With a week plus of preseason action under our belts, fantasy football drafts will be taking place at the highest rate over the next couple of weeks. No matter what your league format is, you’re going to be basing your draft strategy around a group of players that you like. Unfortunately, we’ve steadily shown that we’re very poor on nailing projections correctly and are going to swing and miss often on binary player decisions at specific spots in our drafts. There’s no way around that, but I am here to share the top-50 players I am drafting the most often at their respective market value.
Why 50 players? It’s not just an arbitrary number, we want to cover as many potential draft slots there are to make it useful for everyone. We also want to cover a wide range of options at each position to account for multiple draft strategies and players that may go ahead of their market price or lower. Remember that ADP is not a constant. Every draft room is going to draw its own breath. Even though this ADP is collected from thousands of drafts across five different sites, your draft is going to be unique. In the end, you’ll have to decide which players you’re going to reach for and try to wait on. These also aren’t the only players to draft, just the ones that fall into tremendous pockets of cost for expectations and/or upside the most often in drafts.
The only caveat I’m taking here is we’re starting in the back of the first round since the front of drafts will be the area in which they most linearly follow ADP. We want to start when the true decision making occurs.
Melvin Gordon – Aggregate ADP: 10.6
Gordon has increased his rushing attempts, yardage, targets, receptions and receiving yardage every year in the league. The Chargers have an improved offensive line on the interior and are the favorites to win the AFC West, giving Gordon plenty of increased opportunity while he’s already ranked third and fourth in the league in touches from inside of the 5-yard line over the past two seasons.
Leonard Fournette – Aggregate ADP: 11.8
Fournette’s 23.4 touches per game ranked third at the position as he racked up 19 or more touches in 14 of his 16 games played including the postseason. Those touches kept his floor extremely high as he finished lower than RB18 in a week just twice on the season. The Jaguars are doubling down on their offensive approach this season, bringing in guard Andrew Norwell to anchor the interior of the offensive line, meaning that floor volume is going to remain intact for Fournette and he has the upside for big weeks due to high touchdown potential.
Julio Jones – Aggregate ADP: 13.4
Owners are burying Julio for last season even though he once again eclipsed 1,400 yards for the fourth consecutive season, something only Marvin Harrison has accomplished outside of Jones. Owners suggest Jones isn’t consistent, but he’s gone over 100-yards receiving in 41 percent of his career games, the highest rate for all active wide receivers. The true reason he’s going lower is that he’s consistently struggled to give us a season with a ton of touchdowns. He may never cash in another double-digit scoring season, but his three touchdowns last season weren’t for a lack of trying. Jones doubled his red zone targets in 2018 (18) over his previous season but managed to reel in just five of those looks (27.8 percent) after catching 55.1 percent of this red zone targets over his career prior. Even if he gets to 6-8 touchdowns in 2018, that will go a long way.
A.J. Green – Aggregate ADP: 19.0
Green has also fallen to the lowest ADP of his career since his rookie season. Green’s 2017 dip in yardage (67.4 yards per game) had more to do with his quarterback play than any declination of his own skills. Green notched a career-low 52.4 percent catch rate in 2017, but only 59.7 percent of his targets were deemed catchable per Pro Football Focus, the lowest mark of his career after an average of 67.9 percent catchable targets per season over his six previous seasons. Green is a strong bet to compete for the largest target market share in the league at wide receiver and you can land him in a point in the second round in which you already have an established workhorse back on your roster, one of the most balanced starts you can have to a draft.
Rob Gronkowski – Aggregate ADP: 22.2
If you’re going to pay top-dollar for a tight end, Gronk is the true king. 78.9 percent (45-of-57) of his games played over the past five seasons have reached the TE1 baseline with 56.1 percent of his weeks ranking as a top-6 scorer and 40.4 percent as a top-3 fantasy option in that given week he took the field. He does come with large opportunity cost as he’s missed at least one game in six consecutive seasons, but with the Patriots without Julian Edelman to start the season as well as losing both Brandin Cooks and Danny Amendola this offseason, Gronk could get off to a hot start of the season.
