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The Los Angeles Clippers host the Dallas Mavericks tonight in Game 5 of their first-round series. The Clippers will try to be the first home team to win a game in this series.
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers (-7) Total: 217
The Clippers and Mavericks have played seven games against each other this season. The Mavericks have a 4-3 lead going into tonight. What’s interesting is that the home team has only won once. Los Angeles has been the favorite in all seven games, going 3-4 ATS. In those seven games, the Under has cashed five times.
The Clippers opened up this series as heavy favorites, and after their two victories in Dallas, PointsBet has the Clippers at -450 favorite to advance to the Conference Semifinals.
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Including the playoffs, the Dallas Mavericks are 22-16 (57%) ATS on the road this season. The Clippers on the other hand, are 21-17 (55%) ATS at home. The Mavericks have straight-up wins in 7 of their last 8 games as road underdogs.
Tonight’s game opened up with the Clippers as 6.5-point favorites, while Dallas opened up at +215 on the money line. PointsBet currently has the Clippers as 7-point favorites with the Mavericks at +240 on the money line. Just over 60% of the bets and 52% of the money are backing the Clippers to lay the points tonight at home.
It’s pretty clear the Clippers are a better team than the Mavericks, and Luka Doncic will need more help to take Dallas to the next level. The Mavericks have been undervalued on the road all season long and they are again tonight. Dallas won’t win the game, but I think they will cover the number.
Edge: Mavericks +7
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