Vaughn Dalzell breaks down how he’s betting Game 4 between the New York Knicks and Miami Heat, including Bam Adebayo‘s player prop.
Bam Adebayo O/U 17.5 Points vs. Knicks
For Game 4, rather than picking a side between the Miami Heat and New York Knicks, I zeroed in on a Bam Adebayo prop as he’s M.I.A at times with Jimmy Butler turning into Jimmy Buckets.
Adebayo went Under 18 points in all three home games this postseason, all three games in this series and 5-1 to the Under in the past six games.
In this series against the Knicks, Adebayo averages 16.0 points per game in 37.0 minutes and 51.4% from the floor. Despite that successful percentage shooting, Adebayo has managed to score 16, 15 and 17 points versus New York.
This will be another physical game between these two teams. The first halves of these three games totaled 105 or fewer points and with Miami blowing out New York in Game 3, we can expect the Knicks to come correct defensively.
New York is holding Miami to 41.9% from the field over the last three games, which ranks first and 42.0 points per game in the paint permitted. The Knicks could win this game outright and whether they do or don’t, Adebayo should stay Under this points prop for another contest.
I played Adebayo Under 17.5 Points at -130 odds. I would go out to -150 for risking 1 unit.
Pick: Bam Adebayo Under 17.5 Points (Risk 1u),
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