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NBA GAME PICK FOR ECF GAME 7: CELTICS VS HEAT

Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown

Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

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CELTICS (-2.5) AT HEAT: O/U 197.5

Game 7. We know the NBA wanted one in the Conference Finals and well, we got one.

The Miami Heat took care of business in Boston beating the Celtics 111-103 at TD Garden.

Per NBC’s Edge Finder, the Celtics are 5-0 ATS and on the ML coming off a loss in the postseason. The Celtics have won on average by 17.8 points per game and won by 20-plus points three times.

Boston won on the road by eight, 13 and 25 points following a loss this postseason. The Celtics beat the Heat by 20 points off a loss in this series.

Celtics

Celtics

Coming off a win, Miami is 5-5 ATS and 6-4 on the ML in this postseason with a 7-3 hit rate to the Under. Miami has lost the last two games following a win -- both losses to Boston by 20 and 25 points.

I do not expect Miami to go away as the home dog, but the Heat did get blown out in its last home game, giving them their first ML loss (7-1 ML) and second ATS loss at home in the postseason (6-2 ATS).

I played the Boston Celtics ML out to -135 odds and would take them out to -150. The books have repeatedly listed the Celtics as the favorite to win the series and I am buying into that hype in Game 7.

Pick: Celtics ML (1u)

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