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The Cleveland Indians host the St. Louis Cardinals this afternoon in the second game of a two-game interleague matchup. Zach Plesac takes the mound for the Indians, while Kwang Hyun Kim goes for the Cardinals. Odds via PointsBet.
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St. Louis Cardinals(-115) vs Cleveland Indians (-105) Total: 9
The Cleveland Indians have struggled to start the second half of the season. In 11 games since the All-Star break, the Indians are 4-7 on the Money Line. On the other side, the Cardinals are 7-4 since the All-Star break.
The Indians will turn to Zach Plesac this afternoon. On the season, Plesac owns a 5-3 record with a 4.30 ERA, with his last loss falling on April 20. With Plesac on the mound this season, the Indians are 7-6 on the Money Line and 7-6 to the Over. When he pitches at home the Over cashes 71% of the time.
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PointsBet opened this game up with the Indians as a -115 favorite. This morning the Indians moved to a -105 Underdog. Public and sharp bettors are scared off by the Indians recent losses so they are fading the home team. PointsBet is reporting 66% of the tickets and 77% of the handle backing the road Cardinals.
St. Louis is off to a good start in the second half of the season, but I worry about them on the road. This season on the road the Cardinals are 23-30 (43%) on the Money Line. Today’s starter Kwang Hyun Kim is 4-4 on the Money Line as a road starter this season. I’m going to fade the public and sharps in this afternoon game and back the home Indians.
Edge Finder Tip: 63% of the betting handle is on the Over
EDGE: Indians -105
