |
101. Joe Mixon | 5.3 | 0.4 | 83% | 0% | 96% |
102. James Robinson | 5.3 | 0.2 | 73% | 0% | 100% |
103. Kendrick Bourne | 5.3 | 0.6 | 73% | 8% | 62% |
104. Myles Gaskin | 5.3 | 0.8 | 80% | 0% | 100% |
105. Randall Cobb | 5.3 | 0.4 | 58% | 4% | 75% |
106. Christian Blake | 5.0 | 0.0 | 80% | 0% | 20% |
107. Christian McCaffrey | 5.0 | 0.0 | 89% | 0% | 100% |
108. David Montgomery | 5.0 | 0.6 | 83% | 4% | 91% |
109. Larry Fitzgerald | 5.0 | 0.2 | 68% | 4% | 84% |
110. Michael Pittman | 5.0 | 0.7 | 75% | 0% | 83% |
111. Olamide Zaccheaus | 5.0 | 0.3 | 70% | 15% | 65% |
112. Russell Gage | 5.0 | 1.6 | 72% | 3% | 81% |
113. Ronald Jones | 5.0 | 0.8 | 83% | 0% | 100% |
114. Scotty Miller | 5.0 | 0.3 | 95% | 33% | 52% |
115. Steven Sims | 5.0 | 0.5 | 75% | 25% | 50% |
116. Sammy Watkins | 5.0 | 1.2 | 66% | 3% | 86% |
117. T.J. Hockenson | 5.0 | 1.0 | 75% | 0% | 65% |
118. Tre’Quan Smith | 5.0 | 0.8 | 57% | 5% | 67% |
119. Danny Amendola | 4.7 | 0.3 | 67% | 10% | 57% |
120. Devin Singletary | 4.7 | 0.8 | 95% | 5% | 90% |
121. Robert Tonyan | 4.7 | 1.3 | 79% | 14% | 57% |
122. Chase Edmonds | 4.5 | 0.8 | 78% | 4% | 87% |
123. Dallas Goedert | 4.5 | 0.7 | 50% | 11% | 72% |
124. Justin Watson | 4.5 | 0.0 | 45% | 9% | 73% |
125. Jamaal Williams | 4.5 | 0.3 | 77% | 8% | 92% |
126. Zach Pascal | 4.5 | 1.0 | 67% | 19% | 52% |
127. Chris Thompson | 4.3 | 0.8 | 87% | 0% | 93% |
128. Jordan Akins | 4.3 | 0.3 | 67% | 7% | 80% |
129. John Brown | 4.3 | 1.0 | 78% | 22% | 57% |
130. O.J. Howard | 4.3 | 0.8 | 84% | 21% | 58% |
131. Anthony Miller | 4.3 | 0.8 | 65% | 17% | 39% |
132. Braxton Berrios | 4.3 | 0.5 | 88% | 12% | 65% |
133. Chris Carson | 4.3 | 0.8 | 91% | 0% | 91% |
134. Dontrelle Inman | 4.3 | 0.4 | 59% | 9% | 50% |
135. Drew Sample | 4.3 | 1.4 | 61% | 0% | 89% |
136. Jerick McKinnon | 4.3 | 0.6 | 86% | 14% | 86% |
137. Rob Gronkowski | 4.3 | 0.6 | 65% | 20% | 60% |
138. Anthony Firkser | 4.0 | 0.0 | 67% | 0% | 67% |
139. Deontay Burnett | 4.0 | 1.0 | 50% | 0% | 100% |
140. Giovani Bernard | 4.0 | 1.0 | 100% | 0% | 100% |
141. Isaiah Wright | 4.0 | 0.3 | 92% | 8% | 83% |
142. Justin Jackson | 4.0 | 0.0 | 75% | 0% | 100% |
143. Julio Jones | 4.0 | 0.3 | 85% | 20% | 40% |
144. Jalen Reagor | 4.0 | 0.0 | 50% | 25% | 38% |
145. Jalen Richard | 4.0 | 1.0 | 62% | 0% | 100% |
146. KeeSean Johnson | 4.0 | 0.0 | 88% | 25% | 38% |
147. LeSean McCoy | 4.0 | 0.8 | 62% | 0% | 92% |
148. Melvin Gordon | 4.0 | 0.5 | 87% | 0% | 93% |
149. Mecole Hardman | 4.0 | 0.2 | 53% | 12% | 71% |
150. Mike Williams | 4.0 | 0.5 | 90% | 38% | 38% |
151. Sterling Shepard | 4.0 | 0.5 | 60% | 10% | 80% |
152. Tanner Hudson | 4.0 | 0.0 | 25% | 50% | 50% |
153. Tyler Kroft | 4.0 | 2.0 | 63% | 13% | 75% |
Air Yards & aDOT
Average air yards, sorted by targets per game in the last four weeks. “aDOT” is average depth of target. Minimum 25 air yards per game in the last four weeks.