Joe Mixon – Aggregate ADP: 23.6
Before even getting to Mixon himself, the Bengals are a strong bet to run a lot more plays this season while simultaneously be due to score more rushing touchdowns naturally. That immediately impacts Mixon’s outlook and he was someone who may have been turning the corner towards the end of his rookie season before a Week 13 concussion derailed the end of his season. After the Bengals bye, Mixon got more involved and Hill then was lost for seasons, with Mixon playing 67 percent of the snaps, averaging 17.6 touches for 81.8 yards per game, capped off with a 26-touch, 165-yard performance in Week 12 before he returned with 97 yards on 19 touches in Week 17 to close the season. To cap it off, the Bengals offensive line has improved with the additions of Cordy Glenn and Billy Price.
T.Y. Hilton - Aggregate ADP: 28.4
Hilton is the WR1 conversation while Andrew Luck is on the field. The last time that Hilton and Luck played together, Hilton led the NFL in receiving yardage and was the WR5 in both standard and PPR formats. Hilton at least 80 receptions and 1,000 yards receiving in each of his past three full seasons attached to Luck and the Colts have little in the path of surrounding playmakers to threaten Hilton being a high-volume target to go along with his big-play upside.
Stefon Diggs – Aggregate ADP: 30.6
Diggs has given us moments in each of his first three seasons in the league to suggest that he has the makings of a superstar receiver but has had each of those seasons derailed by injury. In the 12 games that he was fully on the field and not on the injury report in 2017, Diggs finished as the WR9 in overall scoring those weeks while finishing as the WR28 or higher in eight of those 12 weeks. This season, Diggs enters year four of his career at just age 25 with a new contract and a new quarterback upgrade in Kirk Cousins as he looks to build off a postseason in which he caught 14 passes for 207 yards ands a touchdown.
Larry Fitzgerald – Aggregate ADP: 34.4
Seemingly ageless, Fitzgerald will turn 35-years old on the final day of August, but you wouldn’t know from his recent resume. Fitz has over 100 receptions in each of the past three seasons, joining Jerry Rice as the only receivers to accomplish such a streak after turning 30-years old. Coming off 26.9 percent of the Arizona targets a year ago – his highest target share in a season since 2011- there’s little to no reason to believe that Fitzgerald won’t be leaned on just as heavily in what is potentially his final season in the league. Oft-injured Sam Bradford’s style of play lends itself well to where Fitzgerald has thrived and inevitably rookie Josh Rosen will find the field, but this is a much better situation that what Fitz dealt with a year ago and was still productive. Fitz was the WR6 in this format a year ago while playing nine games with Drew Stanton and Blaine Gabbert.
Alex Collins – Aggregate ADP: 42.6
Coming out of the Ravens Week 10 bye, Baltimore committed to Collins as he averaged 19.8 touches per game and was the RB10 for fantasy purposes over that span with five games as the RB14 or higher in weekly PPR scoring. He even caught 20 passes over that span to just 7 for Javorius Allen. Collin’s six rushing touchdowns also matched Todd Gurley and Latavius Murray for the most in the league over that end of the season stretch. Baltimore has added no early-down competition for Collins in 2018, ensuring a workmanlike grinder RB2 available for you at the 4-5 turn.
Jay Ajayi – Aggregate ADP: 44.6
Ajayi is a similar commodity to that of Collins but has more company in his backfield. The good news is that Ajayi is due for personal regression while being a part of a high-scoring offense that is due to rush for more touchdowns in 2018. Ajayi’s touch total rose with Philadelphia as the season wore on and with LeGarrette Blount no longer on the roster, he should be a solid RB2 option that is more suited for standard formats.
