FAVORITE PROP BET
Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst/Managing Editor
Will Gloria Estefan appear in the halftime show? Yes +250: She said “No” to an invite back in November but this makes too much sense to have her join JLo and Shakira on stage. And, the only bets I’ve been able to win the past few Super Bowls are stupid halftime show props, so why break from Big Game tradition.
Patrick Everson, Senior Writer
Over 2.5 players to throw a pass: All it takes is one gadget play, and we’ve certainly seen those in Super Bowls. Think Philly Special. Or even throughout the postseason this year. Short of a gadget play, you just need a unique situation or, better still, desperation. I think it happens.
Brandon DuBreuil, Host of Prop Shop/Content Marketing Strategist
Will George Kittle have at least one rushing attmept? Yes +380: Kittle had five rushing attempts during the regular season, three of which came during marquee games. I think Shanahan is going to be very creative in getting his offensive MVP involved in this one after he wasn’t really needed in the two playoffs games.
Rob Hansen, Alerts/Product Coordinator
Travis Kelce Over 6 receptions: Many books have this number at 5.5 but have it juiced like Jack LaLanne. I was able to find it at a couple of spots at 6 as much less of a fave. I expect Mr. Kelce to be Mahomes’ main check-down target and he will spend most of the night sitting down underneath the San Francisco zone.
Rohit Ponnaiya, Publishing Editor/Analyst
Tyreek Hill Under 75.5 receiving yards: The Chiefs speedster is a threat to go the distance every time he touches the ball but he hasn’t gone Over this number since before Veterans Day. Since returning from injury, Hill has gone seven straight games with 72 or fewer receiving yards and the 49ers are the best team in the league at defending against the pass.
Jameson Mossman, Social Alerts Coordinator
Mecole Hardman Over 1.5 total receptions: Hardman is averaging 1.5 catches per game in the playoffs, and wouldn’t you know it, the books set the number at 1.5. I think Mahomes spreads the ball around and that means Hardman gets some chances.
Andrew Caley, Senior Publishing Editor/Analyst
Tyreek Hill Over 4.5 Rushing Yards: Hill’s receving props are tough to navigate in this matchup, so we’re going a little off the board with his rushing total. It’s so low because it’s likely he’ll only get one rush, but with two weeks to prepare I’m betting Andy Reid cooks up the perfect play for one of his most electric players.
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TOTAL PICK
Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst /Managing Editor
Over 54.5: Seeing that I have a teaser on 49ers +7.5/Under 60.5, I’d like this one to come in just Over the 54.5-point total. People forget how explosive this Niners offense can be.
Patrick Everson, Senior Writer
Over 54.5: Since I’m thinking something along the lines of 31-27, I’m going with the Over. I don’t love it. I could see San Fran defense finding a way to keep Patrick Mahomes in check. But the Chiefs scored 41 straight against the Texans and 28 in a row against the Titans.
Brandon DuBreuil, Host of Prop Shop/Content Marketing Strategist
Over 54.5: This is another sharp number that I’m not actually betting, but I lean to the Over with the K.C. pick as I think they correlate well together.
Rob Hansen, Alerts/Product Coordinator
Under 54.5: In the real world, I’m not touching the total for this game with a ten-foot pole. I think it’s a very good number. The public will, as usual, be betting the Over and I’ll take the other side. The 49ers have had great success running the ball, and controlling the clock and keeping the football out of the hands of Patrick Mahomes is their main ticket to success.
Rohit Ponnaiya, Publishing Editor/Analyst
Under 54.5: The 49ers have shut down several Top-10 offenses this season, including the Packers and Vikings in back to back weeks. They also held the league’s highest rated offense (Baltimore) to 283 yards and 20 points in Week 13. They might not have quite the same level of success against the Chiefs but they should still do enough on D, while controlling the clock with their run game, for the Total to sneak Under.
Jameson Mossman, Social Alerts Coordinator
Over 54.5: Even though last year’s game was a snoozer, Super Bowls are generally high scoring affairs. This year has the makings of a shootout with both offense’s ranking in the top 10 in offensive DVOA on the year (KC No. 3 and San Fran No. 7). Not to mention two of the best play-callers in the league are calling the shots. OVER!
Andrew Caley, Senior Publishing Editor/Analyst
Under 54.5: I hate this number. Particularly because I’m leaning Chiefs. Taking the Under in K.C. playoff games has not panned out at this point, but a similar matchup against the Patriots ended 23-16. If you are thinking Under maybe wait until closer to kickoff as the public loves to bet the Over and might drive the number up a bit.
SIDE PICK
Jason Logan, Senior Industry Analyst/Managing Editor
49ers +1.5: San Francisco should have been the favorite in this game after a great regular season and dominating postseason. Thanks for the points dummies!
Patrick Everson, Senior Writer
Chiefs -1.5: A one-score game that actually has some scoring in it would be nice, unlike last year’s 13-3 Patriots win over the Rams. So hopefully there are points, and the game is reasonably close. And I think both will be case. It’s a very good matchup, with the Chiefs getting the win and cover.
Brandon DuBreuil, Host of Prop Shop/Content Marketing Strategist
Chiefs -1.5: This is one of the tightest lines in recent memory for a Super Bowl and I really don’t see value in betting this spread. But if I’m forced to take a side, I’ll go with Chiefs given I think they would be more like a 3.5-point favorite if San Francisco hadn’t crushed Green Bay, and I’m just not sure that Green Bay team was very good.
Rob Hansen, Alerts/Product Coordinator
49ers +1.5: In a matchup involving two of the top offensive units in the entire NFL, you definitely have to side with the team with the better defense. The Niners will use their bend-but-don’t-break zone defense to limit the high-octane Chiefs and pull out a close win.
Rohit Ponnaiya, Publishing Editor/Analyst
49ers +1.5: The Chiefs have one of the most explosive offenses in recent history but the 49ers have the defense to slow them down. On the other side of the ball, San Fran’s aerial attack will do enough to keep the Chiefs Defense honest, allowing Mostert and company to run wild against a porous run D. The Chiefs have a bad habit of falling behind early, if they do that versus the Niners they aren’t coming back.
Jameson Mossman, Social Alerts Coordinator
Chiefs -1.5: San Francisco can pressure the QB with just their front four but Patrick Mahomes can extend plays and has the lowest sack rate in the league at just 3.3 percent. Mahomes continues his playoff run and Kansas City covers.
Andrew Caley, Senior Publishing Editor/Analyst
Chiefs -1.5: Honestly, the Niners are probably the sharp play here, with more talent up and down the roster. But Patrick Mahomes is the great equalizer. We are witnessing the start of something special in K.C. and I’m not going to be the one to fade Mahomes. Plus, Andy Reid. (Please God, don’t let him screw this up at the end).