Player | aDOT | Season | Last 4 | Week 5 | Games |
1. Calvin Ridley | 15.8 | 158 | 162 | 132 | 5 |
2. DK Metcalf | 16.8 | 131 | 134 | 189 | 5 |
3. Jeff Smith | 12.3 | 123 | 123 | 141 | 2 |
4. Marquise Brown | 16.8 | 121 | 122 | 141 | 5 |
5. Tyreek Hill | 15.3 | 107 | 122 | 184 | 5 |
6. Adam Thielen | 14.1 | 124 | 119 | 125 | 5 |
7. Allen Robinson | 10.6 | 121 | 115 | 134 | 5 |
8. Tee Higgins | 14.5 | 109 | 109 | 90 | 4 |
9. Terry McLaurin | 10.7 | 99 | 106 | 97 | 5 |
10. Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 17.2 | 108 | 101 | 0 | 4 |
11. Darius Slayton | 12.6 | 101 | 100 | 145 | 5 |
12. Michael Gallup | 16.9 | 94 | 99 | 69 | 5 |
13. Stefon Diggs | 11.0 | 97 | 99 | 0 | 4 |
14. Scotty Miller | 16.6 | 87 | 98 | 0 | 4 |
15. Odell Beckham | 13.0 | 101 | 97 | 71 | 5 |
16. Amari Cooper | 9.1 | 100 | 96 | 22 | 5 |
17. D.J. Moore | 13.1 | 97 | 96 | 81 | 5 |
18. Travis Fulgham | 11.8 | 95 | 95 | 139 | 2 |
19. Julian Edelman | 11.4 | 86 | 94 | 0 | 4 |
20. Jamison Crowder | 9.0 | 99 | 94 | 72 | 3 |
21. A.J. Green | 14.6 | 100 | 92 | 18 | 5 |
22. Will Fuller | 13.4 | 101 | 91 | 119 | 4 |
23. Keenan Allen | 8.8 | 90 | 91 | 29 | 5 |
24. CeeDee Lamb | 9.9 | 79 | 89 | 134 | 5 |
25. Robby Anderson | 9.3 | 87 | 88 | 125 | 5 |
26. Christian Kirk | 15.7 | 82 | 86 | 96 | 4 |
27. Jerry Jeudy | 12.7 | 89 | 85 | 0 | 4 |
28. Damiere Byrd | 11.5 | 84 | 84 | 0 | 3 |
29. Tyler Boyd | 9.3 | 74 | 84 | 65 | 5 |
30. Allen Lazard | 12.3 | 70 | 84 | 0 | 3 |
31. John Hightower | 18.9 | 71 | 84 | 210 | 4 |
32. Kenny Golladay | 11.1 | 84 | 84 | 0 | 2 |
33. Chase Claypool | 13.9 | 69 | 82 | 145 | 4 |
34. Brandin Cooks | 11.3 | 74 | 82 | 122 | 5 |
35. Travis Kelce | 7.4 | 68 | 82 | 108 | 5 |
36. KJ Hamler | 13.4 | 81 | 81 | 0 | 2 |
37. Justin Jefferson | 12.9 | 64 | 78 | 53 | 5 |
38. Mike Williams | 18.1 | 95 | 78 | 155 | 4 |
39. George Kittle | 6.4 | 60 | 77 | 44 | 3 |
40. Emmanuel Sanders | 9.0 | 65 | 75 | 114 | 5 |
41. Tim Patrick | 13.6 | 71 | 74 | 0 | 4 |
42. Mark Andrews | 12.3 | 71 | 73 | 96 | 5 |
43. D.J. Chark | 11.6 | 58 | 72 | 21 | 4 |
44. Henry Ruggs | 21.5 | 79 | 72 | 92 | 3 |
45. Chris Conley | 12.9 | 57 | 71 | 54 | 5 |
46. T.Y. Hilton | 12.2 | 78 | 70 | 111 | 5 |