Golden Tate – Aggregate ADP: 45.0
Tate has become a fantasy option we have taken for granted a bit because he’s not as consistent wire to wire as much as his profile suggests, but he’s being wildly consistent in bulk and has a higher weekly ceiling than your typical slot man. Tate has 90 or more receptions in each of the past four seasons – something that only Antonio Brown can claim – and has more WR1 scoring weeks than teammate Marvin Jones in each of the past two years. Tate as stands to benefit the most from the Lions having limited pass catching options at tight end, the area of the field where operates the most.
Lamar Miller – Aggregate ADP: 52.8
The early 5th-round area is where the last pocket of RB2 options fly off the boards and often I’m looking to shore up depth with players here as my RB3 since the wide receiver pool stays stronger beyond this juncture of drafts. Miller is one of the final high-volume backs left on the table around this part of the draft. No longer needed to be drafted as a starter, Miller is still just 27-years-old and has off four consecutive seasons of at least 1,200 yards from scrimmage. He also did flash upside playing along Deshaun Watson. Over those six weeks, Miller was the RB14 in overall points, finishing as an RB2 or better in five of those six games with two top-5 scoring weeks. Warren Sharp has Houston with the softest schedule in the league and D’Onta Foreman may be a non-factor all of the 2018 coming off an Achilles late last season.
Dion Lewis – Aggregate ADP: 58.4
If Lewis needs to be my RB2, I’m laying off, but as a RB3/Flex option, I’m adding him when he’s available in this portion of the draft. Lewis is much better on the ground than typical satellite backs as evidence by his end of 2017 run as a workhorse back, but in Tennessee he still stands to give away a lot of money touches to Derrick Henry and will have to tack on his value in the passing game. Henry was used on just 31.9 percent of the Tennessee passing plays a year ago, something that doesn’t factor to increase much with the addition of a player like Lewis.
Chris Hogan – Aggregate ADP: 65.2
Hogan was the WR8 overall Weeks 1-8 before suffering a shoulder injury that sidelined him for all but one game for the remainder of the season. Over that span, Hogan ranked fifth in the league in red zone targets (11) and third in targets from inside of the 10-yard line (six) for all players. Without Julian Edelman for the first four weeks, he’ll be the only familiar high-target option for Tom Brady outside of Rob Gronkowski. Even when Edelman returns, Hogan will have safety as the primary vertical option in New England as well as maintaining a red zone presence attached to a quarterback that averages 2.1 passing touchdowns per game over his past nine seasons.
Michael Crabtree – Aggregate ADP: 67.2
Crabtree is far from sexy or a week-winner outright, but he’s a stable presence to rosters for volume attached to a safe bed of touchdown upside. Baltimore is missing 59 percent of their targets from a year ago while Crabtree has scored eight or more times in three consecutive seasons. Even if he remains unexciting (10.8 yards per catch over the past four seasons), Crabtree is a solid WR2/WR3 fallback plan for those missing out on someone like Golden Tate earlier in drafts.
Delanie Walker – Aggregate ADP: 71.6
Walker is the first tight end I begin to monitor when I don’t land Gronk. He has now matched or bested his positional ADP in each of the five seasons as he has at least 60 receptions in five straight seasons with at least 100 targets and 800 receiving yards in four straight seasons. He does enter 2018 at 34-years old, but with the Titans due for a passing game scoring spike in 2018, he’s a reliable target for drafters wanted to stay patient on the position, but not fully wait on the complete upside or streaming options.
Rex Burkhead – Aggregate ADP: 72.4
His ongoing knee issue this offseason should keep his cost in check, but when on the field, Burkhead established himself as a weekly fixture in the New England offense surrounding ankle, rib and knee injuries that caused him to miss six games of the season but was the RB12 from Weeks 7-15 of the season when deployed as a part-time player. He averaged just 11 touches per game over that span but was tied for third in the league in touches inside of the 5-yard line over that span and handled seven of the 10 backfield carries in that area of the field for the Patriots. He was also highly effective with those touches, converting five for touchdowns. Burkhead also ran a pass route on 55.4 percent of his snaps, which ranked as the 10th highest rate at his position and he was targeted on 33.3 percent his routes, which ranked tied for third behind Tarik Cohen and Alvin Kamara.
