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The Eastern Conference Finals shifts to the city of Atlanta tonight tied at one game a piece. PointsBet has the Bucks as a -500 favorite with the Hawks coming back at +300.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Atlanta Hawks (+4.5) Total: 224
Since Nate McMillan has taken over as interim head coach for Atlanta they have been 18-6 ATS on their home court. In this season’s playoffs, the Hawks are 3-2 straight up on their home court. The Hawks’ big wins have come on the road. They will need to get one of these two games in Atlanta to have a chance to win this series.
The Milwaukee Bucks are 3-3 straight up and against the spread on the road in this season’s playoffs. Milwaukee has made their nose on their home court this postseason. This year during the regular season and including the playoffs, the Bucks are a pitiful 17-24-1 (41%) on the road. Milwaukee may be the more talented and experienced team, but they will be hard pressed to win two games in Atlanta.
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PointsBet opened this game with the Milwaukee Bucks as a 5-point road favorite. The number dropped to four briefly before settling in at 4.5. Public bettors are having a hard time trusting the Hawks at home. PointsBet is reporting 67% of the bets and 73% of the handle backing the Bucks on the spread. When it comes to the Money Line 75% of Money Line bettors are also backing the Bucks at -186. The Money Line has been hovering around -190 for the most part, but some books dropped it below -190 earlier this afternoon. Don’t be surprised if respected money comes in on the Hawks as we get closer to game time. I am taking the Hawks with the points and sprinkling on the Money Line.
Edge: Hawks +4.5