47. Darnell Mooney | 12.2 | 61 | 70 | 46 | 5 |
48. Tyler Lockett | 9.2 | 70 | 68 | 16 | 5 |
49. DeAndre Hopkins | 7.0 | 74 | 67 | 59 | 5 |
50. Mike Evans | 9.0 | 63 | 67 | 54 | 5 |
51. DeVante Parker | 9.6 | 61 | 67 | 45 | 5 |
52. DeSean Jackson | 17.3 | 115 | 66 | 0 | 3 |
53. Mike Gesicki | 11.3 | 63 | 65 | 52 | 5 |
54. John Brown | 12.7 | 73 | 63 | 0 | 4 |
55. Adam Humphries | 8.2 | 55 | 61 | 0 | 3 |
56. Darren Waller | 5.7 | 54 | 60 | 40 | 5 |
57. Jonnu Smith | 6.6 | 44 | 60 | 0 | 3 |
58. Jalen Guyton | 24.5 | 49 | 58 | 121 | 5 |
59. Hunter Renfrow | 10.0 | 46 | 56 | 25 | 5 |
60. Jarvis Landry | 10.7 | 60 | 56 | 111 | 5 |
61. Olamide Zaccheaus | 10.8 | 54 | 54 | 39 | 4 |
62. Hayden Hurst | 9.0 | 51 | 54 | 55 | 5 |
63. Zach Ertz | 7.7 | 54 | 53 | 38 | 5 |
64. Preston Williams | 14.3 | 63 | 53 | 111 | 5 |
65. Keelan Cole | 8.2 | 48 | 52 | 109 | 5 |
66. Kendrick Bourne | 10.2 | 53 | 52 | 21 | 5 |
67. Chris Hogan | 9.8 | 51 | 52 | 14 | 5 |
68. Hunter Henry | 8.2 | 56 | 51 | 58 | 5 |
69. Anthony Miller | 13.6 | 63 | 51 | 21 | 5 |
70. Cooper Kupp | 6.1 | 44 | 51 | 51 | 5 |
71. O.J. Howard | 11.9 | 57 | 50 | 0 | 4 |
72. Cole Beasley | 8.3 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 4 |
73. Eric Ebron | 9.5 | 47 | 50 | 43 | 4 |
74. Diontae Johnson | 8.2 | 53 | 50 | -1 | 4 |
75. N’Keal Harry | 6.1 | 43 | 49 | 0 | 4 |
76. Isaiah Ford | 8.1 | 46 | 49 | 23 | 5 |
77. Justin Watson | 9.6 | 35 | 49 | 0 | 3 |
78. Brandon Aiyuk | 8.7 | 48 | 48 | 113 | 4 |
79. C.J. Uzomah | 8.5 | 47 | 48 | 0 | 2 |
80. Deebo Samuel | 8.5 | 47 | 47 | 79 | 2 |
81. Danny Amendola | 9.9 | 52 | 47 | 0 | 4 |
82. Jared Cook | 11.4 | 52 | 47 | 57 | 4 |
83. Noah Fant | 7.3 | 49 | 47 | 0 | 4 |
84. Josh Reynolds | 11.8 | 38 | 46 | 54 | 5 |
85. Zach Pascal | 10.3 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 5 |
86. Zach Pascal | 10.3 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 5 |
87. Dalton Schultz | 6.4 | 39 | 46 | 10 | 5 |
88. Cedrick Wilson | 8.1 | 46 | 46 | -5 | 3 |
89. Tyler Eifert | 8.0 | 37 | 46 | 48 | 5 |
90. David Moore | 12.8 | 36 | 44 | 69 | 5 |
91. Julio Jones | 13.8 | 92 | 44 | 0 | 3 |
92. Logan Thomas | 7.6 | 49 | 43 | 32 | 5 |
93. Braxton Berrios | 10.1 | 43 | 43 | 57 | 4 |