Julian Edelman – Aggregate ADP: 76.6
One of the first high risk/high reward picks, Edelman is only an option in leagues that reward receptions to some degree. Coming off a torn ACL at age 32, Edelman is suspended for the opening four games for PEDs. That layoff gets him some extra time to get his legs back while the Patriots have little in the way of him walking right back into a high-volume in the offense on this return. Edelman has averaged at least 6.0 receptions per game over his past four seasons and will be returning to a prime schedule of Indianapolis, Kansas City, Chicago, Buffalo, Green Bay and Tennessee right off the bat when he’s available to play.
Drew Brees – Aggregate ADP: 77.4
Brees is the first quarterback I eye up in drafts beginning around the 7th-round. Brees was still as good as ever in 2017, leading the league in completion rate (72.0), completions per game (24.1) and yards per attempt (8.1) among qualified passers. He just ran into a season in which the Saints had a ton of leads and was bitten by touchdown variance, something that should reverse itself enough to push Brees back into the ~30 passing touchdown range in 2018.
Emmanuel Sanders – Aggregate ADP: 77.6
Sanders is coming off an injury-riddled 2017 in which he missed four games while posting the lowest catch rate (51.1 percent) of his career and his lowest marks in yards per reception (11.8) and receiving yardage per game (46.3) since joining the Broncos is 2014. Despite those depressed totals, he was still the only other name in town in this passing game outside of Demaryius Thomas – averaging 22 percent of the Denver looks per game- and that’s not changing for the 2018 season with Denver drafting two rookie wideouts. Sanders has shown a valuable ceiling, matching a safer floor Demaryius Thomas who goes earlier with six WR1 games over the past two seasons despite missing four games.
Marquise Goodwin – Aggregate ADP: 80.2
By all accounts through this offseason, Goodwin has surpassed Pierre Garcon as the focal point of the 49er passing game, allowing him to build off his impressive finish to 2017. After catching just 27-of-62 (43.5 percent) targets from Brian Hoyer and C.J. Beathard, Goodwin and Garoppolo connected on 29-of-43 (67.4 percent) looks for 384 yards and a touchdown. Establishing that rapport was key in giving Goodwin an edge coming into this season, but this price point also insulates any concerns that his 24.4 percent share with Garoppolo under center comes down below 20 percent with Garcon back in the lineup.
Jordan Reed – Aggregate ADP: 88.2
Another pick that is not for the risk averse crowd, but when I’m looking at players at the start one, “onesie” positions, it’s hard not to acknowledge discounted players that have the ability to pace their position in points scored. The leader at the position in receptions and fantasy points on a per game basis over 2015-2016, Reed has being the top scorer at his position in his range of outcomes and his current draft cost accounts for the replacement level points you may need to have in your lineup as Reed has missed multiple games in five straight seasons.
Andrew Luck – Aggregate ADP: 89.2
Sticking with the discounted below his shown output due to injury theme, Luck is a player that can pace his position in his range of outcomes. The last we saw Luck on the field, he posted career-highs in completion rate (63.5 percent) and yards per attempt (7.8) while he finished fifth in fantasy points per game (20.5) for the season. He’s also a solid athlete, adding at least 45 fantasy points from rushing production in every full season of his career so far. Luck has finished as the QB4, QB2 and the QB4 in overall scoring in each of his past three full seasons played since his rookie year.
Kirk Cousins – Aggregate ADP: 91.8
When looking at quarterback upside and have a roster where I’m not too keen on taking on the health or surrounding personnel risks that orbit Luck, Cousins is the next guy I target frequently in this area of drafts. Cousins has been the QB9, QB5 and QB6 over the past three seasons in Washington and this season is attached to the best defense and offense he’s ever had. He’s an arbitrage option on two wide receivers going in the opening three rounds, a running back going inside of the top-15 and a top-10 tight end.