94. Jimmy Graham | 7.4 | 42 | 43 | 67 | 5 |
95. Tre’Quan Smith | 8.3 | 35 | 43 | 15 | 5 |
96. Robert Woods | 6.0 | 37 | 42 | 58 | 5 |
97. Corey Davis | 9.4 | 60 | 42 | 0 | 3 |
98. Laviska Shenault | 7.3 | 41 | 42 | 40 | 5 |
99. Jordan Reed | 5.5 | 29 | 42 | 0 | 3 |
100. Rob Gronkowski | 9.4 | 38 | 42 | 37 | 5 |
101. Randall Cobb | 7.3 | 35 | 41 | 34 | 5 |
102. Andy Isabella | 12.6 | 41 | 41 | 31 | 4 |
103. Chris Godwin | 8.2 | 54 | 41 | 0 | 2 |
104. Robert Tonyan | 8.8 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 3 |
105. Austin Hooper | 6.5 | 35 | 40 | 103 | 5 |
106. Marvin Jones | 9.8 | 47 | 39 | 0 | 4 |
107. T.J. Hockenson | 6.9 | 35 | 39 | 0 | 4 |
108. Kenny Stills | 13.0 | 36 | 38 | 5 | 5 |
109. Sterling Shepard | 7.5 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 2 |
110. Sammy Watkins | 7.3 | 42 | 38 | 25 | 5 |
111. Russell Gage | 7.3 | 47 | 37 | 41 | 5 |
112. Dan Arnold | 9.5 | 29 | 36 | 0 | 4 |
113. Miles Boykin | 9.8 | 33 | 36 | 22 | 5 |
114. Trey Burton | 6.4 | 35 | 35 | 31 | 2 |
115. Greg Ward | 5.6 | 35 | 35 | 30 | 5 |
116. Golden Tate | 5.9 | 34 | 34 | 38 | 4 |
117. Dallas Goedert | 6.8 | 41 | 33 | 0 | 3 |
118. Greg Olsen | 7.8 | 30 | 33 | 15 | 5 |
119. James Washington | 7.5 | 36 | 32 | 3 | 4 |
120. Irv Smith | 9.6 | 27 | 32 | 53 | 4 |
121. Aaron Jones | 4.2 | 24 | 31 | 0 | 4 |
122. Demarcus Robinson | 9.0 | 34 | 31 | 41 | 4 |
123. Mo Alie-Cox | 9.2 | 26 | 31 | 18 | 5 |
124. Van Jefferson | 14.7 | 37 | 30 | 0 | 4 |
125. Larry Fitzgerald | 5.4 | 27 | 30 | 48 | 5 |
126. JuJu Smith-Schuster | 5.0 | 30 | 29 | 18 | 4 |
127. Dontrelle Inman | 8.5 | 37 | 29 | -5 | 5 |
128. Nelson Agholor | 12.6 | 28 | 29 | 39 | 5 |
129. Evan Engram | 4.5 | 29 | 28 | 10 | 5 |
130. Michael Pittman | 5.3 | 21 | 26 | 0 | 3 |
131. David Johnson | 5.4 | 20 | 25 | 23 | 5 |
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Inside-the-10 Touches & Game-Script Data
Average usage from Weeks 1-5, sorted by inside-the-10 yard-line touches per game. Minimum 7.0 carries per game. “Touch % (Lead)” is a player’s share of team touches while his team is leading. I removed touch shares if a team has fewer than 50 plays in a game script or if a player missed a game.
Player | Inside 10 Touches | Touch % (Lead) | Touch % (Trail) | Carries | Games |
3.8 (1st) | 33% | 34% | 16.3 | 4 | |
3.7 (2nd) | 42% | 48% | 27.3 | 3 | |
3.5 (3rd) | NA | NA | 20.5 | 2 | |
3.4 (4) | NA | 35% | 18.0 | 5 | |
3.0 (5) | NA | NA | 11.7 | 3 | |
3.0 (6) | NA | NA | 11.5 | 4 | |
3.0 (7) | NA | NA | 8.5 | 2 | |
2.6 (8) | 18% | 29% | 11.6 | 5 | |
2.4 (9) | 33% | 35% | 12.2 | 5 | |
2.3 (10) | 20% | 32% | 13.8 | 4 | |
2.2 (11) | 59% | 34% | 21.2 | 5 | |
2.2 (12) | 37% | 24% | 16.2 | 5 | |
2.2 (13) | 27% | 25% | 15.8 | 5 | |
2.2 (14) | 28% | 28% | 14.0 | 5 | |
2.2 (15) | 40% | 23% | 12.8 | 5 | |
1.8 (16) | 43% | 29% | 18.4 | 5 | |
1.8 (17) | 33% | 24% | 17.0 | 5 | |
1.8 (18) | 30% | 34% | 12.2 | 5 | |
1.8 (19) | NA | NA | 15.5 | 4 | |
1.6 (20) | 26% | 37% | 15.4 | 5 | |
1.6 (21) | 26% | 30% | 14.8 | 5 | |
1.6 (22) | 24% | 17% | 10.6 | 5 | |
1.5 (23) | 15% | 14% | 7.5 | 4 | |
1.4 (24) | 29% | 15% | 12.6 | 5 | |
1.3 (25) | 38% | 34% | 16.3 | 4 | |
1.3 (26) | NA | NA | 14.3 | 4 | |
1.3 (27) | 19% | 13% | 7.3 | 4 | |
1.2 (28) | NA | 25% | 11.0 | 5 | |
1.2 (29) | 23% | 16% | 10.4 | 5 | |
1.2 (30) | 18% | 23% | 8.8 | 5 | |
1.0 (31) | 42% | 36% | 20.0 | 5 | |
1.0 (32) | 41% | 28% | 13.6 | 5 | |
1.0 (33) | 30% | NA | 12.5 | 4 | |
1.0 (34) | NA | NA | 9.5 | 2 | |
1.0 (35) | 18% | NA | 9.0 | 5 | |
1.0 (36) | 17% | 19% | 7.0 | 5 | |
1.0 (37) | NA | NA | 7.0 | 1 | |
0.8 (38) | 30% | 28% | 12.6 | 5 | |
0.8 (39) | 13% | 13% | 8.2 | 5 | |
0.8 (40) | 27% | 21% | 13.5 | 4 | |
0.7 (41) | NA | NA | 11.0 | 3 | |
0.7 (42) | NA | NA | 8.7 | 3 | |
0.7 (43) | NA | NA | 8.7 | 3 | |
0.7 (44) | NA | NA | 8.0 | 3 | |
0.6 (45) | NA | 30% | 14.6 | 5 | |
0.5 (46) | 22% | 12% | 9.0 | 4 | |
0.5 (47) | NA | NA | 9.0 | 2 | |
0.4 (48) | NA | 24% | 12.8 | 5 | |
0.4 (49) | 12% | NA | 8.2 | 5 | |
0.3 (50) | NA | NA | 11.3 | 3 | |
0.3 (51) | NA | NA | 12.3 | 4 | |
0.0 (52) | NA | NA | 17.0 | 1 | |
0.0 (53) | NA | NA | 9.5 | 2 | |
0.0 (54) | NA | NA | 7.7 | 3 | |
0.0 (55) | NA | NA | 7.3 | 3 | |
0.0 (56) | NA | NA | 7.0 | 4 |
Week 5 Garbage Time Eaters
Percentage of a player’s touches that came when @nflfastR’s in-game winning percentage was less than 10% or greater than 90%. This is when backups enter the game, but it’s not always a bad thing. Use your judgement. Minimum 5 touches and 50% “Garbage Rate”.
Player | Garbage Rate | Garbage Touch | Total Touches |
91% | 29 | 32 | |
88% | 7 | 8 | |
80% | 8 | 10 | |
80% | 8 | 10 | |
80% | 8 | 10 | |
71% | 5 | 7 | |
67% | 4 | 6 | |
67% | 6 | 9 | |
67% | 6 | 9 | |
67% | 14 | 21 | |
67% | 4 | 6 | |
67% | 4 | 6 | |
64% | 7 | 11 | |
63% | 5 | 8 | |
57% | 4 | 7 | |
57% | 4 | 7 | |
56% | 5 | 9 | |
55% | 6 | 11 | |
50% | 4 | 8 |