Jamaal Williams – Aggregate ADP: 91.8
With Aaron Jones suspended to open the season and Ty Montgomery likely reduced to an ancillary role as the Packers keep his health in line, Williams is a starting running back to open the season on premier offense. This makes him a high target for teams going WR-heavy to open drafts. Williams led the Packer backfield in attempts (153), rushing yards (556), receptions (25), receiving yards (262) and total touchdowns (six) a year ago. Can Williams hold the job? The one thing we do know is Mike McCarthy has shown he’d prefer to play one back rather a pure timeshare. In games in which the Packers had two or all three backs available, the lead back averaged 74 percent of the snaps and 17.2 touches per week.
Randall Cobb – Aggregate ADP: 92.4
With an unsettled position on the perimeter post the release of Jordy Nelson and only the addition of Jimmy Graham – who struggled outside of the red zone in his age 31 season a year ago- Cobb should regain some traction as a very cheap fantasy path to some of the production Rodgers put out. In his five full games with Rodgers a year ago, Cobb quietly tallied 30 receptions for 302 yards and two touchdowns on 45 targets while being the WR27 or higher in four of those weeks. He had nine or more targets in three of those games.
Robby Anderson – Aggregate ADP: 92.6
Now that Anderson has been absolved of his off-field transgressions, the remaining concerns of playing with a rookie quarterback and the offense having more passing options are still priced in for Anderson to trump his cost. Through 12 weeks in 2017 with Josh McCown as his quarterback, Anderson was the WR14 in scoring, ranking 13th among all wide receivers in yardage and tied for fourth in touchdown receptions. Anderson was universally loved by analysts over his average draft position in our Abuse the Rankings piece.
Trey Burton – Aggregate ADP: 99.8
Burton will be the pass catcher/ Travis Kelce-type of this duo even when both he and Adam Shaheen are on the field as Burton ran a pass route on 55.9 percent of his snaps in 2017 while Shaheen was at just a lowly 28.0 percent mark. Shaheen is still a problem for Burton’s touchdown ceiling, leaving him as a PPR-floor option for those who wait on the position, but Burton will surely set career-marks in 2018 in terms of volume and usage given his contract and versatility.
Kelvin Benjamin – Aggregate ADP: 105.0
Benjamin isn’t someone you want to ride a week to week wave with given the state of the Buffalo offense, but he should sleepwalk his way to 125 plus targets this year, which makes him a player to at least keep an eye on as a bench option. Even if you anticipate the Bills’ quarterback situation being a negative for Benjamin, he’s more than capable of putting up an inefficient fantasy season carried for tremendous volume from an inaccurate passer as evidence of his 2014 season when he was the WR15 overall on 145 targets.
Jack Doyle – Aggregate ADP: 112.0
Doyle closed 2017 fifth in the position in points per game without Andrew Luck. Even with the addition of Eric Ebron, Doyle should remain a highly targeted option for the Indianapolis passing game as there’s just not many viable passing game options on the roster. He also gets Luck back, who has targeted tight ends on 32 percent of his passes inside of the 10-yard line over his past four seasons and had a connection with Doyle in the last season they played together, connecting on 59-of-75 targets (78.7 percent) in 2016 for 584 yards and five touchdowns.
Chris Carson – Aggregate ADP: 117.2
The Seahawks have made no shortage of statements that want to incorporate Carson into the lineup heavily and now that rookie Rashaad Penny’s start to the season is in jeopardy due to a broken finger, Carson has a chance to push the rookie’s potential opportunity further down the line. Penny is still the long-term play here if his draft stock plummets due to his injury, but Seattle is a strong blind bet to rush for more touchdowns in 2018 while Carson is a cheap swing on finding a RB3/Flex option at the beginning of the season.
David Njoku - Aggregate ADP: 117.4
If you’re looking for upside at position that isn’t tough to crack, Njoku should be the guy you’re most often targeting. With the unknown availability of Josh Gordon, Njoku could instantly elevate to second on the team in target opportunity with probability to push for the team lead in touchdown receptions.
Kenny Stills – Aggregate ADP: 122.0
There’s no player I’ve drafted more this offseason than Stills. Stills’ targets, catch rate, receiving yardage and fantasy points per game have risen in all three years in Miami and he’s been used in a more diverse fashion each of those seasons, running 41 percent and 47 percent of his routes from the slot over the past two seasons. With Jarvis Landry gone, Devante Parker contending with an injury and Albert Wilson, Danny Amendola not being someone they are compromise with full-time snaps, Stills is set up to have his best season at age 26.
Giovani Bernard – Aggregate ADP: 127.4
Bernard has closed four of his five seasons in the league as a top-30 scoring fantasy option at his position despite averaging 13 or fewer touches per game in each of his past three seasons. When drafting receiving-first fantasy options from backfields, you want to find players with not only a role, but ones that have the opportunity to carve out a potential starting role due to injury, just Bernard does and had a year ago. When Joe Mixon went down last season, Bernard averaged 16.3 touches for 109.3 yards from scrimmage per game over those four weeks.
Alex Smith – Aggregate ADP: 134.6
We can’t anticipate Smith to be a top-5 fantasy option once again, but not all regression is a detriment. Smith trades his familiar surroundings in Kansas City for a potential volume spike in Washington. In seven seasons as an offensive coordinator or Head Coach, Jay Gruden’s quarterbacks have averaged 562 pass attempts per season with a low of 535 coming in Andy Dalton’s rookie season. Smith has surpassed 500 pass attempts just twice in his career with a high of 508 attempts in 2013. Also, don’t discount Smith’s contributions on the ground, where he’s averaged 45 fantasy points per season over the past five years. When missing out on the clear QB1 tier options, Smith opens with games against Arizona, Indianapolis and Green Bay to start the season.
Mike Williams – Aggregate ADP: 140.6
Mike Williams’ competition to make a surge up the depth chart is battling Tyrell Williams, who has had trouble developing as more than a vertical option while Travis Benjamin has remained a niche option in the passing game in his two seasons with the Chargers. Even if the second-year receiver doesn’t immediately jump the filed here behind Keenan Allen, the Chargers are missing 23 red zone targets from a year ago, an area where the 6’4”, 220-pound Williams can carve out an immediate role.
Michael Gallup – Aggregate ADP: 143.0
Gallup is set up to be this year’s Cooper Kupp, a third-round rookie falling into an ambiguous passing game with a ton of available targets. Dallas is missing 56 percent of their targets from a year ago, which is the second largest share of vacated targets in the league. Gallup will compete with Terrence Williams, Allen Hurns and Cole Beasley for those targets, hardly a murder’s row of talent that he must overcome.
Kenny Golladay – Aggregate ADP: 149.8
Golladay averaged a gaudy 17.0 yards per reception on 28 catches as a rookie and he averaged 87 percent of the Detroit snaps over the final four weeks. With Eric Ebron gone and no receiving tight end presence on the roster, Golladay should make a significant jump in target opportunity while holding top-24 upside should an injury occur to either Golden Tate or Marvin Jones.
Josh Doctson – Aggregate ADP: 150.4
2017 was essentially Doctson’s rookie season and he did flash upside as a vertical option (averaging 14.2 yards per reception) and as an end zone presence, turning 17 percent of his receptions into touchdowns. There’s still plenty of room for Doctson’s volume to grow as he ranked 68th among wideouts in targets in his first year with significant playing time and Washington is trending towards being a pass-heavy team once again in 2018.
Peyton Barber – Aggregate ADP: 154.8
Barber may or may not just be keeping the seat warm for rookie Ronald Jones, but that doesn’t matter for teams in dire need of immediate RB/Flex help. Barber filled in adequately for Tampa Bay as their lead back over the final five weeks, averaging 18 touches and 84 yards per week over that span. Even if Jones inevitably takes downs away, Barber still has an inline on being the Buccaneers short yardage and goal line back. The main issue for Barber is that Tampa Bay could be dreadful and is a team that is set up to throw a lot.
Tyler Lockett – Aggregate ADP: 155.0
Lockett has failed to deliver on a potential breakout but is a calculated play on his cost in conjunction with Seattle losing so may targets from their 2017 campaign. With Jimmy Graham (96 targets) and Paul Richardson (80) both leaving Seattle via free agency, and Doug Baldwin already behind the eight-ball in terms of health, Lockett should be expected to set a career-high in opportunity in 2018.
Mitchell Trubisky – Aggregate ADP: 158.8
The Bears should be expected to see a significant spike in play volume and are due for a passing touchdown spike moving over from John Fox to Matt Nagy and Mark Helfrich. The Bears also significantly upgraded their surrounding offensive talent, adding Allen Robinson, Trey Burton, Taylor Gabriel and Anthony Miller this offseason to go along with Tarik Cohen and Jordan Howard in their backfield. The scheme change also aids Trubisky’s rushing ceiling because he also has mobility, adding 3.1 rushing points per game last season.
Bilal Powell – Aggregate ADP: 164.0
Powell is another low-leverage option that could potentially start from Day 1 and should have an increased passing game role with Elijah McGuire out to begin the season. After catching 47 and 58 passes over the two prior seasons, Powell caught just 23 passes on 33 targets in 2017. We’re unlikely to get the career-high 178 rushing attempts from him again sharing the backfield with Isaiah Crowell, but Powell should easily dispatch either as the passing-game back while McGuire is sidelined and is far and away running with the first team offense through preseason action.
Hayden Hurst – Aggregate ADP: 168.8
Rookie tight ends are typically a slow burn, but that has more to do with initial playing time and opportunity generated from the learning curve of the position. That’s not an issue for Hurst as he will thrust into a starting job from day one in the Baltimore offense. He’s also an older prospect, entering the season at age 24. Joe Flacco has targeted tight ends on 25.3 percent of his passes over the past three seasons.
Chris Godwin – Aggregate ADP: 176.6
Godwin doesn’t have as clean of a path to initial targets as Kenny Golladay, but he is already being incorporated into the offense more with the starting unit and Tampa Bay is built to pass. Godwin was also exceptional with his opportunities as a rookie. In the three games that either Mike Evans or DeSean Jackson missed last year, Godwin had 25.1 percent of the Tampa Bay targets (28 total), turning them into 15 receptions for 277 yards and a touchdown.
Tyrod Taylor – Aggregate ADP: 182.6
When missing out at quarterback or planning on going into the season with a full-on streaming approach, Taylor should be someone popping with neon lights as a target. Taylor has had one the steadiest floors as a starting quarterback, reaching at least 15 fantasy points in 30-of-43 starts over the past three seasons in Buffalo. He’s averaged 35.6 rushing yards per game over that span and now has by far his best supporting cast in Cleveland. Taylor may not finish the season as the starting quarterback, but in a week-to-week game, he will be in the lower-QB1 mix every week he does start due to his high floor.
Benjamin Watson – Aggregate ADP: 199.5
Watson was eighth in the league last season among tight ends with 61 receptions and heads to the best fantasy offense in the NFL. I don’t anticipate Watson to channel another TE8 scoring season like the one he had in New Orleans in 2015, but for anyone looking to begin the season streaming the position, Watson draws three teams (Cleveland, NY Giants and Washington) that ranked in the bottom-5 of points allowed to opposing tight ends a year ago over his opening five weeks.
Geronimo Allison – Aggregate ADP: 197.0
Allison has a lock on the flanker job in Green Bay entering the season. Over his first two seasons in the league, Allison has played five games without Randall Cobb or Jordy Nelson or active and has averaged 12.3 PPR points per game in those five weeks. Jimmy Graham’s arrival compromises Allison, but at this stage of the draft, you can do worse than grabbing the cheapest branch that extends from Aaron Rodgers.
